Atletico Mineiro at America (MG)

Updated 374 days ago

10:30 PM • Nov 4, 2023

Atletico Mineiro

43.1%28.5%28.4%

Atletico Mineiro WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win

1.26Projected Goals 0.97

1Final Score 1

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Atletico Mineiro		Money Line
W 1-3	11/02 vs Fortaleza
W 0-2	10/29 vs Fluminense
W 2-1	10/25 at Bragantino
L 1-0	10/22 vs Cruzeiro
W 2-0	10/19 at Palmeiras

America (MG)		Money Line
T 1-1	11/01 at Internacional
L 4-3	10/28 vs Gremio
L 2-3	10/25 at Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1	10/22 at Corinthians
L 2-1	10/18 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

:2.5%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-120	-117	-130	-125	-125	-125	-117	-112.5
America (MG)	+320	+341	+360	+355	+355	+355	+355	+377.4
Draw	+270	+266	+275	+265	+265	+265	+275	+283.0

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Mineiro	-	-	-	-	-	-112.5
America (MG)	-	-	-	-	-	+377.4
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+283.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

America (MG): 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

America (MG): 30.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atletico Mineiro: 10.0%

America (MG): 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.0%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-118	o2½-108	o2½-108	o2½-105	o2½-105	o2½-105	o2½-105	o2½+104
Under	u2¼-102	u2½-108	u2½-112	u2½-115	u2½-115	u2½-115	u2½-108	u2½-104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2½+104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	44.4%


No	55.6%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.76%
Exactly 2	26.74%
Exactly 4	11.08%
Exactly 6	1.84%
Exactly 8	0.16%


Exactly 1	23.98%
Exactly 3	19.87%
Exactly 5	4.94%
Exactly 7	0.58%

Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	28.29%
Exactly 1	35.72%
Exactly 2	22.55%
Exactly 3	9.49%
Exactly 4	3.00%
Exactly 5	0.76%
Exactly 6	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 0	38.02%
Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 2	17.78%
Exactly 3	5.73%
Exactly 4	1.39%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.62%
Exactly 2	18.98%
Exactly 4	1.69%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	6.53%
Exactly 5	0.35%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 0	55.73%
Exactly 1	32.58%
Exactly 2	9.52%
Exactly 3	1.86%
Exactly 4	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 0	63.90%
Exactly 1	28.62%
Exactly 2	6.41%
Exactly 3	0.96%
Exactly 4	0.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals	19.35%
Wins by 3+ goals	6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.41%

America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals	10.16%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.74%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Mineiro

America (MG)

Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal	23.74%
Wins by 2 goals	12.64%
Wins by 3 goals	4.85%
Wins by 4 goals	1.45%
Wins by 5 goals	0.35%

America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal	18.19%
Wins by 2 goals	7.42%
Wins by 3 goals	2.18%
Wins by 4 goals	0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.24%	10.76%
1.5	65.26%	34.74%
2.5	38.52%	61.48%
3.5	18.65%	81.35%
4.5	7.57%	92.43%
5.5	2.63%	97.37%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	71.71%	28.29%
1.5	35.99%	64.01%
2.5	13.44%	86.56%
3.5	3.95%	96.05%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.98%	38.02%
1.5	25.22%	74.78%
2.5	7.44%	92.56%
3.5	1.70%	98.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.38%	35.62%
1.5	27.61%	72.39%
2.5	8.63%	91.37%
3.5	2.10%	97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Mineiro

America (MG)

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.76%	10.40%	5.03%	1.62%	0.39%
1	13.58%	13.13%	6.35%	2.05%	0.50%
2	8.57%	8.29%	4.01%	1.29%	0.31%
3	3.61%	3.49%	1.69%	0.54%	0.13%
4	1.14%	1.10%	0.53%	0.17%	0.04%
5	0.29%	0.28%	0.13%	0.04%	0.01%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	13.58%
2-0	8.57%
2-1	8.29%
3-0	3.61%
3-1	3.49%
3-2	1.69%
4-0	1.14%
4-1	1.10%
4-2	0.53%
4-3	0.17%
5-0	0.29%
5-1	0.28%
5-2	0.13%

Draw
0-0	10.76%
1-1	13.13%
2-2	4.01%
3-3	0.54%

America (MG)
0-1	10.40%
0-2	5.03%
1-2	6.35%
0-3	1.62%
1-3	2.05%
2-3	1.29%
0-4	0.39%
1-4	0.50%
2-4	0.31%
3-4	0.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Mineiro

America (MG)

Score	0	1	2	3
0	35.62%	15.95%	3.57%	0.53%
1	20.82%	9.32%	2.09%	0.31%
2	6.09%	2.72%	0.61%	0.09%
3	1.19%	0.53%	0.12%	0.02%
4	0.17%	0.08%	0.02%	0.00%

Atletico Mineiro
1-0	20.82%
2-0	6.09%
2-1	2.72%
3-0	1.19%
3-1	0.53%
3-2	0.12%
4-0	0.17%

Draw
0-0	35.62%
1-1	9.32%
2-2	0.61%

America (MG)
0-1	15.95%
0-2	3.57%
1-2	2.09%
0-3	0.53%
1-3	0.31%

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Atletico Mineiro at America (MG)