Fluminense at Fortaleza

Updated

Fluminense

30.9%29.4%39.7%
Fluminense WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 1

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Fluminense
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Internacional
L 0-1 at Gremio
L 1-0 vs Vitoria
L 1-0 vs Flamengo
L 0-2 at Cruzeiro
Fortaleza
Money Line
L 0-2 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Juventude
W 0-3 vs Palmeiras
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-1 vs Gremio

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense+320+399+400+440+432+440+440+467.4
Fortaleza-120-130-140-143-143-143-130-127.3
Draw+275+265+265+261+264+261+265+279.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fluminense-----+467.4
Fortaleza------127.3
Draw-----+279.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fluminense: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fluminense: 50.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fluminense: 20.0%
Fortaleza: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fluminense ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2½+118o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-111o2¼-115o2¼-111o2¼-104
Underu2¼-112u2½-138u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-109u2¼-105u2½-138u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.60%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 410.41%
Exactly 61.61%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 124.99%
Exactly 319.33%
Exactly 54.49%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Fluminense
Exactly 037.15%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.21%
Exactly 36.01%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 031.22%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.15%
Exactly 38.21%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.88%
Exactly 218.35%
Exactly 41.52%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.10%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fluminense
Exactly 063.22%
Exactly 128.99%
Exactly 26.65%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 058.34%
Exactly 131.44%
Exactly 28.47%
Exactly 31.52%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fluminense
Wins by 2+ goals11.36%
Wins by 3+ goals3.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals16.78%
Wins by 3+ goals5.43%
Wins by 4+ goals1.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Fluminense
Fortaleza
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fluminense
Wins by 1 goal19.51%
Wins by 2 goals8.21%
Wins by 3 goals2.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal22.93%
Wins by 2 goals11.35%
Wins by 3 goals4.04%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.40%11.60%
1.563.42%36.58%
2.536.50%63.50%
3.517.17%82.83%
4.56.77%93.23%
5.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Fluminense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.85%37.15%
1.526.07%73.93%
2.57.85%92.15%
3.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.78%31.22%
1.532.43%67.57%
2.511.28%88.72%
3.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.12%36.88%
1.526.33%73.67%
2.57.98%92.02%
3.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fluminense
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
11.60%
13.50%
7.86%
3.05%
0.89%
0.21%
1
11.49%
13.37%
7.78%
3.02%
0.88%
0.20%
2
5.69%
6.62%
3.85%
1.50%
0.44%
0.10%
3
1.88%
2.19%
1.27%
0.49%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.46%
0.54%
0.31%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Fluminense
1-011.49%
2-05.69%
2-16.62%
3-01.88%
3-12.19%
3-21.27%
4-00.46%
4-10.54%
4-20.31%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.60%
1-113.37%
2-23.85%
3-30.49%
Fortaleza
0-113.50%
0-27.86%
1-27.78%
0-33.05%
1-33.02%
2-31.50%
0-40.89%
1-40.88%
2-40.44%
3-40.14%
0-50.21%
1-50.20%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Fluminense
Fortaleza
Score01234
0
36.88%
19.88%
5.36%
0.96%
0.13%
1
16.91%
9.11%
2.46%
0.44%
0.06%
2
3.88%
2.09%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.59%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Fluminense
1-016.91%
2-03.88%
2-12.09%
3-00.59%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-036.88%
1-19.11%
2-20.56%
Fortaleza
0-119.88%
0-25.36%
1-22.46%
0-30.96%
1-30.44%
2-30.10%
0-40.13%