Gremio at Bahia

Updated

Gremio

34.5%28.9%36.6%
Gremio WinDrawBahia Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.14
2Final Score 1

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Coritiba
W 1-3 vs America (MG)
L 0-3 at Flamengo
W 1-2 vs Sao Paulo
W 2-1 at Athletico Paranaense
Bahia
Money Line
L 1-2 at Fluminense
W 0-1 vs Palmeiras
T 2-2 vs Cruzeiro
T 0-0 at Fortaleza
L 0-2 at Internacional

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+200+159+155+151+190+151+190+163.8
Bahia+148+178+175+179+140+179+179+193.2
Draw+229+239+240+240+244+240+244+257.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+163.8
Bahia-----+193.2
Draw-----+257.3

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Gremio: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Bahia: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 80.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½-111o2½-110o2½-111o2½-109o2½-111o2½-109o2½-101
Underu2½-134u2½-105u2½-110u2½-109u2½-111u2½-109u2½-105u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.75%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.08%
Exactly 61.84%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.97%
Exactly 319.88%
Exactly 54.94%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 033.46%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 032.13%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.71%
Exactly 37.84%
Exactly 42.23%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.60%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 41.69%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.54%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 060.23%
Exactly 130.53%
Exactly 27.74%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 059.11%
Exactly 131.08%
Exactly 28.17%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals13.68%
Wins by 3+ goals4.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals14.92%
Wins by 3+ goals4.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal20.77%
Wins by 2 goals9.56%
Wins by 3 goals3.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal21.54%
Wins by 2 goals10.28%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.25%10.75%
1.565.28%34.72%
2.538.54%61.46%
3.518.67%81.33%
4.57.58%92.42%
5.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.54%33.46%
1.529.91%70.09%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.87%32.13%
1.531.40%68.60%
2.510.68%89.32%
3.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.40%35.60%
1.527.63%72.37%
2.58.64%91.36%
3.52.11%97.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Bahia
Score012345
0
10.75%
12.20%
6.93%
2.62%
0.74%
0.17%
1
11.77%
13.36%
7.59%
2.87%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.44%
7.32%
4.15%
1.57%
0.45%
0.10%
3
2.35%
2.67%
1.52%
0.57%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.64%
0.73%
0.41%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-011.77%
2-06.44%
2-17.32%
3-02.35%
3-12.67%
3-21.52%
4-00.64%
4-10.73%
4-20.41%
4-30.16%
5-00.14%
5-10.16%
Draw
0-010.75%
1-113.36%
2-24.15%
3-30.57%
Bahia
0-112.20%
0-26.93%
1-27.59%
0-32.62%
1-32.87%
2-31.57%
0-40.74%
1-40.82%
2-40.45%
3-40.16%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Bahia
Score01234
0
35.60%
18.72%
4.92%
0.86%
0.11%
1
18.05%
9.49%
2.49%
0.44%
0.06%
2
4.58%
2.41%
0.63%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.77%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-018.05%
2-04.58%
2-12.41%
3-00.77%
3-10.41%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-035.60%
1-19.49%
2-20.63%
Bahia
0-118.72%
0-24.92%
1-22.49%
0-30.86%
1-30.44%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%
Fluminense at Sao Paulo
Fortaleza at Flamengo