Gremio at Sao Paulo

Updated

Gremio

20.8%25.1%54.1%
Gremio WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.59
0Final Score 1

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-3 at Juventude
T 2-2 vs Palmeiras
W 0-1 vs Fluminense
T 1-1 at Atletico Goianiense
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
W 0-2 vs Bragantino
W 2-1 at Athletico Paranaense
W 1-3 vs Bahia
W 1-2 vs Criciuma

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+456+539+500+595+578+595+595+629.5
Sao Paulo-148-165-175-176-178-176-165-154.8
Draw+279+283+300+273+279+273+300+291.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+629.5
Sao Paulo------154.8
Draw-----+291.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 20.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+111o2¼-118o2¼-114o2¼-117o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-104
Underu2½-134u2½-131u2¼-102u2¼-106u2¼-103u2¼-106u2½-131u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.44%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 413.14%
Exactly 62.68%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.86%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 56.50%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 041.48%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.06%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 020.34%
Exactly 132.39%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 313.69%
Exactly 45.45%
Exactly 51.74%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.83%
Exactly 220.86%
Exactly 42.28%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.96%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 066.54%
Exactly 127.11%
Exactly 25.52%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 047.84%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 213.00%
Exactly 33.20%
Exactly 40.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals6.73%
Wins by 3+ goals1.65%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals28.78%
Wins by 3+ goals12.12%
Wins by 4+ goals4.15%
Wins by 5+ goals1.18%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal13.99%
Wins by 2 goals5.08%
Wins by 3 goals1.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal25.33%
Wins by 2 goals16.66%
Wins by 3 goals7.97%
Wins by 4 goals2.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.56%8.44%
1.570.70%29.30%
2.544.91%55.09%
3.523.66%76.34%
4.510.52%89.48%
5.54.02%95.98%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.52%41.48%
1.522.02%77.98%
2.55.96%94.04%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.66%20.34%
1.547.27%52.73%
2.521.47%78.53%
3.57.78%92.22%
4.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.17%31.83%
1.531.73%68.27%
2.510.88%89.12%
3.52.92%97.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
8.44%
13.44%
10.70%
5.68%
2.26%
0.72%
1
7.42%
11.82%
9.42%
5.00%
1.99%
0.63%
2
3.27%
5.20%
4.14%
2.20%
0.88%
0.28%
3
0.96%
1.53%
1.21%
0.64%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.21%
0.34%
0.27%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Gremio
1-07.42%
2-03.27%
2-15.20%
3-00.96%
3-11.53%
3-21.21%
4-00.21%
4-10.34%
4-20.27%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.44%
1-111.82%
2-24.14%
3-30.64%
Sao Paulo
0-113.44%
0-210.70%
1-29.42%
0-35.68%
1-35.00%
2-32.20%
0-42.26%
1-41.99%
2-40.88%
3-40.26%
0-50.72%
1-50.63%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
31.83%
23.47%
8.65%
2.13%
0.39%
1
12.97%
9.56%
3.53%
0.87%
0.16%
2
2.64%
1.95%
0.72%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.36%
0.26%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-012.97%
2-02.64%
2-11.95%
3-00.36%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-031.83%
1-19.56%
2-20.72%
Sao Paulo
0-123.47%
0-28.65%
1-23.53%
0-32.13%
1-30.87%
2-30.18%
0-40.39%
1-40.16%