Sao Paulo at Atletico Mineiro

Updated

Sao Paulo

17.4%23.3%59.3%
WinDrawAtletico Mineiro Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.74
1Final Score 2

Atletico Mineiro

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bragantino
W 2-1 at Athletico Paranaense
W 1-3 vs Bahia
W 1-2 vs Criciuma
L 1-4 at Vasco da Gama
Atletico Mineiro
Money Line
L 0-3 at Botafogo RJ
L 4-2 vs Flamengo
T 1-1 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 2-1 at Internacional
T 1-1 vs Fortaleza

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+225+210+205+213+211+213+213+228.8
Atletico Mineiro+120+151+150+150+149+150+151+162.7
Draw+240+213+210+202+204+202+213+217.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+228.8
Atletico Mineiro-----+162.7
Draw-----+217.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Mineiro: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Atletico Mineiro: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Atletico Mineiro ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-127o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2¼-122u2+107u2+105u2+105u2+103u2+105u2+107u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-114
Under-----u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.67%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 413.90%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.69%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.14%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 043.90%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.88%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 017.47%
Exactly 130.48%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 315.46%
Exactly 46.74%
Exactly 52.35%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.45%
Exactly 221.53%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 38.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 068.30%
Exactly 126.04%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Mineiro
Exactly 044.58%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 214.55%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals5.31%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 2+ goals33.63%
Wins by 3+ goals15.27%
Wins by 4+ goals5.66%
Wins by 5+ goals1.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal12.07%
Wins by 2 goals4.09%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Atletico Mineiro
Wins by 1 goal25.59%
Wins by 2 goals18.37%
Wins by 3 goals9.61%
Wins by 4 goals3.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.31%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.33%7.67%
1.572.64%27.36%
2.547.35%52.65%
3.525.71%74.29%
4.511.81%88.19%
5.54.67%95.33%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.10%43.90%
1.519.96%80.04%
2.55.08%94.92%
3.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Atletico Mineiro Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.53%17.47%
1.552.05%47.95%
2.525.46%74.54%
3.510.00%90.00%
4.53.25%96.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.55%30.45%
1.533.34%66.66%
2.511.81%88.19%
3.53.28%96.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Score012345
0
7.67%
13.38%
11.67%
6.79%
2.96%
1.03%
1
6.31%
11.02%
9.61%
5.59%
2.44%
0.85%
2
2.60%
4.53%
3.96%
2.30%
1.00%
0.35%
3
0.71%
1.24%
1.09%
0.63%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.15%
0.26%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Sao Paulo
1-06.31%
2-02.60%
2-14.53%
3-00.71%
3-11.24%
3-21.09%
4-00.15%
4-10.26%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.67%
1-111.02%
2-23.96%
3-30.63%
Atletico Mineiro
0-113.38%
0-211.67%
1-29.61%
0-36.79%
1-35.59%
2-32.30%
0-42.96%
1-42.44%
2-41.00%
3-40.28%
0-51.03%
1-50.85%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Atletico Mineiro
Score01234
0
30.45%
24.60%
9.94%
2.68%
0.54%
1
11.61%
9.38%
3.79%
1.02%
0.21%
2
2.21%
1.79%
0.72%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.28%
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-011.61%
2-02.21%
2-11.79%
3-00.28%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-030.45%
1-19.38%
2-20.72%
Atletico Mineiro
0-124.60%
0-29.94%
1-23.79%
0-32.68%
1-31.02%
2-30.19%
0-40.54%
1-40.21%
Botafogo RJ at Vitória
Bragantino at Cruzeiro