Coritiba at Sao Paulo

Updated

Coritiba

14.1%21.8%64.1%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.73Projected Goals 1.85
1Final Score 2

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Coritiba
Money Line
L 1-5 at Vasco da Gama
L 4-2 vs Bahia
L 1-3 at Fortaleza
L 3-2 vs Flamengo
L 1-3 at Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 1-2 at America (MG)
T 0-0 vs Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 at Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Coritiba+598+644+575+653+653+653+653+690.3
Sao Paulo-199-206-210-215-215-215-206-186.0
Draw+332+329+340+327+327+327+340+348.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Coritiba-----+690.3
Sao Paulo------186.0
Draw-----+348.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Coritiba: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Coritiba: 10.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Coritiba: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Coritiba ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-109o2½-108o2½-107o2½-108o2½-107o2½-107o2½+103
Underu2½-116u2½-107u2½-112u2½-113u2½-112u2½-113u2½-107u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.60%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 413.97%
Exactly 63.09%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.58%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Coritiba
Exactly 048.28%
Exactly 135.16%
Exactly 212.80%
Exactly 33.11%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 015.73%
Exactly 129.10%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 316.59%
Exactly 47.67%
Exactly 52.84%
Exactly 60.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.32%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Coritiba
Exactly 071.38%
Exactly 124.07%
Exactly 24.06%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 042.47%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.57%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Coritiba
Wins by 2+ goals3.81%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals38.13%
Wins by 3+ goals18.24%
Wins by 4+ goals7.14%
Wins by 5+ goals2.32%
Wins by 6+ goals0.61%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Coritiba
Sao Paulo
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Coritiba
Wins by 1 goal10.19%
Wins by 2 goals3.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.65%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.88%
Wins by 2 goals19.90%
Wins by 3 goals11.10%
Wins by 4 goals4.82%
Wins by 5 goals1.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.40%7.60%
1.572.83%27.17%
2.547.59%52.41%
3.525.91%74.09%
4.511.94%88.06%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Coritiba Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.72%48.28%
1.516.57%83.43%
2.53.77%96.23%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.27%15.73%
1.555.17%44.83%
2.528.26%71.74%
3.511.68%88.32%
4.54.01%95.99%
5.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.68%30.32%
1.533.50%66.50%
2.511.91%88.09%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
7.60%
14.05%
12.99%
8.01%
3.70%
1.37%
1
5.53%
10.23%
9.46%
5.83%
2.70%
1.00%
2
2.01%
3.72%
3.44%
2.12%
0.98%
0.36%
3
0.49%
0.90%
0.84%
0.52%
0.24%
0.09%
Coritiba
1-05.53%
2-02.01%
2-13.72%
3-00.49%
3-10.90%
3-20.84%
Draw
0-07.60%
1-110.23%
2-23.44%
3-30.52%
Sao Paulo
0-114.05%
0-212.99%
1-29.46%
0-38.01%
1-35.83%
2-32.12%
0-43.70%
1-42.70%
2-40.98%
3-40.24%
0-51.37%
1-51.00%
2-50.36%

Correct Score - First Half

Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
30.32%
25.96%
11.11%
3.17%
0.68%
0.12%
1
10.22%
8.75%
3.75%
1.07%
0.23%
0.04%
2
1.72%
1.48%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.19%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Coritiba
1-010.22%
2-01.72%
2-11.48%
3-00.19%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-030.32%
1-18.75%
2-20.63%
Sao Paulo
0-125.96%
0-211.11%
1-23.75%
0-33.17%
1-31.07%
2-30.18%
0-40.68%
1-40.23%
0-50.12%