Fortaleza at Bahia

Updated

Fortaleza

33.3%29.3%37.4%
Fortaleza WinDrawBahia Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 2

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 2-3 vs America (MG)
T 1-1 vs Gremio
W 2-1 at Sao Paulo
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
Bahia
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Internacional
W 6-4 at Goias
L 0-1 at Flamengo
L 2-1 vs Santos
W 4-2 at Coritiba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+232+272+250+280+280+280+280+299.0
Bahia+131+111+110+104+104+104+111+114.2
Draw+227+236+240+237+237+237+240+253.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+299.0
Bahia-----+114.2
Draw-----+253.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-110
Underu2½-134u2½-125u2¼+102u2¼+101u2¼+101u2¼+101u2½-125u2¼+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-110
Under-----u2¼+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.36%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 410.60%
Exactly 61.67%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.71%
Exactly 319.48%
Exactly 54.61%
Exactly 70.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 035.10%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.24%
Exactly 36.71%
Exactly 41.76%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 032.36%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 37.75%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.53%
Exactly 218.53%
Exactly 41.57%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.22%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 061.59%
Exactly 129.85%
Exactly 27.24%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 059.31%
Exactly 130.98%
Exactly 28.09%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals12.78%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals15.27%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.12%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal20.44%
Wins by 2 goals9.07%
Wins by 3 goals2.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal22.03%
Wins by 2 goals10.53%
Wins by 3 goals3.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.64%11.36%
1.563.94%36.06%
2.537.07%62.93%
3.517.58%82.42%
4.56.99%93.01%
5.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.90%35.10%
1.528.15%71.85%
2.58.91%91.09%
3.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.64%32.36%
1.531.13%68.87%
2.510.54%89.46%
3.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.47%36.53%
1.526.69%73.31%
2.58.16%91.84%
3.51.94%98.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Bahia
Score012345
0
11.36%
12.81%
7.23%
2.72%
0.77%
0.17%
1
11.89%
13.42%
7.57%
2.85%
0.80%
0.18%
2
6.22%
7.02%
3.96%
1.49%
0.42%
0.09%
3
2.17%
2.45%
1.38%
0.52%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.57%
0.64%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-011.89%
2-06.22%
2-17.02%
3-02.17%
3-12.45%
3-21.38%
4-00.57%
4-10.64%
4-20.36%
4-30.14%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.36%
1-113.42%
2-23.96%
3-30.52%
Bahia
0-112.81%
0-27.23%
1-27.57%
0-32.72%
1-32.85%
2-31.49%
0-40.77%
1-40.80%
2-40.42%
3-40.15%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Bahia
Score01234
0
36.53%
19.08%
4.98%
0.87%
0.11%
1
17.71%
9.25%
2.42%
0.42%
0.05%
2
4.29%
2.24%
0.59%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.69%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-017.71%
2-04.29%
2-12.24%
3-00.69%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-036.53%
1-19.25%
2-20.59%
Bahia
0-119.08%
0-24.98%
1-22.42%
0-30.87%
1-30.42%
2-30.10%
0-40.11%