Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama

Updated 460 days ago

02:00 PM • Aug 20, 2023

Atletico Mineiro

41.0%28.8%30.2%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawVasco da Gama Win

1.21Projected Goals 1.00

0Final Score 1

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 0-1	8/13 vs Bahia
W 2-0	8/06 at Sao Paulo
L 2-1	7/30 vs Flamengo
L 0-1	7/23 at Gremio
T 0-0	7/17 at Goias

Vasco da Gama		Money Line
T 1-1	8/15 at Bragantino
W 0-1	8/06 vs Gremio
L 1-3	7/29 at Corinthians
L 2-0	7/23 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 1-0	7/08 vs Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

:2.7%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+138	+185	+185	+185	+190	+185	+190	+199.0
Vasco da Gama	+221	+176	+170	+170	+158	+170	+176	+183.3
Draw	+224	+207	+210	+205	+212	+205	+212	+220.0

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+199.0
Vasco da Gama	-	-	-	-	-	+183.3
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+220.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 10.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

:2.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-118	o2-102	o2+105	o2+100	o2+100	o2+100	o2+105	o2+109
Under	u2+100	u2-116	u2-125	u2-120	u2-122	u2-120	u2-116	u2-109

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2+109
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.4%


No	55.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.94%
Exactly 2	26.78%
Exactly 4	10.92%
Exactly 6	1.78%
Exactly 8	0.16%


Exactly 1	24.21%
Exactly 3	19.75%
Exactly 5	4.83%
Exactly 7	0.56%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	29.68%
Exactly 1	36.05%
Exactly 2	21.90%
Exactly 3	8.87%
Exactly 4	2.69%
Exactly 5	0.65%
Exactly 6	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	36.87%
Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 2	18.35%
Exactly 3	6.10%
Exactly 4	1.52%
Exactly 5	0.30%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.90%
Exactly 2	18.84%
Exactly 4	1.65%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	6.43%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	56.98%
Exactly 1	32.05%
Exactly 2	9.01%
Exactly 3	1.69%
Exactly 4	0.24%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 0	63.01%
Exactly 1	29.11%
Exactly 2	6.72%
Exactly 3	1.04%
Exactly 4	0.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	17.85%
Wins by 3+ goals	5.98%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.34%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals	11.09%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.08%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	23.15%
Wins by 2 goals	11.87%
Wins by 3 goals	4.39%
Wins by 4 goals	1.26%
Wins by 5 goals	0.29%

Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal	19.01%
Wins by 2 goals	8.01%
Wins by 3 goals	2.43%
Wins by 4 goals	0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.06%	10.94%
1.5	64.84%	35.16%
2.5	38.06%	61.94%
3.5	18.31%	81.69%
4.5	7.38%	92.62%
5.5	2.55%	97.45%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.32%	29.68%
1.5	34.27%	65.73%
2.5	12.37%	87.63%
3.5	3.51%	96.49%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.13%	36.87%
1.5	26.34%	73.66%
2.5	7.99%	92.01%
3.5	1.88%	98.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.10%	35.90%
1.5	27.32%	72.68%
2.5	8.48%	91.52%
3.5	2.05%	97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.94%	10.92%	5.45%	1.81%	0.45%
1	13.29%	13.26%	6.62%	2.20%	0.55%
2	8.07%	8.06%	4.02%	1.34%	0.33%
3	3.27%	3.26%	1.63%	0.54%	0.13%
4	0.99%	0.99%	0.49%	0.16%	0.04%
5	0.24%	0.24%	0.12%	0.04%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.29%
2-0	8.07%
2-1	8.06%
3-0	3.27%
3-1	3.26%
3-2	1.63%
4-0	0.99%
4-1	0.99%
4-2	0.49%
4-3	0.16%
5-0	0.24%
5-1	0.24%
5-2	0.12%

Draw
0-0	10.94%
1-1	13.26%
2-2	4.02%
3-3	0.54%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	10.92%
0-2	5.45%
1-2	6.62%
0-3	1.81%
1-3	2.20%
2-3	1.34%
0-4	0.45%
1-4	0.55%
2-4	0.33%
3-4	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Vasco da Gama

Score	0	1	2	3
0	35.90%	16.59%	3.83%	0.59%
1	20.19%	9.33%	2.15%	0.33%
2	5.68%	2.62%	0.61%	0.09%
3	1.06%	0.49%	0.11%	0.02%
4	0.15%	0.07%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	20.19%
2-0	5.68%
2-1	2.62%
3-0	1.06%
3-1	0.49%
3-2	0.11%
4-0	0.15%

Draw
0-0	35.90%
1-1	9.33%
2-2	0.61%

Vasco da Gama
0-1	16.59%
0-2	3.83%
1-2	2.15%
0-3	0.59%
1-3	0.33%

Corinthians at Cruzeiro

Bragantino at Bahia

Atletico Mineiro at Vasco da Gama