Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

41.0%28.8%30.2%
Atletico Mineiro WinDrawVasco da Gama Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.00
0Final Score 1

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Bahia
W 2-0 at Sao Paulo
L 2-1 vs Flamengo
L 0-1 at Gremio
T 0-0 at Goias
Vasco da Gama
Money Line
T 1-1 at Bragantino
W 0-1 vs Gremio
L 1-3 at Corinthians
L 2-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 1-0 vs Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+138+185+185+185+190+185+190+199.0
Vasco da Gama+221+176+170+170+158+170+176+183.3
Draw+224+207+210+205+212+205+212+220.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro-----+199.0
Vasco da Gama-----+183.3
Draw-----+220.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-118o2-102o2+105o2+100o2+100o2+100o2+105o2+109
Underu2+100u2-116u2-125u2-120u2-122u2-120u2-116u2-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+109
Under-----u2-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.94%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 410.92%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.21%
Exactly 319.75%
Exactly 54.83%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 029.68%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 38.87%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 036.87%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.90%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 41.65%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 056.98%
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 29.01%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 063.01%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals17.85%
Wins by 3+ goals5.98%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals11.09%
Wins by 3+ goals3.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da Gama
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal23.15%
Wins by 2 goals11.87%
Wins by 3 goals4.39%
Wins by 4 goals1.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal19.01%
Wins by 2 goals8.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.06%10.94%
1.564.84%35.16%
2.538.06%61.94%
3.518.31%81.69%
4.57.38%92.62%
5.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.32%29.68%
1.534.27%65.73%
2.512.37%87.63%
3.53.51%96.49%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.13%36.87%
1.526.34%73.66%
2.57.99%92.01%
3.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.10%35.90%
1.527.32%72.68%
2.58.48%91.52%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da Gama
Score01234
0
10.94%
10.92%
5.45%
1.81%
0.45%
1
13.29%
13.26%
6.62%
2.20%
0.55%
2
8.07%
8.06%
4.02%
1.34%
0.33%
3
3.27%
3.26%
1.63%
0.54%
0.13%
4
0.99%
0.99%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
5
0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Atletico Mineiro
1-013.29%
2-08.07%
2-18.06%
3-03.27%
3-13.26%
3-21.63%
4-00.99%
4-10.99%
4-20.49%
4-30.16%
5-00.24%
5-10.24%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-010.94%
1-113.26%
2-24.02%
3-30.54%
Vasco da Gama
0-110.92%
0-25.45%
1-26.62%
0-31.81%
1-32.20%
2-31.34%
0-40.45%
1-40.55%
2-40.33%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Vasco da Gama
Score0123
0
35.90%
16.59%
3.83%
0.59%
1
20.19%
9.33%
2.15%
0.33%
2
5.68%
2.62%
0.61%
0.09%
3
1.06%
0.49%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Mineiro
1-020.19%
2-05.68%
2-12.62%
3-01.06%
3-10.49%
3-20.11%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-035.90%
1-19.33%
2-20.61%
Vasco da Gama
0-116.59%
0-23.83%
1-22.15%
0-30.59%
1-30.33%