Fortaleza at Bahia

Updated

Fortaleza

33.3%29.3%37.4%
Fortaleza WinDrawBahia Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 2

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 2-3 vs America (MG)
T 1-1 vs Gremio
W 2-1 at Sao Paulo
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
Bahia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Internacional
W 6-4 at Goias
L 0-1 at Flamengo
L 2-1 vs Santos
W 4-2 at Coritiba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+232+272+250+280+280+280+280+299.0
Bahia+131+111+110+104+104+104+111+114.2
Draw+227+236+240+237+237+237+240+253.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+299.0
Bahia-----+114.2
Draw-----+253.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-110
Underu2½-134u2½-125u2¼+102u2¼+101u2¼+101u2¼+101u2½-125u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-110
Under-----u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.36%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 410.60%
Exactly 61.67%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.71%
Exactly 319.48%
Exactly 54.61%
Exactly 70.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 035.10%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 36.71%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 032.36%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.53%
Exactly 218.53%
Exactly 41.57%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.22%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 061.59%
Exactly 129.85%
Exactly 27.24%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 059.31%
Exactly 130.98%
Exactly 28.09%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals12.78%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals15.27%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal20.44%
Wins by 2 goals9.07%
Wins by 3 goals2.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal22.03%
Wins by 2 goals10.53%
Wins by 3 goals3.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.64%11.36%
1.563.94%36.06%
2.537.07%62.93%
3.517.58%82.42%
4.56.99%93.01%
5.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.90%35.10%
1.528.15%71.85%
2.58.91%91.09%
3.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.64%32.36%
1.531.13%68.87%
2.510.54%89.46%
3.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.47%36.53%
1.526.69%73.31%
2.58.16%91.84%
3.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Bahia
Score012345
0
11.36%
12.81%
7.23%
2.72%
0.77%
0.17%
1
11.89%
13.42%
7.57%
2.85%
0.80%
0.18%
2
6.22%
7.02%
3.96%
1.49%
0.42%
0.09%
3
2.17%
2.45%
1.38%
0.52%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.57%
0.64%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-011.89%
2-06.22%
2-17.02%
3-02.17%
3-12.45%
3-21.38%
4-00.57%
4-10.64%
4-20.36%
4-30.14%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.36%
1-113.42%
2-23.96%
3-30.52%
Bahia
0-112.81%
0-27.23%
1-27.57%
0-32.72%
1-32.85%
2-31.49%
0-40.77%
1-40.80%
2-40.42%
3-40.15%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Bahia
Score01234
0
36.53%
19.08%
4.98%
0.87%
0.11%
1
17.71%
9.25%
2.42%
0.42%
0.05%
2
4.29%
2.24%
0.59%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.69%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-017.71%
2-04.29%
2-12.24%
3-00.69%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-036.53%
1-19.25%
2-20.59%
Bahia
0-119.08%
0-24.98%
1-22.42%
0-30.87%
1-30.42%
2-30.10%
0-40.11%
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