Atletico Mineiro at Fluminense

Updated 201 days ago

07:00 PM • May 4, 2024

Atletico Mineiro

31.2%29.0%39.8%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawFluminense Win

1.02Projected Goals 1.18

2Final Score 2

Fluminense

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 3-0	4/27 at Cuiaba
W 0-3	4/21 vs Cruzeiro
T 1-1	4/17 vs Criciuma
T 0-0	4/14 at Corinthians
L 1-4	12/07 at Bahia

Fluminense		Money Line
L 0-3	4/28 at Corinthians
W 1-2	4/20 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-2	4/17 at Bahia
T 2-2	4/14 vs Bragantino
L 3-2	12/07 vs Gremio

Money Line Analysis

:2.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+297	+121	+115	+112	+114	+112	+121	+122.7
Fluminense	+101	+252	+255	+265	+256	+265	+265	+283.5
Draw	+244	+229	+230	+228	+228	+228	+230	+244.6

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+122.7
Fluminense	-	-	-	-	-	+283.5
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+244.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fluminense: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 40.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Fluminense: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML

Over/Under Analysis

:0.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-145	o2½+124	o2¼-102	o2¼-102	o2¼-101	o2¼-102	o2¼-101	o2¼+107
Under	u2+123	u2½-146	u2¼-118	u2¼-118	u2¼-121	u2¼-118	u2½-146	u2¼-107

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+107
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.2%


No	55.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.11%
Exactly 2	26.82%
Exactly 4	10.79%
Exactly 6	1.74%
Exactly 8	0.15%


Exactly 1	24.41%
Exactly 3	19.65%
Exactly 5	4.74%
Exactly 7	0.55%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	36.30%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.64%
Exactly 3	6.29%
Exactly 4	1.59%
Exactly 5	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 0	30.60%
Exactly 1	36.24%
Exactly 2	21.46%
Exactly 3	8.47%
Exactly 4	2.51%
Exactly 5	0.59%
Exactly 6	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.15%
Exactly 2	18.71%
Exactly 4	1.61%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.35%
Exactly 5	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	62.55%
Exactly 1	29.35%
Exactly 2	6.88%
Exactly 3	1.08%
Exactly 4	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 0	57.79%
Exactly 1	31.69%
Exactly 2	8.69%
Exactly 3	1.59%
Exactly 4	0.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	11.63%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.28%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.70%

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals	16.98%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.57%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.45%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	19.50%
Wins by 2 goals	8.35%
Wins by 3 goals	2.57%
Wins by 4 goals	0.60%

Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal	22.79%
Wins by 2 goals	11.41%
Wins by 3 goals	4.12%
Wins by 4 goals	1.15%
Wins by 5 goals	0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.89%	11.11%
1.5	64.48%	35.52%
2.5	37.66%	62.34%
3.5	18.02%	81.98%
4.5	7.22%	92.78%
5.5	2.48%	97.52%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.70%	36.30%
1.5	26.91%	73.09%
2.5	8.28%	91.72%
3.5	1.98%	98.02%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.40%	30.60%
1.5	33.17%	66.83%
2.5	11.71%	88.29%
3.5	3.24%	96.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.85%	36.15%
1.5	27.07%	72.93%
2.5	8.35%	91.65%
3.5	2.01%	97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.11%	13.15%	7.79%	3.07%	0.91%	0.22%
1	11.26%	13.33%	7.89%	3.12%	0.92%	0.22%
2	5.70%	6.75%	4.00%	1.58%	0.47%	0.11%
3	1.93%	2.28%	1.35%	0.53%	0.16%	0.04%
4	0.49%	0.58%	0.34%	0.14%	0.04%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	11.26%
2-0	5.70%
2-1	6.75%
3-0	1.93%
3-1	2.28%
3-2	1.35%
4-0	0.49%
4-1	0.58%
4-2	0.34%
4-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	11.11%
1-1	13.33%
2-2	4.00%
3-3	0.53%

Fluminense
0-1	13.15%
0-2	7.79%
1-2	7.89%
0-3	3.07%
1-3	3.12%
2-3	1.58%
0-4	0.91%
1-4	0.92%
2-4	0.47%
3-4	0.16%
0-5	0.22%
1-5	0.22%
2-5	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Fluminense

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	36.15%	19.82%	5.43%	0.99%	0.14%
1	16.96%	9.30%	2.55%	0.47%	0.06%
2	3.98%	2.18%	0.60%	0.11%	0.01%
3	0.62%	0.34%	0.09%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	16.96%
2-0	3.98%
2-1	2.18%
3-0	0.62%
3-1	0.34%

Draw
0-0	36.15%
1-1	9.30%
2-2	0.60%

Fluminense
0-1	19.82%
0-2	5.43%
1-2	2.55%
0-3	0.99%
1-3	0.47%
2-3	0.11%
0-4	0.14%

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