Palmeiras at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Palmeiras

26.8%27.2%46.0%
Palmeiras WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.38
4Final Score 0

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Vasco da Gama
W 2-1 at Criciuma
L 2-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 2-0 at Cuiaba
T 0-0 at Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 2-1 at Bragantino
T 1-1 vs Bahia
T 2-2 at Fluminense
W 3-0 at Cuiaba
W 0-3 vs Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+215+192+185+191+186+191+192+205.6
Atletico Mineiro+135+163+160+168+162+168+168+181.4
Draw+230+215+215+200+211+200+215+215.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras-----+205.6
Atletico Mineiro-----+181.4
Draw-----+215.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2-131o2-128o2-125o2-126o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2¼-112u2+111u2+108u2+105u2+104u2+105u2+111u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-114
Under-----u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 412.29%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.16%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 55.82%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 037.28%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.15%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 025.08%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 311.06%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 063.33%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 26.61%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 052.71%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 210.81%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals9.63%
Wins by 3+ goals2.62%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals21.95%
Wins by 3+ goals8.17%
Wins by 4+ goals2.43%
Wins by 5+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal17.12%
Wins by 2 goals7.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals13.77%
Wins by 3 goals5.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.49%31.51%
2.542.24%57.76%
3.521.50%78.50%
4.59.21%90.79%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.72%37.28%
1.525.93%74.07%
2.57.79%92.21%
3.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.92%25.08%
1.540.24%59.76%
2.516.25%83.75%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
9.35%
12.93%
8.94%
4.12%
1.43%
0.39%
1
9.22%
12.76%
8.82%
4.07%
1.41%
0.39%
2
4.55%
6.29%
4.35%
2.01%
0.69%
0.19%
3
1.50%
2.07%
1.43%
0.66%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.37%
0.51%
0.35%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Palmeiras
1-09.22%
2-04.55%
2-16.29%
3-01.50%
3-12.07%
3-21.43%
4-00.37%
4-10.51%
4-20.35%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.35%
1-112.76%
2-24.35%
3-30.66%
Atletico Mineiro
0-112.93%
0-28.94%
1-28.82%
0-34.12%
1-34.07%
2-32.01%
0-41.43%
1-41.41%
2-40.69%
3-40.23%
0-50.39%
1-50.39%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
33.38%
21.38%
6.85%
1.46%
0.23%
1
15.25%
9.77%
3.13%
0.67%
0.11%
2
3.48%
2.23%
0.71%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.53%
0.34%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-015.25%
2-03.48%
2-12.23%
3-00.53%
3-10.34%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.38%
1-19.77%
2-20.71%
Atletico Mineiro
0-121.38%
0-26.85%
1-23.13%
0-31.46%
1-30.67%
2-30.15%
0-40.23%
1-40.11%