Sao Paulo at Vasco da Gama

Updated

Sao Paulo

31.6%30.3%38.1%
Sao Paulo WinDrawVasco da Gama Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.09
0Final Score 0

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 1-2 at America (MG)
Vasco da Gama
Money Line
L 1-4 at Santos
W 1-0 at America (MG)
W 1-5 vs Coritiba
W 2-4 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 at Bahia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+197+197+210+195+195+195+197+209.7
Vasco da Gama+151+162+140+161+161+161+162+174.0
Draw+228+211+220+205+205+205+220+220.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+209.7
Vasco da Gama-----+174.0
Draw-----+220.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2-131o2-122o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-122o2-114
Underu2½-137u2+111u2+102u2+105u2+105u2+105u2+111u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-114
Under-----u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.83%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 49.50%
Exactly 61.34%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.35%
Exactly 318.51%
Exactly 53.90%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.15%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.71%
Exactly 35.69%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 033.63%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 41.98%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.65%
Exactly 217.46%
Exactly 41.32%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.01%
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 26.37%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 060.38%
Exactly 130.46%
Exactly 27.68%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals11.45%
Wins by 3+ goals3.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals15.30%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.10%
Wins by 2 goals8.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal22.73%
Wins by 2 goals10.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.17%12.83%
1.560.82%39.18%
2.533.77%66.23%
3.515.26%84.74%
4.55.76%94.24%
5.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.85%38.15%
1.525.09%74.91%
2.57.37%92.63%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.37%33.63%
1.529.72%70.28%
2.59.75%90.25%
3.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.35%38.65%
1.524.61%75.39%
2.57.15%92.85%
3.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Score012345
0
12.83%
13.98%
7.62%
2.77%
0.75%
0.16%
1
12.36%
13.47%
7.34%
2.67%
0.73%
0.16%
2
5.96%
6.49%
3.54%
1.28%
0.35%
0.08%
3
1.91%
2.09%
1.14%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.46%
0.50%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-012.36%
2-05.96%
2-16.49%
3-01.91%
3-12.09%
3-21.14%
4-00.46%
4-10.50%
4-20.27%
Draw
0-012.83%
1-113.47%
2-23.54%
3-30.41%
Vasco da Gama
0-113.98%
0-27.62%
1-27.34%
0-32.77%
1-32.67%
2-31.28%
0-40.75%
1-40.73%
2-40.35%
3-40.11%
0-50.16%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Score01234
0
38.65%
19.50%
4.92%
0.83%
0.10%
1
17.24%
8.70%
2.19%
0.37%
0.05%
2
3.85%
1.94%
0.49%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.57%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-017.24%
2-03.85%
2-11.94%
3-00.57%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-038.65%
1-18.70%
2-20.49%
Vasco da Gama
0-119.50%
0-24.92%
1-22.19%
0-30.83%
1-30.37%
0-40.10%