Athletico Paranaense at Fortaleza

Updated 172 days ago

09:30 PM • Jun 2, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

19.3%25.4%55.3%

WinDrawFortaleza Win

0.81Projected Goals 1.56

0Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 2-0	5/12 at Palmeiras
W 0-1	5/05 vs Vasco da Gama
T 1-1	4/28 at Juventude
W 0-1	4/21 vs Internacional
L 0-2	4/17 at Gremio

Fortaleza		Money Line
T 1-1	5/12 vs Botafogo RJ
T 0-0	5/05 at Corinthians
T 1-1	4/28 vs Bragantino
T 1-1	4/17 vs Cruzeiro
W 2-1	4/14 at Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

:1.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+230	-	+250	+262	+297	+262	+297	+280.3
Fortaleza	+125	-	+120	+118	+105	+118	+120	+129.0
Draw	+225	-	+225	+217	+221	+217	+225	+233.0

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+280.3
Fortaleza	-	-	-	-	-	+129.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+233.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 40.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-108	-	o2¼-102	o2¼+103	o2¼-101	o2¼+103	o2¼+103	o2¼+112
Under	u2¼-112	-	u2¼-118	u2¼-123	u2¼-121	u2¼-123	u2¼-118	u2¼-112

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+112
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.7%


No	56.3%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	9.38%
Exactly 2	26.27%
Exactly 4	12.26%
Exactly 6	2.29%
Exactly 8	0.23%


Exactly 1	22.20%
Exactly 3	20.72%
Exactly 5	5.80%
Exactly 7	0.77%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	44.71%
Exactly 1	35.99%
Exactly 2	14.48%
Exactly 3	3.89%
Exactly 4	0.78%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	20.99%
Exactly 1	32.77%
Exactly 2	25.58%
Exactly 3	13.31%
Exactly 4	5.20%
Exactly 5	1.62%
Exactly 6	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	33.43%
Exactly 2	20.07%
Exactly 4	2.01%


Exactly 1	36.63%
Exactly 3	7.33%
Exactly 5	0.44%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	68.89%
Exactly 1	25.67%
Exactly 2	4.78%
Exactly 3	0.59%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	48.53%
Exactly 1	35.09%
Exactly 2	12.68%
Exactly 3	3.06%
Exactly 4	0.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	5.87%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.34%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.23%

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals	29.16%
Wins by 3+ goals	12.11%
Wins by 4+ goals	4.04%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.07%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	13.40%
Wins by 2 goals	4.53%
Wins by 3 goals	1.10%
Wins by 4 goals	0.21%

Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal	26.00%
Wins by 2 goals	17.05%
Wins by 3 goals	8.07%
Wins by 4 goals	2.97%
Wins by 5 goals	0.88%
Wins by 6 goals	0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	90.62%	9.38%
1.5	68.41%	31.59%
2.5	42.14%	57.86%
3.5	21.43%	78.57%
4.5	9.17%	90.83%
5.5	3.37%	96.63%
6.5	1.08%	98.92%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	55.29%	44.71%
1.5	19.30%	80.70%
2.5	4.81%	95.19%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	79.01%	20.99%
1.5	46.25%	53.75%
2.5	20.67%	79.33%
3.5	7.36%	92.64%
4.5	2.16%	97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.57%	33.43%
1.5	29.93%	70.07%
2.5	9.87%	90.13%
3.5	2.54%	97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.38%	14.65%	11.44%	5.95%	2.32%	0.73%
1	7.55%	11.79%	9.21%	4.79%	1.87%	0.58%
2	3.04%	4.75%	3.70%	1.93%	0.75%	0.24%
3	0.82%	1.27%	0.99%	0.52%	0.20%	0.06%
4	0.16%	0.26%	0.20%	0.10%	0.04%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	7.55%
2-0	3.04%
2-1	4.75%
3-0	0.82%
3-1	1.27%
3-2	0.99%
4-0	0.16%
4-1	0.26%
4-2	0.20%
4-3	0.10%

Draw
0-0	9.38%
1-1	11.79%
2-2	3.70%
3-3	0.52%

Fortaleza
0-1	14.65%
0-2	11.44%
1-2	9.21%
0-3	5.95%
1-3	4.79%
2-3	1.93%
0-4	2.32%
1-4	1.87%
2-4	0.75%
3-4	0.20%
0-5	0.73%
1-5	0.58%
2-5	0.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	33.43%	24.17%	8.74%	2.11%	0.38%
1	12.46%	9.01%	3.26%	0.78%	0.14%
2	2.32%	1.68%	0.61%	0.15%	0.03%
3	0.29%	0.21%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	12.46%
2-0	2.32%
2-1	1.68%
3-0	0.29%
3-1	0.21%

Draw
0-0	33.43%
1-1	9.01%
2-2	0.61%

Fortaleza
0-1	24.17%
0-2	8.74%
1-2	3.26%
0-3	2.11%
1-3	0.78%
2-3	0.15%
0-4	0.38%
1-4	0.14%

Cruzeiro at Sao Paulo

Atletico Goianiense at Juventude

Athletico Paranaense at Fortaleza