Atletico Mineiro at Palmeiras

Updated

Atletico Mineiro

18.5%23.4%58.1%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.75
2Final Score 0

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Coritiba
W 2-0 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba
W 0-1 vs Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 at Athletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Santos
L 1-2 at Bragantino
L 0-1 at Gremio
W 0-1 vs Goias
T 0-0 at Corinthians

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro+330+416+350+470+420+470+470+498.3
Palmeiras-110-125-108-143-129-143-108-127.6
Draw+240+245+235+250+240+250+250+267.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro-----+498.3
Palmeiras------127.6
Draw-----+267.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Palmeiras: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2-135o2¼+104o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2¼-120u2+115u2¼-118u2+105u2+105u2+105u2¼-118u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-114
Under-----u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.29%
Exactly 225.00%
Exactly 414.28%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.09%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 57.48%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 041.88%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.86%
Exactly 34.60%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 017.41%
Exactly 130.44%
Exactly 226.60%
Exactly 315.50%
Exactly 46.77%
Exactly 52.37%
Exactly 60.69%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.75%
Exactly 221.86%
Exactly 42.68%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.83%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 066.83%
Exactly 126.93%
Exactly 25.43%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 044.52%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.58%
Exactly 33.93%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals5.87%
Wins by 3+ goals1.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals32.86%
Wins by 3+ goals14.88%
Wins by 4+ goals5.51%
Wins by 5+ goals1.69%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal12.57%
Wins by 2 goals4.46%
Wins by 3 goals1.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal25.24%
Wins by 2 goals17.98%
Wins by 3 goals9.37%
Wins by 4 goals3.82%
Wins by 5 goals1.27%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.71%7.29%
1.573.61%26.39%
2.548.62%51.38%
3.526.80%73.20%
4.512.52%87.48%
5.55.04%94.96%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.12%41.88%
1.521.67%78.33%
2.55.81%94.19%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.59%17.41%
1.552.15%47.85%
2.525.55%74.45%
3.510.05%89.95%
4.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.25%29.75%
1.534.18%65.82%
2.512.32%87.68%
3.53.48%96.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
7.29%
12.75%
11.14%
6.49%
2.84%
0.99%
1
6.35%
11.09%
9.70%
5.65%
2.47%
0.86%
2
2.76%
4.83%
4.22%
2.46%
1.07%
0.38%
3
0.80%
1.40%
1.22%
0.71%
0.31%
0.11%
4
0.17%
0.30%
0.27%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
Atletico Mineiro
1-06.35%
2-02.76%
2-14.83%
3-00.80%
3-11.40%
3-21.22%
4-00.17%
4-10.30%
4-20.27%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.29%
1-111.09%
2-24.22%
3-30.71%
Palmeiras
0-112.75%
0-211.14%
1-29.70%
0-36.49%
1-35.65%
2-32.46%
0-42.84%
1-42.47%
2-41.07%
3-40.31%
0-50.99%
1-50.86%
2-50.38%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro
Palmeiras
Score01234
0
29.75%
24.08%
9.74%
2.63%
0.53%
1
11.99%
9.70%
3.93%
1.06%
0.21%
2
2.42%
1.96%
0.79%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.32%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Atletico Mineiro
1-011.99%
2-02.42%
2-11.96%
3-00.32%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.75%
1-19.70%
2-20.79%
Palmeiras
0-124.08%
0-29.74%
1-23.93%
0-32.63%
1-31.06%
2-30.21%
0-40.53%
1-40.21%