Fortaleza at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Fortaleza

14.6%21.6%63.8%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.77Projected Goals 1.89
1Final Score 1

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Gremio
L 0-5 at Cuiaba
L 0-1 at Bahia
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 vs Botafogo RJ
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 2-4 at Vitoria
L 4-0 vs Palmeiras
W 2-1 at Bragantino
T 1-1 vs Bahia
T 2-2 at Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+433+427+400+425+424+425+427+451.6
Atletico Mineiro-143-133-135-135-138-135-133-120.6
Draw+280+258+265+250+256+250+265+267.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+451.6
Atletico Mineiro------120.6
Draw-----+267.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2-140o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+101o2¼+100o2-140o2¼+109
Underu2½-130u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-123u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.03%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 414.55%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.66%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 57.73%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 046.35%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 213.70%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 015.17%
Exactly 128.61%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.96%
Exactly 48.00%
Exactly 53.02%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.25%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 070.04%
Exactly 124.94%
Exactly 24.44%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 041.76%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.92%
Exactly 34.63%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals4.18%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals38.25%
Wins by 3+ goals18.50%
Wins by 4+ goals7.34%
Wins by 5+ goals2.42%
Wins by 6+ goals0.65%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal10.40%
Wins by 2 goals3.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.50%
Wins by 2 goals19.76%
Wins by 3 goals11.16%
Wins by 4 goals4.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.53%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.97%7.03%
1.574.31%25.69%
2.549.53%50.47%
3.527.60%72.40%
4.513.05%86.95%
5.55.32%94.68%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.65%46.35%
1.518.01%81.99%
2.54.31%95.69%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.83%15.17%
1.556.23%43.77%
2.529.25%70.75%
3.512.29%87.71%
4.54.30%95.70%
5.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.75%29.25%
1.534.79%65.21%
2.512.69%87.31%
3.53.64%96.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
7.03%
13.26%
12.50%
7.86%
3.71%
1.40%
1
5.41%
10.20%
9.61%
6.04%
2.85%
1.08%
2
2.08%
3.92%
3.70%
2.32%
1.10%
0.41%
3
0.53%
1.00%
0.95%
0.60%
0.28%
0.11%
4
0.10%
0.19%
0.18%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
Fortaleza
1-05.41%
2-02.08%
2-13.92%
3-00.53%
3-11.00%
3-20.95%
4-00.10%
4-10.19%
4-20.18%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-07.03%
1-110.20%
2-23.70%
3-30.60%
Atletico Mineiro
0-113.26%
0-212.50%
1-29.61%
0-37.86%
1-36.04%
2-32.32%
0-43.71%
1-42.85%
2-41.10%
3-40.28%
0-51.40%
1-51.08%
2-50.41%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
29.25%
25.54%
11.15%
3.25%
0.71%
0.12%
1
10.41%
9.09%
3.97%
1.16%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.85%
1.62%
0.71%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-010.41%
2-01.85%
2-11.62%
3-00.22%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-029.25%
1-19.09%
2-20.71%
Atletico Mineiro
0-125.54%
0-211.15%
1-23.97%
0-33.25%
1-31.16%
2-30.21%
0-40.71%
1-40.25%
0-50.12%
Vitória at Bragantino
Athletico Paranaense at Cruzeiro