Atletico Mineiro at Fortaleza

Updated 508 days ago

09:30 PM • Jun 24, 2023

Atletico Mineiro

38.5%28.9%32.6%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawFortaleza Win

1.17Projected Goals 1.05

1Final Score 2

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
T 1-1	6/22 at Fluminense
T 1-1	6/10 vs Bragantino
W 1-0	6/03 at Cruzeiro
T 1-1	5/28 vs Palmeiras
W 2-1	5/20 at Coritiba

Fortaleza		Money Line
W 1-0	6/21 at Cruzeiro
L 0-2	6/11 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0	6/03 vs Bahia
W 0-2	5/27 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-2	5/20 at America (MG)

Money Line Analysis

:2.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+195	+177	+175	+170	+187	+170	+187	+183.5
Fortaleza	+145	+180	+175	+180	+162	+180	+180	+194.0
Draw	+230	+212	+215	+210	+210	+210	+215	+225.5

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+183.5
Fortaleza	-	-	-	-	-	+194.0
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+225.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.7%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-105	o2-139	o2¼+105	o2¼+101	o2¼+100	o2¼+101	o2-139	o2¼+110
Under	u2¼-115	u2+117	u2¼-125	u2¼-121	u2¼-122	u2¼-121	u2¼-121	u2¼-110

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+110
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.9%


No	55.1%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.84%
Exactly 2	26.76%
Exactly 4	11.01%
Exactly 6	1.81%
Exactly 8	0.16%


Exactly 1	24.09%
Exactly 3	19.82%
Exactly 5	4.89%
Exactly 7	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	31.02%
Exactly 1	36.31%
Exactly 2	21.25%
Exactly 3	8.29%
Exactly 4	2.43%
Exactly 5	0.57%
Exactly 6	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	34.95%
Exactly 1	36.74%
Exactly 2	19.31%
Exactly 3	6.77%
Exactly 4	1.78%
Exactly 5	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.75%
Exactly 2	18.92%
Exactly 4	1.67%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	6.49%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	58.16%
Exactly 1	31.52%
Exactly 2	8.54%
Exactly 3	1.54%
Exactly 4	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 0	61.46%
Exactly 1	29.92%
Exactly 2	7.28%
Exactly 3	1.18%
Exactly 4	0.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	16.25%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.26%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.28%

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals	12.49%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	22.27%
Wins by 2 goals	10.98%
Wins by 3 goals	3.91%
Wins by 4 goals	1.08%
Wins by 5 goals	0.24%

Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal	20.00%
Wins by 2 goals	8.86%
Wins by 3 goals	2.82%
Wins by 4 goals	0.69%
Wins by 5 goals	0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.16%	10.84%
1.5	65.07%	34.93%
2.5	38.32%	61.68%
3.5	18.50%	81.50%
4.5	7.49%	92.51%
5.5	2.60%	97.40%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.98%	31.02%
1.5	32.67%	67.33%
2.5	11.42%	88.58%
3.5	3.13%	96.87%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.05%	34.95%
1.5	28.31%	71.69%
2.5	9.00%	91.00%
3.5	2.23%	97.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.25%	35.75%
1.5	27.48%	72.52%
2.5	8.57%	91.43%
3.5	2.08%	97.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.84%	11.40%	5.99%	2.10%	0.55%	0.12%
1	12.69%	13.34%	7.01%	2.46%	0.65%	0.14%
2	7.43%	7.81%	4.10%	1.44%	0.38%	0.08%
3	2.90%	3.05%	1.60%	0.56%	0.15%	0.03%
4	0.85%	0.89%	0.47%	0.16%	0.04%	0.01%
5	0.20%	0.21%	0.11%	0.04%	0.01%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	12.69%
2-0	7.43%
2-1	7.81%
3-0	2.90%
3-1	3.05%
3-2	1.60%
4-0	0.85%
4-1	0.89%
4-2	0.47%
4-3	0.16%
5-0	0.20%
5-1	0.21%
5-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	10.84%
1-1	13.34%
2-2	4.10%
3-3	0.56%

Fortaleza
0-1	11.40%
0-2	5.99%
1-2	7.01%
0-3	2.10%
1-3	2.46%
2-3	1.44%
0-4	0.55%
1-4	0.65%
2-4	0.38%
3-4	0.15%
0-5	0.12%
1-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Fortaleza

Score	0	1	2	3
0	35.75%	17.40%	4.23%	0.69%
1	19.37%	9.43%	2.30%	0.37%
2	5.25%	2.56%	0.62%	0.10%
3	0.95%	0.46%	0.11%	0.02%
4	0.13%	0.06%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	19.37%
2-0	5.25%
2-1	2.56%
3-0	0.95%
3-1	0.46%
3-2	0.11%
4-0	0.13%

Draw
0-0	35.75%
1-1	9.43%
2-2	0.62%

Fortaleza
0-1	17.40%
0-2	4.23%
1-2	2.30%
0-3	0.69%
1-3	0.37%
2-3	0.10%

Corinthians at Athletico Paranaense

Bahia at Fluminense

Atletico Mineiro at Fortaleza