Vitória at Gremio

Updated

Vitoria

16.4%22.3%61.3%
WinDrawGremio Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.84
0Final Score 2

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 1-3 at Fortaleza
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
W 1-2 vs Criciuma
L 2-3 at Corinthians
L 1-0 vs Athletico Paranaense
Gremio
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sao Paulo
L 2-0 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-3 at Juventude
T 2-2 vs Palmeiras
W 0-1 vs Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+310-+350+415+415+415+415+440.6
Gremio-110--125-128-128-128-125-115.0
Draw+260-+260+240+240+240+260+256.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-----+440.6
Gremio------115.0
Draw-----+256.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Gremio: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+105o2¼+114
Underu2¼-120-u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-125u2¼-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+114
Under-----u2¼-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.90%
Exactly 224.66%
Exactly 414.69%
Exactly 63.50%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.45%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 57.85%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 043.60%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.02%
Exactly 34.16%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 015.83%
Exactly 129.18%
Exactly 226.89%
Exactly 316.52%
Exactly 47.61%
Exactly 52.81%
Exactly 60.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.01%
Exactly 222.22%
Exactly 42.84%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 39.17%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 068.09%
Exactly 126.17%
Exactly 25.03%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 042.60%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.51%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals5.00%
Wins by 3+ goals1.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals35.99%
Wins by 3+ goals17.02%
Wins by 4+ goals6.60%
Wins by 5+ goals2.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Gremio
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal11.38%
Wins by 2 goals3.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal25.28%
Wins by 2 goals18.97%
Wins by 3 goals10.42%
Wins by 4 goals4.47%
Wins by 5 goals1.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.10%6.90%
1.574.64%25.36%
2.549.98%50.02%
3.528.00%72.00%
4.513.31%86.69%
5.55.46%94.54%
6.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.40%43.60%
1.520.20%79.80%
2.55.18%94.82%
3.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.17%15.83%
1.554.99%45.01%
2.528.10%71.90%
3.511.57%88.43%
4.53.96%96.04%
5.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.99%29.01%
1.535.10%64.90%
2.512.88%87.12%
3.53.71%96.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Gremio
Score012345
0
6.90%
12.72%
11.73%
7.20%
3.32%
1.22%
1
5.73%
10.56%
9.73%
5.98%
2.76%
1.02%
2
2.38%
4.38%
4.04%
2.48%
1.14%
0.42%
3
0.66%
1.21%
1.12%
0.69%
0.32%
0.12%
4
0.14%
0.25%
0.23%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
Vitoria
1-05.73%
2-02.38%
2-14.38%
3-00.66%
3-11.21%
3-21.12%
4-00.14%
4-10.25%
4-20.23%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-06.90%
1-110.56%
2-24.04%
3-30.69%
Gremio
0-112.72%
0-211.73%
1-29.73%
0-37.20%
1-35.98%
2-32.48%
0-43.32%
1-42.76%
2-41.14%
3-40.32%
0-51.22%
1-51.02%
2-50.42%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Gremio
Score012345
0
29.01%
24.75%
10.56%
3.00%
0.64%
0.11%
1
11.15%
9.51%
4.06%
1.15%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.14%
1.83%
0.78%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-011.15%
2-02.14%
2-11.83%
3-00.27%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-029.01%
1-19.51%
2-20.78%
Gremio
0-124.75%
0-210.56%
1-24.06%
0-33.00%
1-31.15%
2-30.22%
0-40.64%
1-40.25%
0-50.11%