Athletico Paranaense at Flamengo

Updated 427 days ago

12:30 AM • Sep 14, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

16.2%22.1%61.6%

WinDrawFlamengo Win

0.83Projected Goals 1.86

3Final Score 0

Flamengo

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 1-1	9/02 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 2-2	8/27 vs Fluminense
T 1-1	8/21 at Goias
W 0-2	8/15 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1	8/05 at Santos

Flamengo		Money Line
W 2-1	9/03 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0	8/26 vs Internacional
W 3-2	8/20 at Coritiba
T 1-1	8/13 vs Sao Paulo
L 0-3	8/06 at Cuiaba

Money Line Analysis

:3.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+320	-	+400	+390	+390	+390	+400	+414.2
Flamengo	-120	-	-130	-130	-130	-130	-130	-116.7
Draw	+275	-	+265	+257	+257	+257	+265	+274.6

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+414.2
Flamengo	-	-	-	-	-	-116.7
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+274.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Flamengo: 40.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Flamengo: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-3.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-115	-	o2½-125	o2½+102	o2½+102	o2½+102	o2½+102	o2½+111
Under	u2½-105	-	u2½+110	u2½-122	u2½-122	u2½-122	u2½+110	u2½-111

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½+111
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	47.6%


No	52.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	6.81%
Exactly 2	24.58%
Exactly 4	14.78%
Exactly 6	3.56%
Exactly 8	0.46%


Exactly 1	18.30%
Exactly 3	22.01%
Exactly 5	7.94%
Exactly 7	1.36%
Exactly 9	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	43.61%
Exactly 1	36.19%
Exactly 2	15.02%
Exactly 3	4.16%
Exactly 4	0.86%
Exactly 5	0.14%

Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 0	15.63%
Exactly 1	29.01%
Exactly 2	26.92%
Exactly 3	16.66%
Exactly 4	7.73%
Exactly 5	2.87%
Exactly 6	0.89%
Exactly 7	0.24%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	28.83%
Exactly 2	22.30%
Exactly 4	2.87%
Exactly 6	0.15%


Exactly 1	35.86%
Exactly 3	9.24%
Exactly 5	0.72%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	68.09%
Exactly 1	26.17%
Exactly 2	5.03%
Exactly 3	0.64%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 0	42.34%
Exactly 1	36.39%
Exactly 2	15.64%
Exactly 3	4.48%
Exactly 4	0.96%
Exactly 5	0.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	4.94%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.20%

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals	36.32%
Wins by 3+ goals	17.27%
Wins by 4+ goals	6.74%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.18%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.58%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	11.28%
Wins by 2 goals	3.81%
Wins by 3 goals	0.94%
Wins by 4 goals	0.18%

Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal	25.24%
Wins by 2 goals	19.06%
Wins by 3 goals	10.53%
Wins by 4 goals	4.55%
Wins by 5 goals	1.61%
Wins by 6 goals	0.47%
Wins by 7 goals	0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	93.19%	6.81%
1.5	74.88%	25.12%
2.5	50.30%	49.70%
3.5	28.29%	71.71%
4.5	13.51%	86.49%
5.5	5.56%	94.44%
6.5	2.01%	97.99%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	56.39%	43.61%
1.5	20.20%	79.80%
2.5	5.18%	94.82%
3.5	1.03%	98.97%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	84.37%	15.63%
1.5	55.37%	44.63%
2.5	28.45%	71.55%
3.5	11.79%	88.21%
4.5	4.06%	95.94%
5.5	1.19%	98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.17%	28.83%
1.5	35.31%	64.69%
2.5	13.01%	86.99%
3.5	3.77%	96.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6.81%	12.65%	11.74%	7.26%	3.37%	1.25%
1	5.66%	10.50%	9.74%	6.03%	2.80%	1.04%
2	2.35%	4.36%	4.04%	2.50%	1.16%	0.43%
3	0.65%	1.21%	1.12%	0.69%	0.32%	0.12%
4	0.13%	0.25%	0.23%	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	5.66%
2-0	2.35%
2-1	4.36%
3-0	0.65%
3-1	1.21%
3-2	1.12%
4-0	0.13%
4-1	0.25%
4-2	0.23%
4-3	0.14%

Draw
0-0	6.81%
1-1	10.50%
2-2	4.04%
3-3	0.69%

Flamengo
0-1	12.65%
0-2	11.74%
1-2	9.74%
0-3	7.26%
1-3	6.03%
2-3	2.50%
0-4	3.37%
1-4	2.80%
2-4	1.16%
3-4	0.32%
0-5	1.25%
1-5	1.04%
2-5	0.43%
3-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Flamengo

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	28.83%	24.78%	10.65%	3.05%	0.66%	0.11%
1	11.08%	9.52%	4.09%	1.17%	0.25%	0.04%
2	2.13%	1.83%	0.79%	0.23%	0.05%	0.01%
3	0.27%	0.23%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	11.08%
2-0	2.13%
2-1	1.83%
3-0	0.27%
3-1	0.23%
3-2	0.10%

Draw
0-0	28.83%
1-1	9.52%
2-2	0.79%

Flamengo
0-1	24.78%
0-2	10.65%
1-2	4.09%
0-3	3.05%
1-3	1.17%
2-3	0.23%
0-4	0.66%
1-4	0.25%
0-5	0.11%

Santos at America (MG)

Sao Paulo at Internacional

Athletico Paranaense at Flamengo