Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras

Updated 384 days ago

12:30 AM • Nov 5, 2023

Athletico Paranaense

13.5%21.3%65.1%

WinDrawPalmeiras Win

0.73Projected Goals 1.89

0Final Score 1

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
L 0-1	11/01 at Corinthians
T 1-1	10/29 vs Sao Paulo
W 2-3	10/25 vs America (MG)
W 2-1	10/18 at Gremio
T 1-1	10/08 vs Bragantino

Palmeiras		Money Line
W 4-3	11/02 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1	10/28 vs Bahia
W 0-5	10/25 vs Sao Paulo
W 2-0	10/22 at Coritiba
L 2-0	10/19 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

:2.9%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+400	-	+420	+450	+450	+450	+450	+477.4
Palmeiras	-145	-	-150	-145	-145	-145	-145	-129.2
Draw	+290	-	+290	+262	+262	+262	+290	+280.1

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+477.4
Palmeiras	-	-	-	-	-	-129.2
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+280.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Palmeiras: 30.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-105	-	o2¼-122	o2¼-118	o2¼-118	o2¼-118	o2¼-118	o2¼-107
Under	u2¼-115	-	u2¼+102	u2¼-102	u2¼-102	u2¼-102	u2¼+102	u2¼+107

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2¼-107
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	43.8%


No	56.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	7.29%
Exactly 2	24.99%
Exactly 4	14.29%
Exactly 6	3.27%
Exactly 8	0.40%


Exactly 1	19.08%
Exactly 3	21.82%
Exactly 5	7.48%
Exactly 7	1.22%
Exactly 9	0.12%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	48.46%
Exactly 1	35.11%
Exactly 2	12.72%
Exactly 3	3.07%
Exactly 4	0.56%

Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	15.04%
Exactly 1	28.49%
Exactly 2	26.99%
Exactly 3	17.04%
Exactly 4	8.07%
Exactly 5	3.06%
Exactly 6	0.97%
Exactly 7	0.26%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	29.74%
Exactly 2	21.87%
Exactly 4	2.68%
Exactly 6	0.13%


Exactly 1	36.07%
Exactly 3	8.84%
Exactly 5	0.65%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	71.50%
Exactly 1	23.99%
Exactly 2	4.02%
Exactly 3	0.45%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 0	41.59%
Exactly 1	36.49%
Exactly 2	16.00%
Exactly 3	4.68%
Exactly 4	1.03%
Exactly 5	0.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	3.64%
Wins by 3+ goals	0.70%

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals	39.36%
Wins by 3+ goals	19.17%
Wins by 4+ goals	7.66%
Wins by 5+ goals	2.54%
Wins by 6+ goals	0.69%
Wins by 7+ goals	0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	9.83%
Wins by 2 goals	2.94%
Wins by 3 goals	0.62%

Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal	25.71%
Wins by 2 goals	20.19%
Wins by 3 goals	11.51%
Wins by 4 goals	5.12%
Wins by 5 goals	1.85%
Wins by 6 goals	0.56%
Wins by 7 goals	0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	92.71%	7.29%
1.5	73.63%	26.37%
2.5	48.64%	51.36%
3.5	26.82%	73.18%
4.5	12.53%	87.47%
5.5	5.05%	94.95%
6.5	1.78%	98.22%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	51.54%	48.46%
1.5	16.44%	83.56%
2.5	3.72%	96.28%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	84.96%	15.04%
1.5	56.47%	43.53%
2.5	29.48%	70.52%
3.5	12.44%	87.56%
4.5	4.36%	95.64%
5.5	1.31%	98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.26%	29.74%
1.5	34.19%	65.81%
2.5	12.33%	87.67%
3.5	3.49%	96.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7.29%	13.81%	13.08%	8.26%	3.91%	1.48%
1	5.28%	10.00%	9.48%	5.98%	2.83%	1.07%
2	1.91%	3.62%	3.43%	2.17%	1.03%	0.39%
3	0.46%	0.88%	0.83%	0.52%	0.25%	0.09%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	5.28%
2-0	1.91%
2-1	3.62%
3-0	0.46%
3-1	0.88%
3-2	0.83%

Draw
0-0	7.29%
1-1	10.00%
2-2	3.43%
3-3	0.52%

Palmeiras
0-1	13.81%
0-2	13.08%
1-2	9.48%
0-3	8.26%
1-3	5.98%
2-3	2.17%
0-4	3.91%
1-4	2.83%
2-4	1.03%
3-4	0.25%
0-5	1.48%
1-5	1.07%
2-5	0.39%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	29.74%	26.09%	11.44%	3.35%	0.73%	0.13%
1	9.98%	8.75%	3.84%	1.12%	0.25%	0.04%
2	1.67%	1.47%	0.64%	0.19%	0.04%	0.01%
3	0.19%	0.16%	0.07%	0.02%	0.00%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	9.98%
2-0	1.67%
2-1	1.47%
3-0	0.19%
3-1	0.16%

Draw
0-0	29.74%
1-1	8.75%
2-2	0.64%

Palmeiras
0-1	26.09%
0-2	11.44%
1-2	3.84%
0-3	3.35%
1-3	1.12%
2-3	0.19%
0-4	0.73%
1-4	0.25%
0-5	0.13%

Bahia at Gremio

Internacional at Cruzeiro

Athletico Paranaense at Palmeiras