Gremio at Sao Paulo

Updated

Gremio

25.6%27.0%47.4%
Gremio WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.41
0Final Score 3

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 2-3 at Internacional
T 1-1 at Fortaleza
W 0-1 vs Palmeiras
T 4-4 at Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-2 at Goias
T 0-0 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+343+515+500+500+500+500+515+529.5
Sao Paulo-121-167-175-174-174-174-167-153.3
Draw+273+296+310+304+304+304+310+323.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+529.5
Sao Paulo------153.3
Draw-----+323.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 40.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-108o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-104u2½-108u2½-115u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-108u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.39%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 412.25%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.22%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 038.39%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.59%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 024.47%
Exactly 134.45%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 44.00%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 064.20%
Exactly 128.45%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 052.11%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 211.07%
Exactly 32.40%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals8.97%
Wins by 3+ goals2.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals22.94%
Wins by 3+ goals8.68%
Wins by 4+ goals2.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal16.58%
Wins by 2 goals6.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal24.38%
Wins by 2 goals14.26%
Wins by 3 goals6.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.61%9.39%
1.568.39%31.61%
2.542.11%57.89%
3.521.40%78.60%
4.59.15%90.85%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.61%38.39%
1.524.85%75.15%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.53%24.47%
1.541.08%58.92%
2.516.84%83.16%
3.55.46%94.54%
4.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.91%70.09%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.39%
13.22%
9.31%
4.37%
1.54%
0.43%
1
8.99%
12.66%
8.91%
4.18%
1.47%
0.41%
2
4.31%
6.06%
4.27%
2.00%
0.70%
0.20%
3
1.37%
1.93%
1.36%
0.64%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.33%
0.46%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.02%
Gremio
1-08.99%
2-04.31%
2-16.06%
3-01.37%
3-11.93%
3-21.36%
4-00.33%
4-10.46%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.39%
1-112.66%
2-24.27%
3-30.64%
Sao Paulo
0-113.22%
0-29.31%
1-28.91%
0-34.37%
1-34.18%
2-32.00%
0-41.54%
1-41.47%
2-40.70%
3-40.22%
0-50.43%
1-50.41%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
33.45%
21.80%
7.11%
1.54%
0.25%
1
14.83%
9.66%
3.15%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.29%
2.14%
0.70%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-014.83%
2-03.29%
2-12.14%
3-00.49%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.45%
1-19.66%
2-20.70%
Sao Paulo
0-121.80%
0-27.11%
1-23.15%
0-31.54%
1-30.68%
2-30.15%
0-40.25%
1-40.11%