America (MG) at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

America (MG)

15.5%23.7%60.8%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.72Projected Goals 1.69
2Final Score 3

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

America (MG)
Money Line
T 1-1 at Corinthians
L 2-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 2-3 at Fortaleza
T 1-1 at Cruzeiro
L 1-0 vs Vasco da Gama
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Gremio
T 1-1 vs Bragantino
L 0-2 at Coritiba
W 1-2 vs Internacional
W 3-0 at Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)+575-+460+500+500+500+500+530.0
Athletico Paranaense-190--175-175-175-175-175-153.9
Draw+300-+330+305+305+305+330+325.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)-----+530.0
Athletico Paranaense------153.9
Draw-----+325.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

America (MG): 10.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

America (MG): 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

America (MG): 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125-o2½-122o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-120o2½-109
Underu2¼+105-u2½+102u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+102u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.98%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 412.63%
Exactly 62.45%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.64%
Exactly 320.96%
Exactly 56.09%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 048.80%
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 212.56%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 018.40%
Exactly 131.15%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 314.88%
Exactly 46.30%
Exactly 52.13%
Exactly 60.60%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.76%
Exactly 220.40%
Exactly 42.12%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.59%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 071.73%
Exactly 123.83%
Exactly 23.96%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 045.66%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.03%
Exactly 33.67%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals4.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.82%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals34.27%
Wins by 3+ goals15.34%
Wins by 4+ goals5.58%
Wins by 5+ goals1.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

America (MG)
Athletico Paranaense
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal11.23%
Wins by 2 goals3.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.72%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.50%
Wins by 2 goals18.93%
Wins by 3 goals9.75%
Wins by 4 goals3.90%
Wins by 5 goals1.27%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.02%8.98%
1.569.38%30.62%
2.543.30%56.70%
3.522.35%77.65%
4.59.72%90.28%
5.53.63%96.37%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.20%48.80%
1.516.19%83.81%
2.53.63%96.37%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.60%18.40%
1.550.46%49.54%
2.524.09%75.91%
3.59.21%90.79%
4.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.24%32.76%
1.530.68%69.32%
2.510.28%89.72%
3.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

America (MG)
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
8.98%
15.20%
12.86%
7.26%
3.07%
1.04%
1
6.44%
10.90%
9.23%
5.21%
2.20%
0.75%
2
2.31%
3.91%
3.31%
1.87%
0.79%
0.27%
3
0.55%
0.94%
0.79%
0.45%
0.19%
0.06%
America (MG)
1-06.44%
2-02.31%
2-13.91%
3-00.55%
3-10.94%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-08.98%
1-110.90%
2-23.31%
3-30.45%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.20%
0-212.86%
1-29.23%
0-37.26%
1-35.21%
2-31.87%
0-43.07%
1-42.20%
2-40.79%
3-40.19%
0-51.04%
1-50.75%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

America (MG)
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
32.76%
25.68%
10.06%
2.63%
0.52%
1
10.88%
8.53%
3.34%
0.87%
0.17%
2
1.81%
1.42%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.20%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
America (MG)
1-010.88%
2-01.81%
2-11.42%
3-00.20%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-032.76%
1-18.53%
2-20.56%
Athletico Paranaense
0-125.68%
0-210.06%
1-23.34%
0-32.63%
1-30.87%
2-30.15%
0-40.52%
1-40.17%
America (MG) at Corinthians
Atletico Mineiro at Bragantino