Fortaleza at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Fortaleza

19.8%24.7%55.5%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 3

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bahia
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 2-3 vs America (MG)
T 1-1 vs Gremio
W 2-1 at Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Fluminense
W 2-1 at Bragantino
L 1-0 vs Cruzeiro
W 2-0 at Palmeiras
L 2-1 vs Coritiba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+370+428+400+423+423+423+428+448.8
Atletico Mineiro-145-134-140-140-140-140-134-125.2
Draw+300+260+275+264+264+264+275+281.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+448.8
Atletico Mineiro------125.2
Draw-----+281.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2-138o2¼+105o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2-138o2¼+109
Underu2+102u2+118u2¼-125u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.27%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 413.30%
Exactly 62.76%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.61%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 56.63%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 042.19%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.71%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 019.59%
Exactly 131.94%
Exactly 226.03%
Exactly 314.14%
Exactly 45.76%
Exactly 51.88%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.53%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 067.06%
Exactly 126.80%
Exactly 25.35%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 047.02%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.39%
Exactly 33.37%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals6.32%
Wins by 3+ goals1.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals30.01%
Wins by 3+ goals12.89%
Wins by 4+ goals4.51%
Wins by 5+ goals1.31%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal13.48%
Wins by 2 goals4.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.45%
Wins by 2 goals17.12%
Wins by 3 goals8.38%
Wins by 4 goals3.20%
Wins by 5 goals1.00%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.73%8.27%
1.571.13%28.87%
2.545.44%54.56%
3.524.09%75.91%
4.510.79%89.21%
5.54.16%95.84%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.81%42.19%
1.521.40%78.60%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.41%19.59%
1.548.47%51.53%
2.522.44%77.56%
3.58.30%91.70%
4.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.47%31.53%
1.532.08%67.92%
2.511.07%88.93%
3.52.99%97.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
8.27%
13.47%
10.98%
5.97%
2.43%
0.79%
1
7.13%
11.63%
9.48%
5.15%
2.10%
0.68%
2
3.08%
5.02%
4.09%
2.22%
0.91%
0.30%
3
0.89%
1.44%
1.18%
0.64%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.19%
0.31%
0.25%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Fortaleza
1-07.13%
2-03.08%
2-15.02%
3-00.89%
3-11.44%
3-21.18%
4-00.19%
4-10.31%
4-20.25%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.27%
1-111.63%
2-24.09%
3-30.64%
Atletico Mineiro
0-113.47%
0-210.98%
1-29.48%
0-35.97%
1-35.15%
2-32.22%
0-42.43%
1-42.10%
2-40.91%
3-40.26%
0-50.79%
1-50.68%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
31.53%
23.79%
8.98%
2.26%
0.43%
1
12.60%
9.51%
3.59%
0.90%
0.17%
2
2.52%
1.90%
0.72%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.25%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-012.60%
2-02.52%
2-11.90%
3-00.34%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-031.53%
1-19.51%
2-20.72%
Atletico Mineiro
0-123.79%
0-28.98%
1-23.59%
0-32.26%
1-30.90%
2-30.18%
0-40.43%
1-40.17%
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