Gremio at America (MG)

Updated

Gremio

35.1%30.1%34.8%
Gremio WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.04
4Final Score 3

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Flamengo
L 0-3 at Sao Paulo
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 2-3 at Internacional
T 1-1 at Fortaleza
America (MG)
Money Line
L 2-3 at Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 at Corinthians
L 2-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 2-3 at Fortaleza
T 1-1 at Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+182+209+200+220+220+220+220+235.6
America (MG)+157+134+130+122+122+122+134+132.8
Draw+238+247+255+250+250+250+255+267.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+235.6
America (MG)-----+132.8
Draw-----+267.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
America (MG): 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-116o2½-139o2¾-108o2¾-104o2¾-104o2¾-104o2¾-104o2¾+105
Underu2½-102u2½+117u2¾-112u2¾-116u2¾-116u2¾-116u2¾-112u2¾-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+105
Under-----u2¾-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.42%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.79%
Exactly 61.42%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.91%
Exactly 318.78%
Exactly 54.08%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 035.15%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.21%
Exactly 36.70%
Exactly 41.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 035.35%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.08%
Exactly 217.75%
Exactly 41.38%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.71%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.62%
Exactly 129.83%
Exactly 27.22%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 061.79%
Exactly 129.75%
Exactly 27.16%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals13.58%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals13.40%
Wins by 3+ goals3.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
America (MG)
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal21.46%
Wins by 2 goals9.61%
Wins by 3 goals3.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal21.34%
Wins by 2 goals9.51%
Wins by 3 goals3.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.58%12.42%
1.561.66%38.34%
2.534.64%65.36%
3.515.86%84.14%
4.56.07%93.93%
5.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.85%35.15%
1.528.10%71.90%
2.58.89%91.11%
3.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.65%35.35%
1.527.89%72.11%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.92%38.08%
1.525.16%74.84%
2.57.41%92.59%
3.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
America (MG)
Score012345
0
12.42%
12.92%
6.72%
2.33%
0.61%
0.13%
1
12.99%
13.51%
7.02%
2.43%
0.63%
0.13%
2
6.79%
7.06%
3.67%
1.27%
0.33%
0.07%
3
2.37%
2.46%
1.28%
0.44%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.62%
0.64%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-012.99%
2-06.79%
2-17.06%
3-02.37%
3-12.46%
3-21.28%
4-00.62%
4-10.64%
4-20.33%
4-30.12%
5-00.13%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-012.42%
1-113.51%
2-23.67%
3-30.44%
America (MG)
0-112.92%
0-26.72%
1-27.02%
0-32.33%
1-32.43%
2-31.27%
0-40.61%
1-40.63%
2-40.33%
3-40.12%
0-50.13%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
America (MG)
Score0123
0
38.08%
18.33%
4.41%
0.71%
1
18.43%
8.87%
2.14%
0.34%
2
4.46%
2.15%
0.52%
0.08%
3
0.72%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
Gremio
1-018.43%
2-04.46%
2-12.15%
3-00.72%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-038.08%
1-18.87%
2-20.52%
America (MG)
0-118.33%
0-24.41%
1-22.14%
0-30.71%
1-30.34%
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