Fortaleza at Sao Paulo

Updated

Fortaleza

26.8%28.3%44.9%
Fortaleza WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.29
2Final Score 1

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
L 0-1 at Fluminense
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
W 0-4 vs Santos
L 0-1 at Goias
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 1-2 at America (MG)
T 0-0 vs Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 at Flamengo
L 2-0 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+284+221+205+225+225+225+225+240.9
Sao Paulo+104+140+140+136+136+136+140+147.5
Draw+246+221+225+215+215+215+225+230.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+240.9
Sao Paulo-----+147.5
Draw-----+230.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+113o2-141o2¼+102o2¼+104o2¼+104o2¼+104o2-141o2¼+113
Underu2½-133u2+119u2¼-122u2¼-124u2¼-124u2¼-124u2¼-122u2¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+113
Under-----u2¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.79%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.05%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.03%
Exactly 319.85%
Exactly 54.92%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 039.39%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.10%
Exactly 35.31%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 027.39%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 39.91%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.67%
Exactly 218.95%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.51%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 064.96%
Exactly 128.02%
Exactly 26.04%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 054.91%
Exactly 132.92%
Exactly 29.87%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals9.30%
Wins by 3+ goals2.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals20.57%
Wins by 3+ goals7.30%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal17.47%
Wins by 2 goals6.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal24.27%
Wins by 2 goals13.28%
Wins by 3 goals5.23%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.21%10.79%
1.565.18%34.82%
2.538.44%61.56%
3.518.59%81.41%
4.57.54%92.46%
5.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.61%39.39%
1.523.91%76.09%
2.56.82%93.18%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.61%27.39%
1.537.13%62.87%
2.514.17%85.83%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.33%35.67%
1.527.56%72.44%
2.58.61%91.39%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
10.79%
13.97%
9.05%
3.90%
1.26%
0.33%
1
10.05%
13.02%
8.43%
3.64%
1.18%
0.30%
2
4.68%
6.06%
3.93%
1.69%
0.55%
0.14%
3
1.45%
1.88%
1.22%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.34%
0.44%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-010.05%
2-04.68%
2-16.06%
3-01.45%
3-11.88%
3-21.22%
4-00.34%
4-10.44%
4-20.28%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.79%
1-113.02%
2-23.93%
3-30.53%
Sao Paulo
0-113.97%
0-29.05%
1-28.43%
0-33.90%
1-33.64%
2-31.69%
0-41.26%
1-41.18%
2-40.55%
3-40.17%
0-50.33%
1-50.30%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
35.67%
21.38%
6.41%
1.28%
0.19%
1
15.39%
9.22%
2.76%
0.55%
0.08%
2
3.32%
1.99%
0.60%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.29%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-015.39%
2-03.32%
2-11.99%
3-00.48%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-035.67%
1-19.22%
2-20.60%
Sao Paulo
0-121.38%
0-26.41%
1-22.76%
0-31.28%
1-30.55%
2-30.12%
0-40.19%
Flamengo at Goias
Cruzeiro at Fluminense