Athletico Paranaense at Goias

Updated 450 days ago

11:00 PM • Aug 21, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

40.5%28.9%30.5%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawGoias Win

1.20Projected Goals 1.00

1Final Score 1

Goias

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-2	8/15 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1	8/05 at Santos
T 3-3	7/29 vs Cruzeiro
W 2-0	7/23 at Vasco da Gama
W 0-2	7/16 vs Bahia

Goias		Money Line
W 1-0	8/13 at America (MG)
W 0-1	8/05 vs Fortaleza
W 1-0	7/23 at Cruzeiro
T 0-0	7/17 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 3-4	7/09 at Santos

Money Line Analysis

:3.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+150	-	+150	+163	+163	+163	+165	+176.3
Goias	+190	-	+200	+192	+192	+192	+192	+206.8
Draw	+225	-	+220	+205	+205	+205	+220	+220.4

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+176.3
Goias	-	-	-	-	-	+206.8
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+220.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Goias: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Goias: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Goias: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Goias: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Goias ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-112	-	o2-108	o2-104	o2-104	o2-104	o2-104	o2+105
Under	u2-108	-	u2-105	u2-116	u2-116	u2-116	u2-105	u2-105

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+105
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.2%


No	55.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.09%
Exactly 2	26.82%
Exactly 4	10.81%
Exactly 6	1.74%
Exactly 8	0.15%


Exactly 1	24.39%
Exactly 3	19.66%
Exactly 5	4.75%
Exactly 7	0.55%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	30.14%
Exactly 1	36.15%
Exactly 2	21.68%
Exactly 3	8.67%
Exactly 4	2.60%
Exactly 5	0.62%
Exactly 6	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Goias
Exactly 0	36.80%
Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 2	18.39%
Exactly 3	6.13%
Exactly 4	1.53%
Exactly 5	0.31%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.13%
Exactly 2	18.72%
Exactly 4	1.62%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.35%
Exactly 5	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	57.39%
Exactly 1	31.87%
Exactly 2	8.85%
Exactly 3	1.64%
Exactly 4	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Goias
Exactly 0	62.95%
Exactly 1	29.13%
Exactly 2	6.74%
Exactly 3	1.04%
Exactly 4	0.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	17.48%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.80%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.32%

Goias
Wins by 2+ goals	11.24%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.13%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.66%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Goias

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	23.04%
Wins by 2 goals	11.68%
Wins by 3 goals	4.27%
Wins by 4 goals	1.21%
Wins by 5 goals	0.28%

Goias
Wins by 1 goal	19.20%
Wins by 2 goals	8.11%
Wins by 3 goals	2.47%
Wins by 4 goals	0.57%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.91%	11.09%
1.5	64.52%	35.48%
2.5	37.70%	62.30%
3.5	18.05%	81.95%
4.5	7.24%	92.76%
5.5	2.49%	97.51%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	69.86%	30.14%
1.5	33.72%	66.28%
2.5	12.04%	87.96%
3.5	3.37%	96.63%

Total Goals Goias Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.20%	36.80%
1.5	26.41%	73.59%
2.5	8.02%	91.98%
3.5	1.90%	98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.87%	36.13%
1.5	27.09%	72.91%
2.5	8.37%	91.63%
3.5	2.01%	97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Goias

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.09%	11.09%	5.54%	1.85%	0.46%
1	13.30%	13.30%	6.65%	2.21%	0.55%
2	7.98%	7.97%	3.99%	1.33%	0.33%
3	3.19%	3.19%	1.59%	0.53%	0.13%
4	0.96%	0.96%	0.48%	0.16%	0.04%
5	0.23%	0.23%	0.11%	0.04%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	13.30%
2-0	7.98%
2-1	7.97%
3-0	3.19%
3-1	3.19%
3-2	1.59%
4-0	0.96%
4-1	0.96%
4-2	0.48%
4-3	0.16%
5-0	0.23%
5-1	0.23%
5-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	11.09%
1-1	13.30%
2-2	3.99%
3-3	0.53%

Goias
0-1	11.09%
0-2	5.54%
1-2	6.65%
0-3	1.85%
1-3	2.21%
2-3	1.33%
0-4	0.46%
1-4	0.55%
2-4	0.33%
3-4	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Goias

Score	0	1	2	3
0	36.13%	16.72%	3.87%	0.60%
1	20.06%	9.28%	2.15%	0.33%
2	5.57%	2.58%	0.60%	0.09%
3	1.03%	0.48%	0.11%	0.02%
4	0.14%	0.07%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	20.06%
2-0	5.57%
2-1	2.58%
3-0	1.03%
3-1	0.48%
3-2	0.11%
4-0	0.14%

Draw
0-0	36.13%
1-1	9.28%
2-2	0.60%

Goias
0-1	16.72%
0-2	3.87%
1-2	2.15%
0-3	0.60%
1-3	0.33%

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