Gremio at Sao Paulo

Updated

Gremio

25.6%27.0%47.4%
Gremio WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.41
0Final Score 3

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 2-3 at Internacional
T 1-1 at Fortaleza
W 0-1 vs Palmeiras
T 4-4 at Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-2 at Goias
T 0-0 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Coritiba
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+343+515+500+500+500+500+515+529.5
Sao Paulo-121-167-175-174-174-174-167-153.3
Draw+273+296+310+304+304+304+310+323.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+529.5
Sao Paulo------153.3
Draw-----+323.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 40.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2½-108o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½-104u2½-108u2½-115u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-108u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.39%
Exactly 226.27%
Exactly 412.25%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.22%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 038.39%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.59%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 024.47%
Exactly 134.45%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 44.00%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 064.20%
Exactly 128.45%
Exactly 26.31%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 052.11%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 211.07%
Exactly 32.40%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals8.97%
Wins by 3+ goals2.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals22.94%
Wins by 3+ goals8.68%
Wins by 4+ goals2.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal16.58%
Wins by 2 goals6.59%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal24.38%
Wins by 2 goals14.26%
Wins by 3 goals6.05%
Wins by 4 goals2.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.61%9.39%
1.568.39%31.61%
2.542.11%57.89%
3.521.40%78.60%
4.59.15%90.85%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.61%38.39%
1.524.85%75.15%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.53%24.47%
1.541.08%58.92%
2.516.84%83.16%
3.55.46%94.54%
4.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.91%70.09%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
9.39%
13.22%
9.31%
4.37%
1.54%
0.43%
1
8.99%
12.66%
8.91%
4.18%
1.47%
0.41%
2
4.31%
6.06%
4.27%
2.00%
0.70%
0.20%
3
1.37%
1.93%
1.36%
0.64%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.33%
0.46%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.02%
Gremio
1-08.99%
2-04.31%
2-16.06%
3-01.37%
3-11.93%
3-21.36%
4-00.33%
4-10.46%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.39%
1-112.66%
2-24.27%
3-30.64%
Sao Paulo
0-113.22%
0-29.31%
1-28.91%
0-34.37%
1-34.18%
2-32.00%
0-41.54%
1-41.47%
2-40.70%
3-40.22%
0-50.43%
1-50.41%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
33.45%
21.80%
7.11%
1.54%
0.25%
1
14.83%
9.66%
3.15%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.29%
2.14%
0.70%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.49%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-014.83%
2-03.29%
2-12.14%
3-00.49%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.45%
1-19.66%
2-20.70%
Sao Paulo
0-121.80%
0-27.11%
1-23.15%
0-31.54%
1-30.68%
2-30.15%
0-40.25%
1-40.11%
Corinthians at Fluminense
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