Sao Paulo at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Sao Paulo

23.2%27.4%49.4%
Sao Paulo WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.40
1Final Score 1

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 0-5 at Palmeiras
W 0-3 vs Gremio
L 0-2 at Goias
T 0-0 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Corinthians
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 2-3 vs America (MG)
W 2-1 at Gremio
T 1-1 vs Bragantino
L 0-2 at Coritiba
W 1-2 vs Internacional

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+265-+285+300+300+300+300+319.4
Athletico Paranaense+105-+105+100+100+100+105+109.7
Draw+240-+235+235+235+235+235+251.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+319.4
Athletico Paranaense-----+109.7
Draw-----+251.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108-o2¼-108o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼+103
Underu2¼-112-u2¼-112u2¼-113u2¼-113u2¼-113u2¼-112u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.45%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.33%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.60%
Exactly 320.07%
Exactly 55.12%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 042.19%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.71%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 024.76%
Exactly 134.56%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 311.23%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.14%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 41.75%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.70%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 067.06%
Exactly 126.79%
Exactly 25.35%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 052.40%
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 210.94%
Exactly 32.36%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals7.54%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals24.03%
Wins by 3+ goals9.10%
Wins by 4+ goals2.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal15.65%
Wins by 2 goals5.70%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal25.32%
Wins by 2 goals14.93%
Wins by 3 goals6.35%
Wins by 4 goals2.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.55%10.45%
1.565.95%34.05%
2.539.30%60.70%
3.519.23%80.77%
4.57.90%92.10%
5.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.81%42.19%
1.521.40%78.60%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.24%24.76%
1.540.68%59.32%
2.516.55%83.45%
3.55.33%94.67%
4.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.86%35.14%
1.528.11%71.89%
2.58.89%91.11%
3.52.19%97.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
10.45%
14.58%
10.18%
4.74%
1.65%
0.46%
1
9.01%
12.58%
8.78%
4.09%
1.43%
0.40%
2
3.89%
5.43%
3.79%
1.76%
0.62%
0.17%
3
1.12%
1.56%
1.09%
0.51%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.24%
0.34%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-09.01%
2-03.89%
2-15.43%
3-01.12%
3-11.56%
3-21.09%
4-00.24%
4-10.34%
4-20.24%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.45%
1-112.58%
2-23.79%
3-30.51%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.58%
0-210.18%
1-28.78%
0-34.74%
1-34.09%
2-31.76%
0-41.65%
1-41.43%
2-40.62%
3-40.18%
0-50.46%
1-50.40%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
35.14%
22.71%
7.34%
1.58%
0.26%
1
14.04%
9.07%
2.93%
0.63%
0.10%
2
2.80%
1.81%
0.59%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.37%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-014.04%
2-02.80%
2-11.81%
3-00.37%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-035.14%
1-19.07%
2-20.59%
Athletico Paranaense
0-122.71%
0-27.34%
1-22.93%
0-31.58%
1-30.63%
2-30.13%
0-40.26%
1-40.10%