Fortaleza at Goias

Updated

Fortaleza

38.6%28.7%32.7%
Fortaleza WinDrawGoias Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.06
0Final Score 1

Goias

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Bragantino
L 1-3 at Palmeiras
L 1-0 vs Cuiaba
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 0-2 at Flamengo
Goias
Money Line
W 1-0 at Cruzeiro
T 0-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 3-4 at Santos
L 2-1 vs Coritiba
L 0-2 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+153+191+185+188+168+188+191+202.7
Goias+192+173+165+170+184+170+184+183.8
Draw+230+203+210+200+216+200+216+215.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+202.7
Goias-----+183.8
Draw-----+215.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Goias: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 20.0%
Goias: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Goias: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Goias ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2-118o2-115o2-112o2-124o2-112o2-112o2-102
Underu2½-134u2+100u2-105u2-108u2+106u2-108u2+106u2+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-102
Under-----u2+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.63%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 411.18%
Exactly 61.87%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.82%
Exactly 319.96%
Exactly 55.02%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 030.71%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 221.40%
Exactly 38.42%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Goias
Exactly 034.60%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.49%
Exactly 36.89%
Exactly 41.83%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.42%
Exactly 219.08%
Exactly 41.71%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.60%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 057.89%
Exactly 131.64%
Exactly 28.65%
Exactly 31.58%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Goias
Exactly 061.18%
Exactly 130.06%
Exactly 27.39%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals16.36%
Wins by 3+ goals5.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Goias
Wins by 2+ goals12.59%
Wins by 3+ goals3.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Goias
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal22.23%
Wins by 2 goals11.02%
Wins by 3 goals3.95%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Goias
Wins by 1 goal19.98%
Wins by 2 goals8.91%
Wins by 3 goals2.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.37%10.63%
1.565.55%34.45%
2.538.85%61.15%
3.518.90%81.10%
4.57.71%92.29%
5.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.29%30.71%
1.533.04%66.96%
2.511.63%88.37%
3.53.21%96.79%

Total Goals Goias Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.40%34.60%
1.528.68%71.32%
2.59.19%90.81%
3.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.58%35.42%
1.527.82%72.18%
2.58.74%91.26%
3.52.14%97.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Goias
Score012345
0
10.63%
11.28%
5.98%
2.12%
0.56%
0.12%
1
12.54%
13.31%
7.07%
2.50%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.40%
7.86%
4.17%
1.48%
0.39%
0.08%
3
2.91%
3.09%
1.64%
0.58%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.86%
0.91%
0.48%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-012.54%
2-07.40%
2-17.86%
3-02.91%
3-13.09%
3-21.64%
4-00.86%
4-10.91%
4-20.48%
4-30.17%
5-00.20%
5-10.22%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.63%
1-113.31%
2-24.17%
3-30.58%
Goias
0-111.28%
0-25.98%
1-27.07%
0-32.12%
1-32.50%
2-31.48%
0-40.56%
1-40.66%
2-40.39%
3-40.15%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Goias
Score0123
0
35.42%
17.40%
4.28%
0.70%
1
19.36%
9.51%
2.34%
0.38%
2
5.29%
2.60%
0.64%
0.10%
3
0.96%
0.47%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-019.36%
2-05.29%
2-12.60%
3-00.96%
3-10.47%
3-20.12%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-035.42%
1-19.51%
2-20.64%
Goias
0-117.40%
0-24.28%
1-22.34%
0-30.70%
1-30.38%
2-30.10%