Sao Paulo at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Sao Paulo

17.4%23.3%59.3%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.74
1Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bragantino
W 2-1 at Athletico Paranaense
W 1-3 vs Bahia
W 1-2 vs Criciuma
L 1-4 at Vasco da Gama
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 0-3 at Botafogo RJ
L 4-2 vs Flamengo
T 1-1 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-1 at Internacional
T 1-1 vs Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+225+210+205+213+211+213+213+228.8
Atletico Mineiro+120+151+150+150+149+150+151+162.7
Draw+240+213+210+202+204+202+213+217.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+228.8
Atletico Mineiro-----+162.7
Draw-----+217.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-127o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2¼-122u2+107u2+105u2+105u2+103u2+105u2+107u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-114
Under-----u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.67%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 413.90%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.69%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.14%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 043.90%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.88%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 017.47%
Exactly 130.48%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 315.46%
Exactly 46.74%
Exactly 52.35%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.45%
Exactly 221.53%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 38.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 068.30%
Exactly 126.04%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 044.58%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 214.55%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals5.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals33.63%
Wins by 3+ goals15.27%
Wins by 4+ goals5.66%
Wins by 5+ goals1.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal12.07%
Wins by 2 goals4.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.59%
Wins by 2 goals18.37%
Wins by 3 goals9.61%
Wins by 4 goals3.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.31%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.33%7.67%
1.572.64%27.36%
2.547.35%52.65%
3.525.71%74.29%
4.511.81%88.19%
5.54.67%95.33%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.10%43.90%
1.519.96%80.04%
2.55.08%94.92%
3.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.53%17.47%
1.552.05%47.95%
2.525.46%74.54%
3.510.00%90.00%
4.53.25%96.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.55%30.45%
1.533.34%66.66%
2.511.81%88.19%
3.53.28%96.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
7.67%
13.38%
11.67%
6.79%
2.96%
1.03%
1
6.31%
11.02%
9.61%
5.59%
2.44%
0.85%
2
2.60%
4.53%
3.96%
2.30%
1.00%
0.35%
3
0.71%
1.24%
1.09%
0.63%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.15%
0.26%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Sao Paulo
1-06.31%
2-02.60%
2-14.53%
3-00.71%
3-11.24%
3-21.09%
4-00.15%
4-10.26%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.67%
1-111.02%
2-23.96%
3-30.63%
Atletico Mineiro
0-113.38%
0-211.67%
1-29.61%
0-36.79%
1-35.59%
2-32.30%
0-42.96%
1-42.44%
2-41.00%
3-40.28%
0-51.03%
1-50.85%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
30.45%
24.60%
9.94%
2.68%
0.54%
1
11.61%
9.38%
3.79%
1.02%
0.21%
2
2.21%
1.79%
0.72%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.28%
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-011.61%
2-02.21%
2-11.79%
3-00.28%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-030.45%
1-19.38%
2-20.72%
Atletico Mineiro
0-124.60%
0-29.94%
1-23.79%
0-32.68%
1-31.02%
2-30.19%
0-40.54%
1-40.21%