Bahia at Fortaleza

Updated

Bahia

18.6%23.9%57.5%
WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.70
0Final Score 0

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
L 0-2 at Internacional
T 1-1 vs Goias
L 3-2 vs Flamengo
L 0-3 at Santos
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-2 at America (MG)
T 0-0 at Gremio
T 0-0 vs Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+387+479+460+490+506+490+506+520.3
Fortaleza-135-159-170-167-176-167-159-146.9
Draw+285+295+310+290+301+290+310+310.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+520.3
Fortaleza------146.9
Draw-----+310.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 20.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 10.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-105o2½-105o2½-102o2½-104o2½-102o2½-102o2½+107
Underu2½+100u2½-111u2½-115u2½-118u2½-116u2½-118u2½-111u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.83%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 413.73%
Exactly 62.97%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.95%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 56.99%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 042.76%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 018.32%
Exactly 131.09%
Exactly 226.38%
Exactly 314.93%
Exactly 46.33%
Exactly 52.15%
Exactly 60.61%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.75%
Exactly 221.38%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 38.40%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 067.48%
Exactly 126.55%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 045.58%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 214.07%
Exactly 33.69%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals5.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals31.95%
Wins by 3+ goals14.17%
Wins by 4+ goals5.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.54%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal12.76%
Wins by 2 goals4.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal25.48%
Wins by 2 goals17.78%
Wins by 3 goals9.04%
Wins by 4 goals3.59%
Wins by 5 goals1.16%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.17%7.83%
1.572.22%27.78%
2.546.81%53.19%
3.525.25%74.75%
4.511.52%88.48%
5.54.52%95.48%
6.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.24%42.76%
1.520.92%79.08%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.68%18.32%
1.550.59%49.41%
2.524.20%75.80%
3.59.28%90.72%
4.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.25%30.75%
1.532.98%67.02%
2.511.60%88.40%
3.53.20%96.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
7.83%
13.29%
11.28%
6.38%
2.71%
0.92%
1
6.66%
11.30%
9.58%
5.42%
2.30%
0.78%
2
2.83%
4.80%
4.07%
2.30%
0.98%
0.33%
3
0.80%
1.36%
1.15%
0.65%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.17%
0.29%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Bahia
1-06.66%
2-02.83%
2-14.80%
3-00.80%
3-11.36%
3-21.15%
4-00.17%
4-10.29%
4-20.24%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.83%
1-111.30%
2-24.07%
3-30.65%
Fortaleza
0-113.29%
0-211.28%
1-29.58%
0-36.38%
1-35.42%
2-32.30%
0-42.71%
1-42.30%
2-40.98%
3-40.28%
0-50.92%
1-50.78%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
30.75%
24.17%
9.49%
2.49%
0.49%
1
12.10%
9.51%
3.74%
0.98%
0.19%
2
2.38%
1.87%
0.73%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.31%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Bahia
1-012.10%
2-02.38%
2-11.87%
3-00.31%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-030.75%
1-19.51%
2-20.73%
Fortaleza
0-124.17%
0-29.49%
1-23.74%
0-32.49%
1-30.98%
2-30.19%
0-40.49%
1-40.19%