Bahia at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Bahia

18.0%24.5%57.4%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.64
0Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
T 1-1 at Cuiaba
L 2-1 vs Gremio
L 1-2 at Fluminense
W 0-1 vs Palmeiras
T 2-2 vs Cruzeiro
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fortaleza
T 2-2 vs Palmeiras
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
L 1-2 at Sao Paulo
T 2-2 at America (MG)

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+390-+475+500+505+515+515+545.1
Athletico Paranaense-130--170-170-176-175-170-154.2
Draw+255-+310+295+302+300+310+319.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+545.1
Athletico Paranaense------154.2
Draw-----+319.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bahia: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o2½-112o2½-113o2½-113o2½-113o2½-112o2½-103
Underu2¼-110-u2½-108u2½-107u2½-107u2½-107u2½-107u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.78%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 412.81%
Exactly 62.53%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.36%
Exactly 321.07%
Exactly 56.23%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 045.16%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.27%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 019.44%
Exactly 131.84%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.24%
Exactly 45.83%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.42%
Exactly 220.57%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 069.21%
Exactly 125.47%
Exactly 24.69%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 046.84%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.47%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals5.40%
Wins by 3+ goals1.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals31.40%
Wins by 3+ goals13.61%
Wins by 4+ goals4.80%
Wins by 5+ goals1.40%
Wins by 6+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal12.62%
Wins by 2 goals4.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.01%
Wins by 2 goals17.79%
Wins by 3 goals8.81%
Wins by 4 goals3.40%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.22%8.78%
1.569.86%30.14%
2.543.89%56.11%
3.522.82%77.18%
4.510.00%90.00%
5.53.77%96.23%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.84%45.16%
1.518.94%81.06%
2.54.67%95.33%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.56%19.44%
1.548.72%51.28%
2.522.65%77.35%
3.58.41%91.59%
4.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.58%32.42%
1.531.06%68.94%
2.510.50%89.50%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
8.78%
14.38%
11.77%
6.43%
2.63%
0.86%
1
6.98%
11.43%
9.36%
5.11%
2.09%
0.69%
2
2.77%
4.54%
3.72%
2.03%
0.83%
0.27%
3
0.74%
1.20%
0.99%
0.54%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.15%
0.24%
0.20%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Bahia
1-06.98%
2-02.77%
2-14.54%
3-00.74%
3-11.20%
3-20.99%
4-00.15%
4-10.24%
4-20.20%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-08.78%
1-111.43%
2-23.72%
3-30.54%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.38%
0-211.77%
1-29.36%
0-36.43%
1-35.11%
2-32.03%
0-42.63%
1-42.09%
2-40.83%
3-40.22%
0-50.86%
1-50.69%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
32.42%
24.58%
9.32%
2.36%
0.45%
1
11.93%
9.05%
3.43%
0.87%
0.16%
2
2.20%
1.67%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.27%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Bahia
1-011.93%
2-02.20%
2-11.67%
3-00.27%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-032.42%
1-19.05%
2-20.63%
Athletico Paranaense
0-124.58%
0-29.32%
1-23.43%
0-32.36%
1-30.87%
2-30.16%
0-40.45%
1-40.16%
Cuiaba at Fortaleza
Palmeiras at Internacional