Athletico Paranaense at Vitória

Updated 147 days ago

09:30 PM • Jun 30, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

31.1%29.7%39.2%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawVitória Win

0.97Projected Goals 1.14

1Final Score 0

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 0-2	6/26 at Cruzeiro
T 1-1	6/23 vs Corinthians
T 1-1	6/19 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1	6/16 vs Flamengo
W 1-3	6/13 vs Criciuma

Vitoria		Money Line
W 1-0	6/27 at Fluminense
L 1-2	6/23 at Bragantino
W 2-4	6/20 vs Atletico Mineiro
W 1-2	6/16 vs Internacional
T 1-1	6/11 at Juventude

Money Line Analysis

:4.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+150	-	+230	+226	+232	+226	+232	+242.0
Vitória	+200	-	+130	+130	+131	+130	+130	+141.3
Draw	+215	-	+215	+225	+215	+225	+225	+241.0

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+242.0
Vitória	-	-	-	-	-	+141.3
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+241.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Vitória: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	-	o2-122	o2-127	o2-127	o2-127	o2-122	o2-116
Under	u2¼-120	-	u2+102	u2+107	u2+105	u2+107	u2+107	u2+116

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-116
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.4%


No	57.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.08%
Exactly 2	26.98%
Exactly 4	10.05%
Exactly 6	1.50%
Exactly 8	0.12%


Exactly 1	25.53%
Exactly 3	19.01%
Exactly 5	4.25%
Exactly 7	0.45%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	37.62%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	17.98%
Exactly 3	5.86%
Exactly 4	1.43%
Exactly 5	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 0	32.11%
Exactly 1	36.48%
Exactly 2	20.72%
Exactly 3	7.85%
Exactly 4	2.23%
Exactly 5	0.51%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	37.58%
Exactly 2	18.00%
Exactly 4	1.44%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	5.87%
Exactly 5	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	63.59%
Exactly 1	28.79%
Exactly 2	6.52%
Exactly 3	0.98%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 0	59.10%
Exactly 1	31.08%
Exactly 2	8.17%
Exactly 3	1.43%
Exactly 4	0.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	11.34%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.11%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.65%

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals	16.19%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.08%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Vitoria

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	19.70%
Wins by 2 goals	8.23%
Wins by 3 goals	2.46%
Wins by 4 goals	0.56%

Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal	22.89%
Wins by 2 goals	11.11%
Wins by 3 goals	3.86%
Wins by 4 goals	1.02%
Wins by 5 goals	0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.92%	12.08%
1.5	62.39%	37.61%
2.5	35.41%	64.59%
3.5	16.40%	83.60%
4.5	6.35%	93.65%
5.5	2.10%	97.90%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.38%	37.62%
1.5	25.60%	74.40%
2.5	7.62%	92.38%
3.5	1.77%	98.23%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.89%	32.11%
1.5	31.41%	68.59%
2.5	10.69%	89.31%
3.5	2.85%	97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.42%	37.58%
1.5	25.64%	74.36%
2.5	7.64%	92.36%
3.5	1.77%	98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Vitoria

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.08%	13.72%	7.79%	2.95%	0.84%	0.19%
1	11.81%	13.42%	7.62%	2.89%	0.82%	0.19%
2	5.77%	6.56%	3.73%	1.41%	0.40%	0.09%
3	1.88%	2.14%	1.21%	0.46%	0.13%	0.03%
4	0.46%	0.52%	0.30%	0.11%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.81%
2-0	5.77%
2-1	6.56%
3-0	1.88%
3-1	2.14%
3-2	1.21%
4-0	0.46%
4-1	0.52%
4-2	0.30%
4-3	0.11%

Draw
0-0	12.08%
1-1	13.42%
2-2	3.73%
3-3	0.46%

Vitoria
0-1	13.72%
0-2	7.79%
1-2	7.62%
0-3	2.95%
1-3	2.89%
2-3	1.41%
0-4	0.84%
1-4	0.82%
2-4	0.40%
3-4	0.13%
0-5	0.19%
1-5	0.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Vitoria

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	37.58%	19.77%	5.20%	0.91%	0.12%
1	17.01%	8.95%	2.35%	0.41%	0.05%
2	3.85%	2.03%	0.53%	0.09%	0.01%
3	0.58%	0.31%	0.08%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	17.01%
2-0	3.85%
2-1	2.03%
3-0	0.58%
3-1	0.31%

Draw
0-0	37.58%
1-1	8.95%
2-2	0.53%

Vitoria
0-1	19.77%
0-2	5.20%
1-2	2.35%
0-3	0.91%
1-3	0.41%
0-4	0.12%

Internacional at Criciuma

Corinthians at Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense at Vitória