Athletico Paranaense at Santos

Updated 475 days ago

07:00 PM • Aug 5, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

31.5%31.0%37.5%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawSantos Win

0.93Projected Goals 1.05

1Final Score 1

Santos

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
T 3-3	7/29 vs Cruzeiro
W 2-0	7/23 at Vasco da Gama
W 0-2	7/16 vs Bahia
L 0-1	7/09 at Fortaleza
T 2-2	7/02 vs Palmeiras

Santos		Money Line
L 0-1	7/29 at Fluminense
T 2-2	7/23 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-4	7/16 at Sao Paulo
W 3-4	7/09 vs Goias
L 0-3	7/02 at Cuiaba

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+210	-	+240	+260	+258	+260	+260	+278.0
Santos	+140	-	+130	+132	+129	+132	+132	+143.6
Draw	+225	-	+210	+193	+207	+193	+210	+207.7

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+278.0
Santos	-	-	-	-	-	+143.6
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+207.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Santos: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Santos: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-112	-	o2+102	o2+101	o2+102	o2+101	o2+102	o2+110
Under	u2-108	-	u2-122	u2-121	u2-120	u2-121	u2-120	u2-110

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+110
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	39.3%


No	60.7%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	13.83%
Exactly 2	27.06%
Exactly 4	8.82%
Exactly 6	1.15%


Exactly 1	27.36%
Exactly 3	17.84%
Exactly 5	3.49%
Exactly 7	0.33%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	39.37%
Exactly 1	36.70%
Exactly 2	17.11%
Exactly 3	5.31%
Exactly 4	1.24%
Exactly 5	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 0	35.14%
Exactly 1	36.75%
Exactly 2	19.22%
Exactly 3	6.70%
Exactly 4	1.75%
Exactly 5	0.37%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	40.02%
Exactly 2	16.78%
Exactly 4	1.17%


Exactly 1	36.65%
Exactly 3	5.12%
Exactly 5	0.21%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	64.95%
Exactly 1	28.03%
Exactly 2	6.05%
Exactly 3	0.87%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 0	61.62%
Exactly 1	29.84%
Exactly 2	7.22%
Exactly 3	1.17%
Exactly 4	0.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	11.19%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.97%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.60%

Santos
Wins by 2+ goals	14.66%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.31%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Santos

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	20.29%
Wins by 2 goals	8.22%
Wins by 3 goals	2.37%
Wins by 4 goals	0.52%

Santos
Wins by 1 goal	22.77%
Wins by 2 goals	10.34%
Wins by 3 goals	3.34%
Wins by 4 goals	0.82%
Wins by 5 goals	0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	86.17%	13.83%
1.5	58.80%	41.20%
2.5	31.74%	68.26%
3.5	13.89%	86.11%
4.5	5.07%	94.93%
5.5	1.58%	98.42%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.63%	39.37%
1.5	23.93%	76.07%
2.5	6.83%	93.17%
3.5	1.51%	98.49%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.86%	35.14%
1.5	28.11%	71.89%
2.5	8.89%	91.11%
3.5	2.19%	97.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	59.98%	40.02%
1.5	23.33%	76.67%
2.5	6.55%	93.45%
3.5	1.43%	98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Santos

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.83%	14.47%	7.57%	2.64%	0.69%
1	12.90%	13.49%	7.05%	2.46%	0.64%
2	6.01%	6.29%	3.29%	1.15%	0.30%
3	1.87%	1.95%	1.02%	0.36%	0.09%
4	0.44%	0.46%	0.24%	0.08%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	12.90%
2-0	6.01%
2-1	6.29%
3-0	1.87%
3-1	1.95%
3-2	1.02%
4-0	0.44%
4-1	0.46%
4-2	0.24%

Draw
0-0	13.83%
1-1	13.49%
2-2	3.29%
3-3	0.36%

Santos
0-1	14.47%
0-2	7.57%
1-2	7.05%
0-3	2.64%
1-3	2.46%
2-3	1.15%
0-4	0.69%
1-4	0.64%
2-4	0.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Santos

Score	0	1	2	3
0	40.02%	19.38%	4.69%	0.76%
1	17.27%	8.36%	2.02%	0.33%
2	3.73%	1.80%	0.44%	0.07%
3	0.54%	0.26%	0.06%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	17.27%
2-0	3.73%
2-1	1.80%
3-0	0.54%
3-1	0.26%

Draw
0-0	40.02%
1-1	8.36%
2-2	0.44%

Santos
0-1	19.38%
0-2	4.69%
1-2	2.02%
0-3	0.76%
1-3	0.33%

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