Fortaleza at Bahia

Updated

Fortaleza

28.0%28.0%44.0%
Fortaleza WinDrawBahia Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 1

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Fortaleza
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
T 1-1 vs Botafogo RJ
T 0-0 at Corinthians
T 1-1 vs Bragantino
T 1-1 vs Cruzeiro
Bahia
Money Line
T 1-1 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-1 vs Bragantino
W 2-1 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-1 vs Gremio
T 2-2 at Vitoria

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza+299+325+295+335+329+335+335+357.2
Bahia-104-112-105-119-118-119-105-107.0
Draw+258+261+245+260+260+260+261+278.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortaleza-----+357.2
Bahia------107.0
Draw-----+278.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortaleza: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortaleza: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortaleza: 0.0%
Bahia: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+103o2½+106o2¼-115o2¼-116o2¼-113o2¼-116o2¼-113o2¼-105
Underu2½-121u2½-126u2¼-105u2¼-104u2¼-107u2¼-104u2½-126u2¼+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-105
Under-----u2¼+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.20%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.54%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.29%
Exactly 320.22%
Exactly 55.27%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 037.57%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.00%
Exactly 35.87%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 027.15%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 310.03%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.75%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 063.56%
Exactly 128.81%
Exactly 26.53%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 054.68%
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 29.96%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals10.06%
Wins by 3+ goals2.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals20.17%
Wins by 3+ goals7.17%
Wins by 4+ goals2.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortaleza
Bahia
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal17.87%
Wins by 2 goals7.33%
Wins by 3 goals2.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal23.80%
Wins by 2 goals13.00%
Wins by 3 goals5.14%
Wins by 4 goals1.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.80%10.20%
1.566.51%33.49%
2.539.94%60.06%
3.519.71%80.29%
4.58.17%91.83%
5.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.43%37.57%
1.525.65%74.35%
2.57.65%92.35%
3.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.85%27.15%
1.537.46%62.54%
2.514.38%85.62%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.25%34.75%
1.528.52%71.48%
2.59.11%90.89%
3.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortaleza
Bahia
Score012345
0
10.20%
13.30%
8.67%
3.77%
1.23%
0.32%
1
9.98%
13.02%
8.49%
3.69%
1.20%
0.31%
2
4.89%
6.37%
4.15%
1.81%
0.59%
0.15%
3
1.59%
2.08%
1.36%
0.59%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.39%
0.51%
0.33%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Fortaleza
1-09.98%
2-04.89%
2-16.37%
3-01.59%
3-12.08%
3-21.36%
4-00.39%
4-10.51%
4-20.33%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.20%
1-113.02%
2-24.15%
3-30.59%
Bahia
0-113.30%
0-28.67%
1-28.49%
0-33.77%
1-33.69%
2-31.81%
0-41.23%
1-41.20%
2-40.59%
3-40.19%
0-50.32%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortaleza
Bahia
Score01234
0
34.75%
20.98%
6.33%
1.27%
0.19%
1
15.75%
9.51%
2.87%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.57%
2.15%
0.65%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.54%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Fortaleza
1-015.75%
2-03.57%
2-12.15%
3-00.54%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-034.75%
1-19.51%
2-20.65%
Bahia
0-120.98%
0-26.33%
1-22.87%
0-31.27%
1-30.58%
2-30.13%
0-40.19%
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