Gremio at Santos

Updated

Gremio

33.3%29.4%37.2%
Gremio WinDrawSantos Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.12
1Final Score 2

Santos

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fluminense
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 0-1 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 2-0 vs Botafogo RJ
W 2-1 at Bahia
Santos
Money Line
L 0-4 at Fortaleza
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 0-1 at Fluminense
T 2-2 vs Botafogo RJ
L 1-4 at Sao Paulo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+172+175+180+185+160+185+187+199.3
Santos+177+178+170+162+184+162+184+175.1
Draw+222+217+215+215+217+215+217+230.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+199.3
Santos-----+175.1
Draw-----+230.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santos: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Santos: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Santos: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Santos ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-138o2-138o2¼+105o2¼+101o2¼+102o2¼+101o2-138o2¼+110
Underu2+118u2+118u2¼-119u2¼-121u2¼-124u2¼-121u2¼-119u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.52%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.47%
Exactly 61.63%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.90%
Exactly 319.38%
Exactly 54.52%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 035.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Santos
Exactly 032.66%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 220.45%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 42.13%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.77%
Exactly 218.40%
Exactly 41.54%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.14%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.73%
Exactly 129.78%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santos
Exactly 059.57%
Exactly 130.86%
Exactly 27.99%
Exactly 31.38%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals12.76%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Santos
Wins by 2+ goals15.12%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Santos
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal20.50%
Wins by 2 goals9.07%
Wins by 3 goals2.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Santos
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals10.46%
Wins by 3 goals3.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.48%11.52%
1.563.58%36.42%
2.536.68%63.32%
3.517.30%82.70%
4.56.83%93.17%
5.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.73%35.27%
1.527.97%72.03%
2.58.82%91.18%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Santos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.34%32.66%
1.530.79%69.21%
2.510.34%89.66%
3.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.23%36.77%
1.526.44%73.56%
2.58.04%91.96%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Santos
Score012345
0
11.52%
12.89%
7.21%
2.69%
0.75%
0.17%
1
12.01%
13.43%
7.52%
2.80%
0.78%
0.18%
2
6.25%
7.00%
3.92%
1.46%
0.41%
0.09%
3
2.17%
2.43%
1.36%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.57%
0.63%
0.35%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-012.01%
2-06.25%
2-17.00%
3-02.17%
3-12.43%
3-21.36%
4-00.57%
4-10.63%
4-20.35%
4-30.13%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.52%
1-113.43%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Santos
0-112.89%
0-27.21%
1-27.52%
0-32.69%
1-32.80%
2-31.46%
0-40.75%
1-40.78%
2-40.41%
3-40.14%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Santos
Score01234
0
36.77%
19.05%
4.93%
0.85%
0.11%
1
17.74%
9.19%
2.38%
0.41%
0.05%
2
4.28%
2.22%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.69%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-017.74%
2-04.28%
2-12.22%
3-00.69%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-036.77%
1-19.19%
2-20.57%
Santos
0-119.05%
0-24.93%
1-22.38%
0-30.85%
1-30.41%
0-40.11%