Athletico Paranaense at Bahia

Updated 375 days ago

09:30 PM • Nov 12, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

31.0%29.5%39.4%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawBahia Win

0.99Projected Goals 1.15

1Final Score 1

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 1-1	11/08 vs Fortaleza
L 0-1	11/05 at Palmeiras
L 0-1	11/01 at Corinthians
T 1-1	10/29 vs Sao Paulo
W 2-3	10/25 vs America (MG)

Bahia		Money Line
L 3-0	11/09 vs Cuiaba
L 0-1	11/04 at Gremio
W 0-1	10/31 vs Fluminense
L 0-1	10/28 at Palmeiras
L 0-3	10/25 at Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

:3.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+190	-	+215	+227	+227	+227	+227	+242.8
Bahia	+140	-	+135	+130	+130	+130	+135	+141.1
Draw	+250	-	+225	+225	+225	+225	+225	+240.7

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+242.8
Bahia	-	-	-	-	-	+141.1
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+240.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+105	-	o2¼+100	o2¼-105	o2¼-105	o2¼-105	o2¼+100	o2¼+104
Under	u2¼-125	-	u2¼-120	u2¼-115	u2¼-115	u2¼-115	u2¼-115	u2¼-104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.9%


No	57.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.79%
Exactly 2	26.94%
Exactly 4	10.26%
Exactly 6	1.56%
Exactly 8	0.13%


Exactly 1	25.21%
Exactly 3	19.20%
Exactly 5	4.39%
Exactly 7	0.48%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	37.28%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.15%
Exactly 3	5.97%
Exactly 4	1.47%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 0	31.62%
Exactly 1	36.41%
Exactly 2	20.96%
Exactly 3	8.04%
Exactly 4	2.32%
Exactly 5	0.53%
Exactly 6	0.10%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	37.16%
Exactly 2	18.21%
Exactly 4	1.49%


Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 3	6.01%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	63.33%
Exactly 1	28.93%
Exactly 2	6.61%
Exactly 3	1.01%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 0	58.68%
Exactly 1	31.28%
Exactly 2	8.34%
Exactly 3	1.48%
Exactly 4	0.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	11.39%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.15%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.66%

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals	16.53%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.31%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	19.61%
Wins by 2 goals	8.24%
Wins by 3 goals	2.48%
Wins by 4 goals	0.57%

Bahia
Wins by 1 goal	22.89%
Wins by 2 goals	11.23%
Wins by 3 goals	3.95%
Wins by 4 goals	1.08%
Wins by 5 goals	0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.21%	11.79%
1.5	63.01%	36.99%
2.5	36.06%	63.94%
3.5	16.86%	83.14%
4.5	6.60%	93.40%
5.5	2.21%	97.79%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.72%	37.28%
1.5	25.93%	74.07%
2.5	7.78%	92.22%
3.5	1.82%	98.18%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.38%	31.62%
1.5	31.97%	68.03%
2.5	11.01%	88.99%
3.5	2.97%	97.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.84%	37.16%
1.5	26.05%	73.95%
2.5	7.84%	92.16%
3.5	1.84%	98.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.79%	13.57%	7.81%	3.00%	0.86%	0.20%
1	11.63%	13.39%	7.71%	2.96%	0.85%	0.20%
2	5.74%	6.61%	3.80%	1.46%	0.42%	0.10%
3	1.89%	2.17%	1.25%	0.48%	0.14%	0.03%
4	0.47%	0.54%	0.31%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.63%
2-0	5.74%
2-1	6.61%
3-0	1.89%
3-1	2.17%
3-2	1.25%
4-0	0.47%
4-1	0.54%
4-2	0.31%
4-3	0.12%

Draw
0-0	11.79%
1-1	13.39%
2-2	3.80%
3-3	0.48%

Bahia
0-1	13.57%
0-2	7.81%
1-2	7.71%
0-3	3.00%
1-3	2.96%
2-3	1.46%
0-4	0.86%
1-4	0.85%
2-4	0.42%
3-4	0.14%
0-5	0.20%
1-5	0.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Bahia

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	37.16%	19.81%	5.28%	0.94%	0.13%
1	16.98%	9.05%	2.41%	0.43%	0.06%
2	3.88%	2.07%	0.55%	0.10%	0.01%
3	0.59%	0.31%	0.08%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	16.98%
2-0	3.88%
2-1	2.07%
3-0	0.59%
3-1	0.31%

Draw
0-0	37.16%
1-1	9.05%
2-2	0.55%

Bahia
0-1	19.81%
0-2	5.28%
1-2	2.41%
0-3	0.94%
1-3	0.43%
0-4	0.13%

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