Sao Paulo at Vasco da Gama

Updated

Sao Paulo

31.6%30.3%38.1%
Sao Paulo WinDrawVasco da Gama Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.09
0Final Score 0

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza
L 1-2 at Internacional
L 1-2 at America (MG)
Vasco da Gama
Money Line
L 1-4 at Santos
W 1-0 at America (MG)
W 1-5 vs Coritiba
W 2-4 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 at Bahia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+197+197+210+195+195+195+197+209.7
Vasco da Gama+151+162+140+161+161+161+162+174.0
Draw+228+211+220+205+205+205+220+220.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+209.7
Vasco da Gama-----+174.0
Draw-----+220.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+117o2-131o2-122o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-122o2-114
Underu2½-137u2+111u2+102u2+105u2+105u2+105u2+111u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-114
Under-----u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.83%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 49.50%
Exactly 61.34%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.35%
Exactly 318.51%
Exactly 53.90%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 038.15%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.71%
Exactly 35.69%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 033.63%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 41.98%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.65%
Exactly 217.46%
Exactly 41.32%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 064.01%
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 26.37%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 060.38%
Exactly 130.46%
Exactly 27.68%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals11.45%
Wins by 3+ goals3.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals15.30%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.10%
Wins by 2 goals8.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal22.73%
Wins by 2 goals10.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.17%12.83%
1.560.82%39.18%
2.533.77%66.23%
3.515.26%84.74%
4.55.76%94.24%
5.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.85%38.15%
1.525.09%74.91%
2.57.37%92.63%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.37%33.63%
1.529.72%70.28%
2.59.75%90.25%
3.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.35%38.65%
1.524.61%75.39%
2.57.15%92.85%
3.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Score012345
0
12.83%
13.98%
7.62%
2.77%
0.75%
0.16%
1
12.36%
13.47%
7.34%
2.67%
0.73%
0.16%
2
5.96%
6.49%
3.54%
1.28%
0.35%
0.08%
3
1.91%
2.09%
1.14%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.46%
0.50%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-012.36%
2-05.96%
2-16.49%
3-01.91%
3-12.09%
3-21.14%
4-00.46%
4-10.50%
4-20.27%
Draw
0-012.83%
1-113.47%
2-23.54%
3-30.41%
Vasco da Gama
0-113.98%
0-27.62%
1-27.34%
0-32.77%
1-32.67%
2-31.28%
0-40.75%
1-40.73%
2-40.35%
3-40.11%
0-50.16%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Score01234
0
38.65%
19.50%
4.92%
0.83%
0.10%
1
17.24%
8.70%
2.19%
0.37%
0.05%
2
3.85%
1.94%
0.49%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.57%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-017.24%
2-03.85%
2-11.94%
3-00.57%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-038.65%
1-18.70%
2-20.49%
Vasco da Gama
0-119.50%
0-24.92%
1-22.19%
0-30.83%
1-30.37%
0-40.10%
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