Athletico Paranaense at Coritiba

Updated 354 days ago

07:00 PM • Oct 1, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

39.0%30.2%30.7%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawCoritiba Win

1.10Projected Goals 0.95

0Final Score 2

Coritiba

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 1-2	9/21 vs Internacional
W 3-0	9/14 at Flamengo
T 1-1	9/02 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 2-2	8/27 vs Fluminense
T 1-1	8/21 at Goias

Coritiba		Money Line
L 1-2	9/27 at Sao Paulo
L 1-5	9/21 at Vasco da Gama
L 4-2	9/14 vs Bahia
L 1-3	8/27 at Fortaleza
L 3-2	8/20 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

:3.2%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+165	-	+125	+120	+120	+120	+125	+131.0
Coritiba	+175	-	+235	+256	+256	+256	+256	+273.8
Draw	+225	-	+220	+218	+218	+218	+225	+233.9

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+131.0
Coritiba	-	-	-	-	-	+273.8
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+233.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Coritiba: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Coritiba: 20.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Coritiba: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Coritiba: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Coritiba ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-102	-	o2¼+105	o2¼+103	o2¼+103	o2¼+103	o2¼+105	o2¼+112
Under	u2¼-118	-	u2¼-125	u2¼-123	u2¼-123	u2¼-123	u2¼-123	u2¼-112

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼+112
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.0%


No	59.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.82%
Exactly 2	27.05%
Exactly 4	9.51%
Exactly 6	1.34%
Exactly 8	0.10%


Exactly 1	26.33%
Exactly 3	18.52%
Exactly 5	3.91%
Exactly 7	0.39%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	33.05%
Exactly 1	36.59%
Exactly 2	20.25%
Exactly 3	7.47%
Exactly 4	2.07%
Exactly 5	0.46%

Exact Goals Scored - Coritiba
Exactly 0	38.78%
Exactly 1	36.73%
Exactly 2	17.40%
Exactly 3	5.49%
Exactly 4	1.30%
Exactly 5	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	38.63%
Exactly 2	17.47%
Exactly 4	1.32%


Exactly 1	36.74%
Exactly 3	5.54%
Exactly 5	0.25%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	59.90%
Exactly 1	30.70%
Exactly 2	7.87%
Exactly 3	1.34%
Exactly 4	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Coritiba
Exactly 0	64.50%
Exactly 1	28.28%
Exactly 2	6.20%
Exactly 3	0.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	15.87%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.89%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.15%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.18%

Coritiba
Wins by 2+ goals	10.98%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.94%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Coritiba

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	23.05%
Wins by 2 goals	10.99%
Wins by 3 goals	3.74%
Wins by 4 goals	0.97%
Wins by 5 goals	0.18%

Coritiba
Wins by 1 goal	19.72%
Wins by 2 goals	8.04%
Wins by 3 goals	2.34%
Wins by 4 goals	0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.18%	12.82%
1.5	60.85%	39.15%
2.5	33.80%	66.20%
3.5	15.28%	84.72%
4.5	5.77%	94.23%
5.5	1.86%	98.14%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	66.95%	33.05%
1.5	30.35%	69.65%
2.5	10.10%	89.90%
3.5	2.63%	97.37%

Total Goals Coritiba Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.22%	38.78%
1.5	24.48%	75.52%
2.5	7.08%	92.92%
3.5	1.59%	98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.37%	38.63%
1.5	24.63%	75.37%
2.5	7.15%	92.85%
3.5	1.61%	98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Coritiba

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.82%	12.14%	5.75%	1.82%	0.43%
1	14.19%	13.44%	6.37%	2.01%	0.48%
2	7.86%	7.44%	3.52%	1.11%	0.26%
3	2.90%	2.75%	1.30%	0.41%	0.10%
4	0.80%	0.76%	0.36%	0.11%	0.03%
5	0.18%	0.17%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	14.19%
2-0	7.86%
2-1	7.44%
3-0	2.90%
3-1	2.75%
3-2	1.30%
4-0	0.80%
4-1	0.76%
4-2	0.36%
4-3	0.11%
5-0	0.18%
5-1	0.17%

Draw
0-0	12.82%
1-1	13.44%
2-2	3.52%
3-3	0.41%

Coritiba
0-1	12.14%
0-2	5.75%
1-2	6.37%
0-3	1.82%
1-3	2.01%
2-3	1.11%
0-4	0.43%
1-4	0.48%
2-4	0.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Coritiba

Score	0	1	2	3
0	38.63%	16.94%	3.71%	0.54%
1	19.80%	8.68%	1.90%	0.28%
2	5.07%	2.23%	0.49%	0.07%
3	0.87%	0.38%	0.08%	0.01%
4	0.11%	0.05%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	19.80%
2-0	5.07%
2-1	2.23%
3-0	0.87%
3-1	0.38%
4-0	0.11%

Draw
0-0	38.63%
1-1	8.68%
2-2	0.49%

Coritiba
0-1	16.94%
0-2	3.71%
1-2	1.90%
0-3	0.54%
1-3	0.28%

Atletico Mineiro at Internacional

America (MG) at Cruzeiro

Athletico Paranaense at Coritiba