Atletico Mineiro at Vitória

Updated 90 days ago

09:30 PM • Jun 20, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

53.1%25.2%21.7%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawVitória Win

1.59Projected Goals 0.91

2Final Score 4

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 4-0	6/17 vs Palmeiras
W 2-1	6/12 at Bragantino
T 1-1	6/02 vs Bahia
T 2-2	5/04 at Fluminense
W 3-0	4/27 at Cuiaba

Vitoria		Money Line
W 1-2	6/16 vs Internacional
T 1-1	6/11 at Juventude
T 0-0	6/05 at Cuiaba
L 2-0	6/01 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 1-2	5/12 at Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

:3.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+105	-	+170	+175	+169	+175	+175	+188.4
Vitória	+280	-	+190	+187	+195	+187	+195	+201.0
Draw	+230	-	+200	+197	+193	+197	+200	+211.5

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+188.4
Vitória	-	-	-	-	-	+201.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+211.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vitória: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML

Over/Under Analysis

:1.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-122	-	o2+102	o2-104	o1¾-125	o2-104	o1¾-125	o2+105
Under	u2+102	-	u2-122	u2-116	u1¾+103	u2-116	u2-116	u2-105

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+105
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.6%


No	52.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	8.25%
Exactly 2	25.67%
Exactly 4	13.32%
Exactly 6	2.77%
Exactly 8	0.31%


Exactly 1	20.58%
Exactly 3	21.36%
Exactly 5	6.65%
Exactly 7	0.99%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	20.53%
Exactly 1	32.51%
Exactly 2	25.73%
Exactly 3	13.58%
Exactly 4	5.37%
Exactly 5	1.70%
Exactly 6	0.45%
Exactly 7	0.10%

Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 0	40.16%
Exactly 1	36.64%
Exactly 2	16.71%
Exactly 3	5.08%
Exactly 4	1.16%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	31.49%
Exactly 2	21.02%
Exactly 4	2.34%
Exactly 6	0.10%


Exactly 1	36.39%
Exactly 3	8.10%
Exactly 5	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	48.05%
Exactly 1	35.22%
Exactly 2	12.91%
Exactly 3	3.15%
Exactly 4	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 0	65.55%
Exactly 1	27.69%
Exactly 2	5.85%
Exactly 3	0.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	28.01%
Wins by 3+ goals	11.72%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.98%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.12%

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals	7.24%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.83%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Vitoria

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	25.04%
Wins by 2 goals	16.30%
Wins by 3 goals	7.73%
Wins by 4 goals	2.86%
Wins by 5 goals	0.86%

Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal	14.43%
Wins by 2 goals	5.41%
Wins by 3 goals	1.47%
Wins by 4 goals	0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	91.75%	8.25%
1.5	71.18%	28.82%
2.5	45.50%	54.50%
3.5	24.15%	75.85%
4.5	10.82%	89.18%
5.5	4.17%	95.83%
6.5	1.41%	98.59%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	79.47%	20.53%
1.5	46.96%	53.04%
2.5	21.23%	78.77%
3.5	7.65%	92.35%
4.5	2.28%	97.72%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.84%	40.16%
1.5	23.20%	76.80%
2.5	6.49%	93.51%
3.5	1.41%	98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.51%	31.49%
1.5	32.12%	67.88%
2.5	11.10%	88.90%
3.5	3.00%	97.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Vitoria

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.25%	7.52%	3.43%	1.04%	0.24%
1	13.05%	11.91%	5.43%	1.65%	0.38%
2	10.33%	9.43%	4.30%	1.31%	0.30%
3	5.45%	4.97%	2.27%	0.69%	0.16%
4	2.16%	1.97%	0.90%	0.27%	0.06%
5	0.68%	0.62%	0.28%	0.09%	0.02%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.05%
2-0	10.33%
2-1	9.43%
3-0	5.45%
3-1	4.97%
3-2	2.27%
4-0	2.16%
4-1	1.97%
4-2	0.90%
4-3	0.27%
5-0	0.68%
5-1	0.62%
5-2	0.28%

Draw
0-0	8.25%
1-1	11.91%
2-2	4.30%
3-3	0.69%

Vitoria
0-1	7.52%
0-2	3.43%
1-2	5.43%
0-3	1.04%
1-3	1.65%
2-3	1.31%
0-4	0.24%
1-4	0.38%
2-4	0.30%
3-4	0.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Vitoria

Score	0	1	2	3
0	31.49%	13.30%	2.81%	0.40%
1	23.08%	9.75%	2.06%	0.29%
2	8.46%	3.57%	0.75%	0.11%
3	2.07%	0.87%	0.18%	0.03%
4	0.38%	0.16%	0.03%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	23.08%
2-0	8.46%
2-1	3.57%
3-0	2.07%
3-1	0.87%
3-2	0.18%
4-0	0.38%
4-1	0.16%

Draw
0-0	31.49%
1-1	9.75%
2-2	0.75%

Vitoria
0-1	13.30%
0-2	2.81%
1-2	2.06%
0-3	0.40%
1-3	0.29%
2-3	0.11%

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