Gremio at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Gremio

18.6%23.3%58.0%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.76
0Final Score 3

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Corinthians
W 4-3 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs Bahia
W 2-1 at Coritiba
W 4-3 at America (MG)
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Goias
T 1-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 at America (MG)
W 1-3 vs Fortaleza
W 0-2 vs Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+350+397+370+390+390+390+397+413.9
Atletico Mineiro-120-131-130-137-137-137-130-122.8
Draw+268+268+270+275+275+275+275+293.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+413.9
Atletico Mineiro------122.8
Draw-----+293.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-101o2½+102o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2½-110u2½-117u2½-122u2½-120u2½-120u2½-120u2½-117u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.65%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 041.31%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.14%
Exactly 34.76%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 017.23%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 226.64%
Exactly 315.62%
Exactly 46.87%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.42%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 066.41%
Exactly 127.18%
Exactly 25.56%
Exactly 30.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 044.29%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 214.69%
Exactly 33.99%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals5.99%
Wins by 3+ goals1.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals32.88%
Wins by 3+ goals14.94%
Wins by 4+ goals5.56%
Wins by 5+ goals1.72%
Wins by 6+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal12.63%
Wins by 2 goals4.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.12%
Wins by 2 goals17.94%
Wins by 3 goals9.39%
Wins by 4 goals3.84%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.08%25.92%
2.549.23%50.77%
3.527.34%72.66%
4.512.87%87.13%
5.55.23%94.77%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.69%41.31%
1.522.17%77.83%
2.56.03%93.97%
3.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.77%17.23%
1.552.48%47.52%
2.525.84%74.16%
3.510.22%89.78%
4.53.35%96.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.58%29.42%
1.534.59%65.41%
2.512.57%87.43%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
7.12%
12.51%
11.01%
6.45%
2.84%
1.00%
1
6.29%
11.06%
9.73%
5.70%
2.51%
0.88%
2
2.78%
4.89%
4.30%
2.52%
1.11%
0.39%
3
0.82%
1.44%
1.27%
0.74%
0.33%
0.11%
4
0.18%
0.32%
0.28%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Gremio
1-06.29%
2-02.78%
2-14.89%
3-00.82%
3-11.44%
3-21.27%
4-00.18%
4-10.32%
4-20.28%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.12%
1-111.06%
2-24.30%
3-30.74%
Atletico Mineiro
0-112.51%
0-211.01%
1-29.73%
0-36.45%
1-35.70%
2-32.52%
0-42.84%
1-42.51%
2-41.11%
3-40.33%
0-51.00%
1-50.88%
2-50.39%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
29.42%
23.95%
9.75%
2.65%
0.54%
1
12.04%
9.81%
3.99%
1.08%
0.22%
2
2.46%
2.01%
0.82%
0.22%
0.05%
3
0.34%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Gremio
1-012.04%
2-02.46%
2-12.01%
3-00.34%
3-10.27%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.42%
1-19.81%
2-20.82%
Atletico Mineiro
0-123.95%
0-29.75%
1-23.99%
0-32.65%
1-31.08%
2-30.22%
0-40.54%
1-40.22%
Coritiba at Fluminense
Santos at Botafogo RJ