Athletico Paranaense at Fortaleza

Updated 502 days ago

09:30 PM • Jul 9, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

24.0%28.1%48.0%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawFortaleza Win

0.85Projected Goals 1.34

0Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 2-2	7/02 vs Palmeiras
W 0-1	6/24 vs Corinthians
L 1-2	6/21 at Sao Paulo
T 2-2	6/11 at America (MG)
W 0-1	6/03 vs Botafogo RJ

Fortaleza		Money Line
L 0-2	7/01 at Flamengo
W 1-2	6/24 vs Atletico Mineiro
W 1-0	6/21 at Cruzeiro
L 0-2	6/11 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0	6/03 vs Bahia

Money Line Analysis

:-0.1%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+360	-	+550	+622	+476	+622	+622	+657.8
Fortaleza	-125	-	-190	-195	-161	-195	-161	-170.1
Draw	+255	-	+310	+300	+282	+300	+310	+319.8

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+657.8
Fortaleza	-	-	-	-	-	-170.1
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+319.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fortaleza: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Fortaleza: 50.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-105	-	o2¼-110	o2¼-116	o2¼-110	o2¼-116	o2¼-110	o2¼-105
Under	u2¼-115	-	u2¼-110	u2¼-104	u2¼-110	u2¼-104	u2¼-104	u2¼+105

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-105
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.4%


No	57.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.16%
Exactly 2	26.83%
Exactly 4	10.75%
Exactly 6	1.72%
Exactly 8	0.15%


Exactly 1	24.47%
Exactly 3	19.61%
Exactly 5	4.72%
Exactly 7	0.54%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	42.50%
Exactly 1	36.37%
Exactly 2	15.56%
Exactly 3	4.44%
Exactly 4	0.95%
Exactly 5	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	26.26%
Exactly 1	35.11%
Exactly 2	23.48%
Exactly 3	10.46%
Exactly 4	3.50%
Exactly 5	0.94%
Exactly 6	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	36.23%
Exactly 2	18.67%
Exactly 4	1.60%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.32%
Exactly 5	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	67.29%
Exactly 1	26.66%
Exactly 2	5.28%
Exactly 3	0.70%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	53.84%
Exactly 1	33.33%
Exactly 2	10.32%
Exactly 3	2.13%
Exactly 4	0.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	7.77%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.89%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.35%

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals	22.67%
Wins by 3+ goals	8.30%
Wins by 4+ goals	2.42%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	16.16%
Wins by 2 goals	5.88%
Wins by 3 goals	1.54%
Wins by 4 goals	0.31%

Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal	25.25%
Wins by 2 goals	14.37%
Wins by 3 goals	5.87%
Wins by 4 goals	1.86%
Wins by 5 goals	0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.84%	11.16%
1.5	64.37%	35.63%
2.5	37.54%	62.46%
3.5	17.93%	82.07%
4.5	7.17%	92.83%
5.5	2.46%	97.54%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	57.50%	42.50%
1.5	21.14%	78.86%
2.5	5.58%	94.42%
3.5	1.14%	98.86%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	73.74%	26.26%
1.5	38.63%	61.37%
2.5	15.15%	84.85%
3.5	4.69%	95.31%
4.5	1.19%	98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.77%	36.23%
1.5	26.99%	73.01%
2.5	8.31%	91.69%
3.5	1.99%	98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.16%	14.92%	9.98%	4.45%	1.49%	0.40%
1	9.55%	12.77%	8.54%	3.81%	1.27%	0.34%
2	4.09%	5.46%	3.65%	1.63%	0.54%	0.15%
3	1.17%	1.56%	1.04%	0.46%	0.16%	0.04%
4	0.25%	0.33%	0.22%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	9.55%
2-0	4.09%
2-1	5.46%
3-0	1.17%
3-1	1.56%
3-2	1.04%
4-0	0.25%
4-1	0.33%
4-2	0.22%

Draw
0-0	11.16%
1-1	12.77%
2-2	3.65%
3-3	0.46%

Fortaleza
0-1	14.92%
0-2	9.98%
1-2	8.54%
0-3	4.45%
1-3	3.81%
2-3	1.63%
0-4	1.49%
1-4	1.27%
2-4	0.54%
3-4	0.16%
0-5	0.40%
1-5	0.34%
2-5	0.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	36.23%	22.43%	6.94%	1.43%	0.22%
1	14.35%	8.89%	2.75%	0.57%	0.09%
2	2.84%	1.76%	0.55%	0.11%	0.02%
3	0.38%	0.23%	0.07%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	14.35%
2-0	2.84%
2-1	1.76%
3-0	0.38%
3-1	0.23%

Draw
0-0	36.23%
1-1	8.89%
2-2	0.55%

Fortaleza
0-1	22.43%
0-2	6.94%
1-2	2.75%
0-3	1.43%
1-3	0.57%
2-3	0.11%
0-4	0.22%

Sao Paulo at Bragantino

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Athletico Paranaense at Fortaleza