Atletico Mineiro at Bahia

Updated 355 days ago

12:30 AM • Dec 7, 2023

Atletico Mineiro

39.3%28.5%32.2%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawBahia Win

1.21Projected Goals 1.06

1Final Score 4

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 1-2	12/03 vs Sao Paulo
W 3-0	11/29 at Flamengo
W 0-3	11/26 vs Gremio
W 1-2	11/12 vs Goias
T 1-1	11/09 at Corinthians

Bahia		Money Line
L 2-3	12/03 at America (MG)
L 1-0	11/29 vs Sao Paulo
W 5-1	11/25 at Corinthians
T 1-1	11/12 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 3-0	11/09 vs Cuiaba

Money Line Analysis

:2.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+108	+174	+170	+172	+180	+172	+180	+185.5
Bahia	+253	+159	+155	+155	+145	+155	+159	+167.7
Draw	+250	+245	+250	+245	+248	+245	+250	+262.1

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+185.5
Bahia	-	-	-	-	-	+167.7
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bahia: 20.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-122	o2½-109	o2½-102	o2½-108	o2½-107	o2½-108	o2½-102	o2½+102
Under	u2¼+102	u2½-107	u2½-118	u2½-112	u2½-113	u2½-112	u2½-107	u2½-102

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½+102
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	45.9%


No	54.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.31%
Exactly 2	26.61%
Exactly 4	11.45%
Exactly 6	1.97%
Exactly 8	0.18%


Exactly 1	23.42%
Exactly 3	20.16%
Exactly 5	5.20%
Exactly 7	0.64%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	29.87%
Exactly 1	36.09%
Exactly 2	21.81%
Exactly 3	8.78%
Exactly 4	2.65%
Exactly 5	0.64%
Exactly 6	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 0	34.51%
Exactly 1	36.72%
Exactly 2	19.53%
Exactly 3	6.93%
Exactly 4	1.84%
Exactly 5	0.39%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	34.92%
Exactly 2	19.33%
Exactly 4	1.78%


Exactly 1	36.74%
Exactly 3	6.78%
Exactly 5	0.38%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	57.15%
Exactly 1	31.98%
Exactly 2	8.95%
Exactly 3	1.67%
Exactly 4	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 0	61.10%
Exactly 1	30.10%
Exactly 2	7.41%
Exactly 3	1.22%
Exactly 4	0.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	16.94%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.63%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.31%

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals	12.40%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Bahia

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	22.37%
Wins by 2 goals	11.32%
Wins by 3 goals	4.14%
Wins by 4 goals	1.18%
Wins by 5 goals	0.27%

Bahia
Wins by 1 goal	19.70%
Wins by 2 goals	8.77%
Wins by 3 goals	2.82%
Wins by 4 goals	0.69%
Wins by 5 goals	0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.69%	10.31%
1.5	66.27%	33.73%
2.5	39.66%	60.34%
3.5	19.51%	80.49%
4.5	8.06%	91.94%
5.5	2.85%	97.15%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.13%	29.87%
1.5	34.04%	65.96%
2.5	12.23%	87.77%
3.5	3.45%	96.55%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.49%	34.51%
1.5	28.78%	71.22%
2.5	9.25%	90.75%
3.5	2.32%	97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.08%	34.92%
1.5	28.34%	71.66%
2.5	9.01%	90.99%
3.5	2.24%	97.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.31%	10.97%	5.83%	2.07%	0.55%	0.12%
1	12.45%	13.25%	7.05%	2.50%	0.67%	0.14%
2	7.52%	8.01%	4.26%	1.51%	0.40%	0.09%
3	3.03%	3.23%	1.72%	0.61%	0.16%	0.03%
4	0.92%	0.97%	0.52%	0.18%	0.05%	0.01%
5	0.22%	0.24%	0.13%	0.04%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	12.45%
2-0	7.52%
2-1	8.01%
3-0	3.03%
3-1	3.23%
3-2	1.72%
4-0	0.92%
4-1	0.97%
4-2	0.52%
4-3	0.18%
5-0	0.22%
5-1	0.24%
5-2	0.13%

Draw
0-0	10.31%
1-1	13.25%
2-2	4.26%
3-3	0.61%

Bahia
0-1	10.97%
0-2	5.83%
1-2	7.05%
0-3	2.07%
1-3	2.50%
2-3	1.51%
0-4	0.55%
1-4	0.67%
2-4	0.40%
3-4	0.16%
0-5	0.12%
1-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3
0	34.92%	17.20%	4.24%	0.70%
1	19.54%	9.62%	2.37%	0.39%
2	5.47%	2.69%	0.66%	0.11%
3	1.02%	0.50%	0.12%	0.02%
4	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	19.54%
2-0	5.47%
2-1	2.69%
3-0	1.02%
3-1	0.50%
3-2	0.12%
4-0	0.14%

Draw
0-0	34.92%
1-1	9.62%
2-2	0.66%

Bahia
0-1	17.20%
0-2	4.24%
1-2	2.37%
0-3	0.70%
1-3	0.39%
2-3	0.11%

America (MG) at Goias

Bragantino at Vasco da Gama

Atletico Mineiro at Bahia