Athletico Paranaense at Vasco da Gama

Updated 488 days ago

09:30 PM • Jul 23, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

33.1%31.7%35.1%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawVasco da Gama Win

0.94Projected Goals 0.97

2Final Score 0

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-2	7/16 vs Bahia
L 0-1	7/09 at Fortaleza
T 2-2	7/02 vs Palmeiras
W 0-1	6/24 vs Corinthians
L 1-2	6/21 at Sao Paulo

Vasco da Gama		Money Line
L 1-0	7/08 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-2	7/02 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1	6/27 vs Cuiaba
L 1-0	6/22 vs Goias
L 1-2	6/11 at Internacional

Money Line Analysis

:3.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+160	-	+175	+175	+162	+175	+175	+188.7
Vasco da Gama	+180	-	+165	+179	+179	+179	+179	+192.9
Draw	+225	-	+220	+205	+220	+205	+220	+220.2

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+188.7
Vasco da Gama	-	-	-	-	-	+192.9
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+220.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Vasco da Gama: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-0.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+105	-	o2¼+105	o2-120	o2¼+101	o2-120	o2-120	o2-109
Under	u2¼-125	-	u2¼-125	u2+100	u2¼-123	u2+100	u2¼-123	u2+109

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-109
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	37.8%


No	62.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	14.81%
Exactly 2	27.01%
Exactly 4	8.21%
Exactly 6	1.00%


Exactly 1	28.29%
Exactly 3	17.19%
Exactly 5	3.14%
Exactly 7	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	39.22%
Exactly 1	36.71%
Exactly 2	17.18%
Exactly 3	5.36%
Exactly 4	1.25%
Exactly 5	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	37.76%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	17.91%
Exactly 3	5.81%
Exactly 4	1.42%
Exactly 5	0.28%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	41.30%
Exactly 2	16.15%
Exactly 4	1.05%


Exactly 1	36.52%
Exactly 3	4.76%
Exactly 5	0.19%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	64.84%
Exactly 1	28.09%
Exactly 2	6.09%
Exactly 3	0.88%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	63.71%
Exactly 1	28.72%
Exactly 2	6.48%
Exactly 3	0.97%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	11.87%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.18%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.65%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals	13.03%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.61%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Vasco da Gama

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	21.22%
Wins by 2 goals	8.70%
Wins by 3 goals	2.53%
Wins by 4 goals	0.56%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal	22.08%
Wins by 2 goals	9.41%
Wins by 3 goals	2.85%
Wins by 4 goals	0.66%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	85.19%	14.81%
1.5	56.90%	43.10%
2.5	29.89%	70.11%
3.5	12.70%	87.30%
4.5	4.49%	95.51%
5.5	1.35%	98.65%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	60.78%	39.22%
1.5	24.07%	75.93%
2.5	6.89%	93.11%
3.5	1.53%	98.47%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.24%	37.76%
1.5	25.46%	74.54%
2.5	7.55%	92.45%
3.5	1.74%	98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	58.70%	41.30%
1.5	22.17%	77.83%
2.5	6.03%	93.97%
3.5	1.27%	98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.81%	14.42%	7.02%	2.28%	0.56%
1	13.86%	13.50%	6.57%	2.13%	0.52%
2	6.49%	6.32%	3.08%	1.00%	0.24%
3	2.02%	1.97%	0.96%	0.31%	0.08%
4	0.47%	0.46%	0.22%	0.07%	0.02%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	13.86%
2-0	6.49%
2-1	6.32%
3-0	2.02%
3-1	1.97%
3-2	0.96%
4-0	0.47%
4-1	0.46%
4-2	0.22%

Draw
0-0	14.81%
1-1	13.50%
2-2	3.08%
3-3	0.31%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	14.42%
0-2	7.02%
1-2	6.57%
0-3	2.28%
1-3	2.13%
2-3	1.00%
0-4	0.56%
1-4	0.52%
2-4	0.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3
0	41.30%	18.62%	4.20%	0.63%
1	17.90%	8.07%	1.82%	0.27%
2	3.88%	1.75%	0.39%	0.06%
3	0.56%	0.25%	0.06%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	17.90%
2-0	3.88%
2-1	1.75%
3-0	0.56%
3-1	0.25%

Draw
0-0	41.30%
1-1	8.07%
2-2	0.39%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	18.62%
0-2	4.20%
1-2	1.82%
0-3	0.63%
1-3	0.27%

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