Bahia at Goias

Updated

Bahia

26.9%26.7%46.4%
Bahia WinDrawGoias Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.43
6Final Score 4

Goias

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
L 0-1 at Flamengo
L 2-1 vs Santos
W 4-2 at Coritiba
T 1-1 vs Vasco da Gama
L 0-3 at Botafogo RJ
Goias
Money Line
T 1-1 at Botafogo RJ
T 0-0 vs Flamengo
L 0-1 at Palmeiras
T 0-0 vs Internacional
T 1-1 at Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia+244+222+205+220+220+220+222+235.9
Goias+130+143+140+140+140+140+145+151.9
Draw+218+215+220+212+212+212+220+227.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+235.9
Goias-----+151.9
Draw-----+227.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Goias: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
Goias: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 0.0%
Goias: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On Goias ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-126o2-140o2¼+102o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼-102o2-140o2¼+107
Underu2+108u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.68%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 412.90%
Exactly 62.57%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.22%
Exactly 321.12%
Exactly 56.31%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 036.13%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 41.62%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Goias
Exactly 024.03%
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 311.61%
Exactly 44.14%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.25%
Exactly 220.65%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.79%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 062.41%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 26.93%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Goias
Exactly 051.68%
Exactly 134.11%
Exactly 211.26%
Exactly 32.48%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals9.85%
Wins by 3+ goals2.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.58%
Goias
Wins by 2+ goals22.51%
Wins by 3+ goals8.57%
Wins by 4+ goals2.61%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
Goias
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal17.01%
Wins by 2 goals7.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Goias
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals13.95%
Wins by 3 goals5.95%
Wins by 4 goals1.98%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.32%8.68%
1.570.10%29.90%
2.544.17%55.83%
3.523.05%76.95%
4.510.14%89.86%
5.53.84%96.16%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.87%36.13%
1.527.09%72.91%
2.58.37%91.63%
3.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Goias Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.97%24.03%
1.541.70%58.30%
2.517.28%82.72%
3.55.67%94.33%
4.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.75%32.25%
1.531.25%68.75%
2.510.60%89.40%
3.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
Goias
Score012345
0
8.68%
12.38%
8.82%
4.19%
1.49%
0.43%
1
8.84%
12.60%
8.98%
4.27%
1.52%
0.43%
2
4.50%
6.42%
4.57%
2.17%
0.77%
0.22%
3
1.53%
2.18%
1.55%
0.74%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.39%
0.55%
0.40%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Bahia
1-08.84%
2-04.50%
2-16.42%
3-01.53%
3-12.18%
3-21.55%
4-00.39%
4-10.55%
4-20.40%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.68%
1-112.60%
2-24.57%
3-30.74%
Goias
0-112.38%
0-28.82%
1-28.98%
0-34.19%
1-34.27%
2-32.17%
0-41.49%
1-41.52%
2-40.77%
3-40.26%
0-50.43%
1-50.43%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
Goias
Score01234
0
32.25%
21.29%
7.03%
1.55%
0.26%
1
15.20%
10.04%
3.31%
0.73%
0.12%
2
3.58%
2.37%
0.78%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.56%
0.37%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Bahia
1-015.20%
2-03.58%
2-12.37%
3-00.56%
3-10.37%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-032.25%
1-110.04%
2-20.78%
Goias
0-121.29%
0-27.03%
1-23.31%
0-31.55%
1-30.73%
2-30.17%
0-40.26%
1-40.12%