Gremio at Bahia

Updated

Gremio

31.0%28.1%40.9%
Gremio WinDrawBahia Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.26
0Final Score 1

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Cuiaba
W 0-2 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 1-2 at Vasco da Gama
W 3-2 at Fluminense
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama
Bahia
Money Line
T 2-2 at Vitoria
W 1-2 vs Fluminense
L 1-2 at Internacional
W 1-4 vs Atletico Mineiro
L 2-3 at America (MG)

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+240+378+350+385+329+385+385+408.9
Bahia+120-131-125-140-122-140-122-125.2
Draw+235+279+275+285+271+285+285+304.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+408.9
Bahia------125.2
Draw-----+304.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 40.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Bahia: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2½-115o2½-110o2½-110o2½-105o2½-110o2½-105o2½+100
Underu2½-122u2½-103u2½-110u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u2½-103u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.89%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.81%
Exactly 62.11%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.89%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 034.81%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 028.42%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.49%
Exactly 39.43%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.26%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.02%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.35%
Exactly 129.97%
Exactly 27.32%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 055.85%
Exactly 132.53%
Exactly 29.48%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals11.80%
Wins by 3+ goals3.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals18.16%
Wins by 3+ goals6.24%
Wins by 4+ goals1.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal19.08%
Wins by 2 goals8.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal22.75%
Wins by 2 goals11.92%
Wins by 3 goals4.53%
Wins by 4 goals1.34%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.11%9.89%
1.567.22%32.78%
2.540.75%59.25%
3.520.34%79.66%
4.58.53%91.47%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.19%34.81%
1.528.45%71.55%
2.59.07%90.93%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.58%28.42%
1.535.83%64.17%
2.513.34%86.66%
3.53.90%96.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.74%34.26%
1.529.04%70.96%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Bahia
Score012345
0
9.89%
12.45%
7.83%
3.28%
1.03%
0.26%
1
10.44%
13.13%
8.26%
3.47%
1.09%
0.27%
2
5.51%
6.93%
4.36%
1.83%
0.57%
0.14%
3
1.94%
2.44%
1.53%
0.64%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.51%
0.64%
0.40%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-010.44%
2-05.51%
2-16.93%
3-01.94%
3-12.44%
3-21.53%
4-00.51%
4-10.64%
4-20.40%
4-30.17%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.89%
1-113.13%
2-24.36%
3-30.64%
Bahia
0-112.45%
0-27.83%
1-28.26%
0-33.28%
1-33.47%
2-31.83%
0-41.03%
1-41.09%
2-40.57%
3-40.20%
0-50.26%
1-50.27%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Bahia
Score01234
0
34.26%
19.96%
5.81%
1.13%
0.16%
1
16.74%
9.75%
2.84%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.09%
2.38%
0.69%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.67%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-016.74%
2-04.09%
2-12.38%
3-00.67%
3-10.39%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.26%
1-19.75%
2-20.69%
Bahia
0-119.96%
0-25.81%
1-22.84%
0-31.13%
1-30.55%
2-30.13%
0-40.16%