Flamengo at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Flamengo

47.0%26.8%26.2%
Flamengo WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
1.42Projected Goals 0.99
1Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Gremio
W 6-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 0-2 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Bragantino
L 2-0 vs Botafogo RJ
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Criciuma
L 0-1 at Fortaleza
W 2-0 at Palmeiras
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama
T 1-1 at Juventude

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+195-+185+180+186+175+186+191.1
Athletico Paranaense+145-+160+166+158+165+165+180.5
Draw+230-+220+215+218+215+220+233.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+191.1
Athletico Paranaense-----+180.5
Draw-----+233.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 40.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122-o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼-102o2¼-105o2¼-102o2¼+104
Underu2¼+102-u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-118u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.98%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 412.63%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 320.96%
Exactly 56.09%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 024.13%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 224.39%
Exactly 311.56%
Exactly 44.11%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 037.20%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.19%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.75%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 42.12%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 051.77%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 211.22%
Exactly 32.46%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 063.27%
Exactly 128.96%
Exactly 26.63%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals22.84%
Wins by 3+ goals8.69%
Wins by 4+ goals2.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals9.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals14.15%
Wins by 3 goals6.04%
Wins by 4 goals2.01%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal16.76%
Wins by 2 goals6.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.02%8.98%
1.569.39%30.61%
2.543.31%56.69%
3.522.35%77.65%
4.59.72%90.28%
5.53.63%96.37%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.87%24.13%
1.541.57%58.43%
2.517.18%82.82%
3.55.62%94.38%
4.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.80%37.20%
1.526.01%73.99%
2.57.83%92.17%
3.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.25%32.75%
1.530.69%69.31%
2.510.29%89.71%
3.52.70%97.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
8.98%
8.87%
4.39%
1.45%
0.36%
1
12.76%
12.62%
6.24%
2.06%
0.51%
2
9.07%
8.97%
4.44%
1.46%
0.36%
3
4.30%
4.25%
2.10%
0.69%
0.17%
4
1.53%
1.51%
0.75%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.43%
0.43%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Flamengo
1-012.76%
2-09.07%
2-18.97%
3-04.30%
3-14.25%
3-22.10%
4-01.53%
4-11.51%
4-20.75%
4-30.25%
5-00.43%
5-10.43%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.98%
1-112.62%
2-24.44%
3-30.69%
Athletico Paranaense
0-18.87%
0-24.39%
1-26.24%
0-31.45%
1-32.06%
2-31.46%
0-40.36%
1-40.51%
2-40.36%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Athletico Paranaense
Score0123
0
32.75%
15.00%
3.43%
0.52%
1
21.56%
9.87%
2.26%
0.34%
2
7.10%
3.25%
0.74%
0.11%
3
1.56%
0.71%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.26%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Flamengo
1-021.56%
2-07.10%
2-13.25%
3-01.56%
3-10.71%
3-20.16%
4-00.26%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-032.75%
1-19.87%
2-20.74%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.00%
0-23.43%
1-22.26%
0-30.52%
1-30.34%
2-30.11%