Bahia at America (MG)

Updated

Bahia

27.4%28.1%44.4%
Bahia WinDrawAmerica (MG) Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.30
2Final Score 3

America (MG)

Last 5 Games

Bahia
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sao Paulo
W 5-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 3-0 vs Cuiaba
L 0-1 at Gremio
America (MG)
Money Line
L 0-4 at Palmeiras
L 3-0 vs Flamengo
L 1-2 at Vasco da Gama
L 3-0 vs Coritiba
T 1-1 vs Atletico Mineiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-110+111-110-108-112-108+111+102.1
America (MG)+300+250+285+285+287+285+287+304.0
Draw+250+256+275+270+275+270+275+288.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bahia-----+102.1
America (MG)-----+304.0
Draw-----+288.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bahia: 0.0%
America (MG): 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Bahia: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bahia: 10.0%
America (MG): 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Bahia ML
No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½-122o2½-118o2½-120o2½-118o2½-120o2½-118o2½-109
Underu2¼-105u2½+104u2½-102u2½+100u2½-102u2½+100u2½+104u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.43%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 411.35%
Exactly 61.93%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.57%
Exactly 320.08%
Exactly 55.13%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 038.34%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.62%
Exactly 35.63%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 027.20%
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 223.05%
Exactly 310.00%
Exactly 43.26%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.11%
Exactly 219.23%
Exactly 41.76%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.71%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 064.15%
Exactly 128.48%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 054.73%
Exactly 132.99%
Exactly 29.94%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals9.72%
Wins by 3+ goals2.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals20.39%
Wins by 3+ goals7.25%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Bahia
America (MG)
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal17.68%
Wins by 2 goals7.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals13.14%
Wins by 3 goals5.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.57%10.43%
1.566.00%34.00%
2.539.35%60.65%
3.519.27%80.73%
4.57.92%92.08%
5.52.79%97.21%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.66%38.34%
1.524.91%75.09%
2.57.29%92.71%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.80%27.20%
1.537.39%62.61%
2.514.33%85.67%
3.54.33%95.67%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.89%35.11%
1.528.14%71.86%
2.58.91%91.09%
3.52.20%97.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bahia
America (MG)
Score012345
0
10.43%
13.58%
8.84%
3.84%
1.25%
0.33%
1
10.00%
13.02%
8.47%
3.68%
1.20%
0.31%
2
4.79%
6.24%
4.06%
1.76%
0.57%
0.15%
3
1.53%
1.99%
1.30%
0.56%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.37%
0.48%
0.31%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Bahia
1-010.00%
2-04.79%
2-16.24%
3-01.53%
3-11.99%
3-21.30%
4-00.37%
4-10.48%
4-20.31%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.43%
1-113.02%
2-24.06%
3-30.56%
America (MG)
0-113.58%
0-28.84%
1-28.47%
0-33.84%
1-33.68%
2-31.76%
0-41.25%
1-41.20%
2-40.57%
3-40.18%
0-50.33%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Bahia
America (MG)
Score01234
0
35.11%
21.16%
6.38%
1.28%
0.19%
1
15.58%
9.39%
2.83%
0.57%
0.09%
2
3.46%
2.09%
0.63%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.51%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Bahia
1-015.58%
2-03.46%
2-12.09%
3-00.51%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-035.11%
1-19.39%
2-20.63%
America (MG)
0-121.16%
0-26.38%
1-22.83%
0-31.28%
1-30.57%
2-30.13%
0-40.19%
Cuiaba at Flamengo
Vasco da Gama at Gremio