Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras

Updated 400 days ago

10:00 PM • Oct 19, 2023

Atletico Mineiro

18.5%23.4%58.1%

WinDrawPalmeiras Win

0.87Projected Goals 1.75

2Final Score 0

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
L 2-1	10/08 vs Coritiba
W 2-0	10/01 at Internacional
W 0-1	9/24 vs Cuiaba
W 0-1	9/17 vs Botafogo RJ
T 1-1	9/02 at Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras		Money Line
L 2-1	10/08 vs Santos
L 1-2	10/01 at Bragantino
L 0-1	9/22 at Gremio
W 0-1	9/16 vs Goias
T 0-0	9/03 at Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

:-2.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	+330	+416	+350	+470	+420	+470	+470	+498.3
Palmeiras	-110	-125	-108	-143	-129	-143	-108	-127.6
Draw	+240	+245	+235	+250	+240	+250	+250	+267.4

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	+498.3
Palmeiras	-	-	-	-	-	-127.6
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+267.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Overall Bet Value Active

Palmeiras: 100.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 80.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-0.4%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼+100	o2-135	o2¼+104	o2-125	o2-125	o2-125	o2-125	o2-114
Under	u2¼-120	u2+115	u2¼-118	u2+105	u2+105	u2+105	u2¼-118	u2+114

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-114
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	48.0%


No	52.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.29%
Exactly 2	25.00%
Exactly 4	14.28%
Exactly 6	3.26%
Exactly 8	0.40%


Exactly 1	19.09%
Exactly 3	21.82%
Exactly 5	7.48%
Exactly 7	1.22%
Exactly 9	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	41.88%
Exactly 1	36.45%
Exactly 2	15.86%
Exactly 3	4.60%
Exactly 4	1.00%
Exactly 5	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	17.41%
Exactly 1	30.44%
Exactly 2	26.60%
Exactly 3	15.50%
Exactly 4	6.77%
Exactly 5	2.37%
Exactly 6	0.69%
Exactly 7	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	29.75%
Exactly 2	21.86%
Exactly 4	2.68%
Exactly 6	0.13%


Exactly 1	36.07%
Exactly 3	8.83%
Exactly 5	0.65%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	66.83%
Exactly 1	26.93%
Exactly 2	5.43%
Exactly 3	0.73%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	44.52%
Exactly 1	36.03%
Exactly 2	14.58%
Exactly 3	3.93%
Exactly 4	0.80%
Exactly 5	0.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	5.87%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.41%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.26%

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals	32.86%
Wins by 3+ goals	14.88%
Wins by 4+ goals	5.51%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.69%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	12.57%
Wins by 2 goals	4.46%
Wins by 3 goals	1.15%
Wins by 4 goals	0.23%

Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal	25.24%
Wins by 2 goals	17.98%
Wins by 3 goals	9.37%
Wins by 4 goals	3.82%
Wins by 5 goals	1.27%
Wins by 6 goals	0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.71%	7.29%
1.5	73.61%	26.39%
2.5	48.62%	51.38%
3.5	26.80%	73.20%
4.5	12.52%	87.48%
5.5	5.04%	94.96%
6.5	1.78%	98.22%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	58.12%	41.88%
1.5	21.67%	78.33%
2.5	5.81%	94.19%
3.5	1.20%	98.80%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	82.59%	17.41%
1.5	52.15%	47.85%
2.5	25.55%	74.45%
3.5	10.05%	89.95%
4.5	3.28%	96.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.25%	29.75%
1.5	34.18%	65.82%
2.5	12.32%	87.68%
3.5	3.48%	96.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.29%	12.75%	11.14%	6.49%	2.84%	0.99%
1	6.35%	11.09%	9.70%	5.65%	2.47%	0.86%
2	2.76%	4.83%	4.22%	2.46%	1.07%	0.38%
3	0.80%	1.40%	1.22%	0.71%	0.31%	0.11%
4	0.17%	0.30%	0.27%	0.16%	0.07%	0.02%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	6.35%
2-0	2.76%
2-1	4.83%
3-0	0.80%
3-1	1.40%
3-2	1.22%
4-0	0.17%
4-1	0.30%
4-2	0.27%
4-3	0.16%

Draw
0-0	7.29%
1-1	11.09%
2-2	4.22%
3-3	0.71%

Palmeiras
0-1	12.75%
0-2	11.14%
1-2	9.70%
0-3	6.49%
1-3	5.65%
2-3	2.46%
0-4	2.84%
1-4	2.47%
2-4	1.07%
3-4	0.31%
0-5	0.99%
1-5	0.86%
2-5	0.38%
3-5	0.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	29.75%	24.08%	9.74%	2.63%	0.53%
1	11.99%	9.70%	3.93%	1.06%	0.21%
2	2.42%	1.96%	0.79%	0.21%	0.04%
3	0.32%	0.26%	0.11%	0.03%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	11.99%
2-0	2.42%
2-1	1.96%
3-0	0.32%
3-1	0.26%
3-2	0.11%

Draw
0-0	29.75%
1-1	9.70%
2-2	0.79%

Palmeiras
0-1	24.08%
0-2	9.74%
1-2	3.93%
0-3	2.63%
1-3	1.06%
2-3	0.21%
0-4	0.53%
1-4	0.21%

Internacional at Bahia

Flamengo at Cruzeiro

Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras