Bahia at Palmeiras

Updated

Bahia

9.6%17.0%73.4%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.27
0Final Score 1

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
L 0-3 at Cruzeiro
W 0-2 vs Fortaleza
W 0-1 vs Internacional
W 6-4 at Goias
L 0-1 at Flamengo
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Sao Paulo
W 2-0 at Coritiba
L 2-0 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 2-1 vs Santos
L 1-2 at Bragantino

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+529+863+800+950+950+950+950+1001.8
Palmeiras-173-275-300-300-300-300-275-250.6
Draw+304+394+420+390+390+390+420+414.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+1001.8
Palmeiras------250.6
Draw-----+414.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 10.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+104o2½-127o2¾+102o2¾+100o2¾+100o2¾+100o2½-127o2¾+109
Underu2½-122u2½+107u2¾-122u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.20%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 416.55%
Exactly 64.82%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.37%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.79%
Exactly 72.04%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 050.48%
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 211.79%
Exactly 32.69%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 010.30%
Exactly 123.41%
Exactly 226.61%
Exactly 320.16%
Exactly 411.46%
Exactly 55.21%
Exactly 61.97%
Exactly 70.64%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.44%
Exactly 223.83%
Exactly 43.72%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 310.88%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 072.87%
Exactly 123.06%
Exactly 23.65%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 034.91%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals2.40%
Wins by 3+ goals0.43%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals49.63%
Wins by 3+ goals27.74%
Wins by 4+ goals12.94%
Wins by 5+ goals5.11%
Wins by 6+ goals1.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal7.12%
Wins by 2 goals1.97%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal23.71%
Wins by 2 goals21.89%
Wins by 3 goals14.80%
Wins by 4 goals7.83%
Wins by 5 goals3.39%
Wins by 6 goals1.24%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.80%5.20%
1.579.43%20.57%
2.556.70%43.30%
3.534.30%65.70%
4.517.75%82.25%
5.57.96%92.04%
6.53.14%96.86%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.52%50.48%
1.515.01%84.99%
2.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.70%10.30%
1.566.29%33.71%
2.539.68%60.32%
3.519.52%80.48%
4.58.06%91.94%
5.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.56%25.44%
1.539.74%60.26%
2.515.90%84.10%
3.55.03%94.97%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
5.20%
11.82%
13.43%
10.18%
5.78%
2.63%
1
3.55%
8.08%
9.18%
6.96%
3.95%
1.80%
2
1.21%
2.76%
3.14%
2.38%
1.35%
0.61%
3
0.28%
0.63%
0.71%
0.54%
0.31%
0.14%
Bahia
1-03.55%
2-01.21%
2-12.76%
3-00.28%
3-10.63%
3-20.71%
Draw
0-05.20%
1-18.08%
2-23.14%
3-30.54%
Palmeiras
0-111.82%
0-213.43%
1-29.18%
0-310.18%
1-36.96%
2-32.38%
0-45.78%
1-43.95%
2-41.35%
3-40.31%
0-52.63%
1-51.80%
2-50.61%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
25.44%
26.77%
14.09%
4.94%
1.30%
0.27%
1
8.05%
8.47%
4.46%
1.56%
0.41%
0.09%
2
1.27%
1.34%
0.71%
0.25%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Bahia
1-08.05%
2-01.27%
2-11.34%
3-00.13%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-025.44%
1-18.47%
2-20.71%
Palmeiras
0-126.77%
0-214.09%
1-24.46%
0-34.94%
1-31.56%
2-30.25%
0-41.30%
1-40.41%
0-50.27%