America (MG) at Palmeiras

Updated

America (MG)

7.2%15.2%77.6%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.38
0Final Score 4

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

America (MG)
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Flamengo
L 1-2 at Vasco da Gama
L 3-0 vs Coritiba
T 1-1 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 1-1 at Internacional
Palmeiras
Money Line
T 2-2 at Fortaleza
W 0-3 vs Internacional
L 0-3 at Flamengo
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 4-3 at Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)+900+1341+1200+1200+1300+1300+1341+1370.6
Palmeiras-385-499-550-560-585-585-499-434.8
Draw+500+627+650+700+700+700+700+740.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
America (MG)-----+1370.6
Palmeiras------434.8
Draw-----+740.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
America (MG): 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

America (MG): 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

America (MG): 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On America (MG) ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3½+107o3¼-115o3¼-118o3¼-118o3¼-118o3¼-115o3¼-107
Underu3¼-122u3½-125u3¼-105u3¼-102u3¼-102u3¼-102u3½-125u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-107
Under-----u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.8%
 
No60.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.20%
Exactly 222.73%
Exactly 416.56%
Exactly 64.82%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.37%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.79%
Exactly 72.04%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - America (MG)
Exactly 056.13%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 09.26%
Exactly 122.04%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 412.37%
Exactly 55.88%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 70.79%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.44%
Exactly 223.84%
Exactly 43.72%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 310.88%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - America (MG)
Exactly 076.54%
Exactly 120.47%
Exactly 22.74%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 033.24%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

America (MG)
Wins by 2+ goals1.58%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals54.46%
Wins by 3+ goals31.73%
Wins by 4+ goals15.46%
Wins by 5+ goals6.38%
Wins by 6+ goals2.24%
Wins by 7+ goals0.65%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

America (MG)
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
America (MG)
Wins by 1 goal5.59%
Wins by 2 goals1.33%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal23.05%
Wins by 2 goals22.72%
Wins by 3 goals16.27%
Wins by 4 goals9.08%
Wins by 5 goals4.14%
Wins by 6 goals1.59%
Wins by 7 goals0.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.80%5.20%
1.579.43%20.57%
2.556.70%43.30%
3.534.31%65.69%
4.517.75%82.25%
5.57.96%92.04%
6.53.14%96.86%
7.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals America (MG) Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.87%56.13%
1.511.46%88.54%
2.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.74%9.26%
1.568.70%31.30%
2.542.48%57.52%
3.521.69%78.31%
4.59.33%90.67%
5.53.44%96.56%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.56%25.44%
1.539.74%60.26%
2.515.91%84.09%
3.55.03%94.97%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

America (MG)
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
5.20%
12.37%
14.71%
11.67%
6.94%
3.30%
1
3.00%
7.14%
8.50%
6.74%
4.01%
1.91%
2
0.87%
2.06%
2.45%
1.95%
1.16%
0.55%
3
0.17%
0.40%
0.47%
0.37%
0.22%
0.11%
America (MG)
1-03.00%
2-00.87%
2-12.06%
3-00.17%
3-10.40%
3-20.47%
Draw
0-05.20%
1-17.14%
2-22.45%
3-30.37%
Palmeiras
0-112.37%
0-214.71%
1-28.50%
0-311.67%
1-36.74%
2-31.95%
0-46.94%
1-44.01%
2-41.16%
3-40.22%
0-53.30%
1-51.91%
2-50.55%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

America (MG)
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
25.44%
28.02%
15.43%
5.67%
1.56%
0.34%
1
6.80%
7.49%
4.13%
1.52%
0.42%
0.09%
2
0.91%
1.00%
0.55%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
America (MG)
1-06.80%
2-00.91%
2-11.00%
Draw
0-025.44%
1-17.49%
2-20.55%
Palmeiras
0-128.02%
0-215.43%
1-24.13%
0-35.67%
1-31.52%
2-30.20%
0-41.56%
1-40.42%
0-50.34%