Fluminense at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Fluminense

27.0%29.8%43.2%
Fluminense WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Fluminense
Money Line
W 1-3 vs America (MG)
L 1-2 at Gremio
W 1-2 vs Palmeiras
W 0-1 vs Santos
L 0-2 at Coritiba
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Goias
W 0-2 vs Cuiaba
T 1-1 at Santos
T 3-3 vs Cruzeiro
W 2-0 at Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense+205-+360+392+410+392+410+416.7
Athletico Paranaense+140--125-130-141-130-125-116.6
Draw+225-+265+255+268+255+268+272.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense-----+416.7
Athletico Paranaense------116.6
Draw-----+272.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fluminense: 40.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fluminense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fluminense: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼-120o2¼-119o2¼-118o2¼-119o2¼-118o2¼-108
Underu2¼-122-u2¼+100u2¼-101u2¼-102u2¼-101u2¼+100u2¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-108
Under-----u2¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.4%
 
No59.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.79%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 49.53%
Exactly 61.34%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.30%
Exactly 318.54%
Exactly 53.92%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 041.84%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.88%
Exactly 34.61%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 030.56%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.59%
Exactly 217.50%
Exactly 41.32%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 066.80%
Exactly 126.95%
Exactly 25.44%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 057.76%
Exactly 131.70%
Exactly 28.70%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals8.99%
Wins by 3+ goals2.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals18.70%
Wins by 3+ goals6.20%
Wins by 4+ goals1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Fluminense
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal17.98%
Wins by 2 goals6.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals12.51%
Wins by 3 goals4.57%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.21%12.79%
1.560.91%39.09%
2.533.87%66.13%
3.515.33%84.67%
4.55.79%94.21%
5.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.16%41.84%
1.521.70%78.30%
2.55.82%94.18%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.44%30.56%
1.533.21%66.79%
2.511.74%88.26%
3.53.25%96.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.41%38.59%
1.524.67%75.33%
2.57.17%92.83%
3.51.62%98.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fluminense
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
12.79%
15.16%
8.98%
3.55%
1.05%
0.25%
1
11.14%
13.21%
7.83%
3.09%
0.92%
0.22%
2
4.85%
5.75%
3.41%
1.35%
0.40%
0.09%
3
1.41%
1.67%
0.99%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.31%
0.36%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Fluminense
1-011.14%
2-04.85%
2-15.75%
3-01.41%
3-11.67%
3-20.99%
4-00.31%
4-10.36%
4-20.22%
Draw
0-012.79%
1-113.21%
2-23.41%
3-30.39%
Athletico Paranaense
0-115.16%
0-28.98%
1-27.83%
0-33.55%
1-33.09%
2-31.35%
0-41.05%
1-40.92%
2-40.40%
3-40.12%
0-50.25%
1-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Fluminense
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
38.59%
21.18%
5.81%
1.06%
0.15%
1
15.57%
8.54%
2.34%
0.43%
0.06%
2
3.14%
1.72%
0.47%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.42%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Fluminense
1-015.57%
2-03.14%
2-11.72%
3-00.42%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-038.59%
1-18.54%
2-20.47%
Athletico Paranaense
0-121.18%
0-25.81%
1-22.34%
0-31.06%
1-30.43%
0-40.15%
Santos at Atletico Mineiro
Coritiba at Fortaleza