Gremio at Santos

Updated

Gremio

33.3%29.4%37.2%
Gremio WinDrawSantos Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 2

Santos

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fluminense
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 0-1 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 2-0 vs Botafogo RJ
W 2-1 at Bahia
Santos
Money Line
L 0-4 at Fortaleza
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 0-1 at Fluminense
T 2-2 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-4 at Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+172+175+180+185+160+185+187+199.3
Santos+177+178+170+162+184+162+184+175.1
Draw+222+217+215+215+217+215+217+230.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+199.3
Santos-----+175.1
Draw-----+230.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Santos: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Santos: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-138o2-138o2¼+105o2¼+101o2¼+102o2¼+101o2-138o2¼+110
Underu2+118u2+118u2¼-119u2¼-121u2¼-124u2¼-121u2¼-119u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.52%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.47%
Exactly 61.63%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.90%
Exactly 319.38%
Exactly 54.52%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 035.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 032.66%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.77%
Exactly 218.40%
Exactly 41.54%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.14%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.73%
Exactly 129.78%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 059.57%
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 27.99%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals12.76%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals15.12%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Santos
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal20.50%
Wins by 2 goals9.07%
Wins by 3 goals2.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals10.46%
Wins by 3 goals3.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.48%11.52%
1.563.58%36.42%
2.536.68%63.32%
3.517.30%82.70%
4.56.83%93.17%
5.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.73%35.27%
1.527.97%72.03%
2.58.82%91.18%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.34%32.66%
1.530.79%69.21%
2.510.34%89.66%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.23%36.77%
1.526.44%73.56%
2.58.04%91.96%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Santos
Score012345
0
11.52%
12.89%
7.21%
2.69%
0.75%
0.17%
1
12.01%
13.43%
7.52%
2.80%
0.78%
0.18%
2
6.25%
7.00%
3.92%
1.46%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.17%
2.43%
1.36%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.57%
0.63%
0.35%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-012.01%
2-06.25%
2-17.00%
3-02.17%
3-12.43%
3-21.36%
4-00.57%
4-10.63%
4-20.35%
4-30.13%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.52%
1-113.43%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Santos
0-112.89%
0-27.21%
1-27.52%
0-32.69%
1-32.80%
2-31.46%
0-40.75%
1-40.78%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Santos
Score01234
0
36.77%
19.05%
4.93%
0.85%
0.11%
1
17.74%
9.19%
2.38%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.28%
2.22%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.69%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-017.74%
2-04.28%
2-12.22%
3-00.69%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-036.77%
1-19.19%
2-20.57%
Santos
0-119.05%
0-24.93%
1-22.38%
0-30.85%
1-30.41%
0-40.11%
Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama
Bragantino at Bahia