Gremio at Juventude

Updated

Gremio

43.7%28.6%27.8%
Gremio WinDrawJuventude Win
1.26Projected Goals 0.95
0Final Score 3

Juventude

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Palmeiras
W 0-1 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense
L 1-0 vs Internacional
L 0-1 at Fortaleza
Juventude
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bahia
L 1-2 at Fortaleza
W 1-2 vs Flamengo
L 1-3 at Palmeiras
W 0-2 vs Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+170+186+185+187+185+187+187+201.7
Juventude+165+163+155+163+159+163+163+176.5
Draw+230+223+225+210+217+210+225+225.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+201.7
Juventude-----+176.5
Draw-----+225.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Juventude: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
Juventude: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Juventude: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Juventude ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o2-141o2¼+102o2¼-102o2¼+101o2¼-102o2-141o2¼+107
Underu2¼-128u2+119u2¼-122u2¼-118u2¼-123u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.9%
 
No56.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.95%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 410.92%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.22%
Exactly 319.75%
Exactly 54.83%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 028.23%
Exactly 135.70%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 39.52%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 50.76%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Juventude
Exactly 038.79%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.39%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.91%
Exactly 218.83%
Exactly 41.65%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.43%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 055.67%
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 29.55%
Exactly 31.86%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Juventude
Exactly 064.50%
Exactly 128.28%
Exactly 26.20%
Exactly 30.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals19.66%
Wins by 3+ goals6.83%
Wins by 4+ goals1.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Juventude
Wins by 2+ goals9.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Juventude
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal23.98%
Wins by 2 goals12.82%
Wins by 3 goals4.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.48%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Juventude
Wins by 1 goal17.95%
Wins by 2 goals7.19%
Wins by 3 goals2.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.05%10.95%
1.564.83%35.17%
2.538.05%61.95%
3.518.30%81.70%
4.57.38%92.62%
5.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.77%28.23%
1.536.07%63.93%
2.513.49%86.51%
3.53.97%96.03%

Total Goals Juventude Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.21%38.79%
1.524.47%75.53%
2.57.08%92.92%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.09%35.91%
1.527.31%72.69%
2.58.48%91.52%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Juventude
Score01234
0
10.95%
10.37%
4.91%
1.55%
0.37%
1
13.85%
13.12%
6.21%
1.96%
0.46%
2
8.76%
8.29%
3.93%
1.24%
0.29%
3
3.69%
3.50%
1.66%
0.52%
0.12%
4
1.17%
1.11%
0.52%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.30%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Gremio
1-013.85%
2-08.76%
2-18.29%
3-03.69%
3-13.50%
3-21.66%
4-01.17%
4-11.11%
4-20.52%
4-30.17%
5-00.30%
5-10.28%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-010.95%
1-113.12%
2-23.93%
3-30.52%
Juventude
0-110.37%
0-24.91%
1-26.21%
0-31.55%
1-31.96%
2-31.24%
0-40.37%
1-40.46%
2-40.29%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Juventude
Score0123
0
35.91%
15.75%
3.45%
0.50%
1
21.03%
9.22%
2.02%
0.30%
2
6.16%
2.70%
0.59%
0.09%
3
1.20%
0.53%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-021.03%
2-06.16%
2-12.70%
3-01.20%
3-10.53%
3-20.12%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-035.91%
1-19.22%
2-20.59%
Juventude
0-115.75%
0-23.45%
1-22.02%
0-30.50%
1-30.30%