Flamengo at Gremio

Updated

Flamengo

47.8%25.8%26.4%
Flamengo WinDrawGremio Win
1.52Projected Goals 1.05
2Final Score 3

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Vasco da Gama
L 1-2 at Corinthians
W 1-2 vs Bragantino
L 1-4 at Botafogo RJ
T 1-1 vs Palmeiras
Gremio
Money Line
T 2-2 at Bragantino
L 3-2 vs Atletico Mineiro
W 1-0 at Criciuma
L 2-0 vs Bahia
W 3-1 at Cuiaba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+183+342+330+345+357+345+357+366.5
Gremio+156-115-115-122-125-122-115-110.2
Draw+238+258+260+265+261+265+265+282.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo-----+366.5
Gremio------110.2
Draw-----+282.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 60.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+112o2½+115o2¼-115o2¼-108o2¼-113o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼+102
Underu2½-131u2½-135u2¼-105u2¼-112u2¼-107u2¼-112u2½-135u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.68%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 413.88%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.71%
Exactly 321.64%
Exactly 57.13%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 022.04%
Exactly 133.33%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 312.70%
Exactly 44.80%
Exactly 51.45%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 034.84%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.37%
Exactly 36.81%
Exactly 41.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.47%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 38.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 049.65%
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 212.17%
Exactly 32.84%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.38%
Exactly 129.96%
Exactly 27.31%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals24.03%
Wins by 3+ goals9.54%
Wins by 4+ goals3.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.77%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals9.84%
Wins by 3+ goals2.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Gremio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal23.69%
Wins by 2 goals14.48%
Wins by 3 goals6.50%
Wins by 4 goals2.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.64%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal16.51%
Wins by 2 goals7.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.32%7.68%
1.572.61%27.39%
2.547.31%52.69%
3.525.67%74.33%
4.511.79%88.21%
5.54.66%95.34%
6.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.96%22.04%
1.544.62%55.38%
2.519.42%80.58%
3.56.72%93.28%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.16%34.84%
1.528.42%71.58%
2.59.06%90.94%
3.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.53%30.47%
1.533.31%66.69%
2.511.80%88.20%
3.53.28%96.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Gremio
Score01234
0
7.68%
8.10%
4.27%
1.50%
0.40%
1
11.61%
12.24%
6.46%
2.27%
0.60%
2
8.78%
9.26%
4.88%
1.72%
0.45%
3
4.43%
4.67%
2.46%
0.86%
0.23%
4
1.67%
1.76%
0.93%
0.33%
0.09%
5
0.51%
0.53%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
Flamengo
1-011.61%
2-08.78%
2-19.26%
3-04.43%
3-14.67%
3-22.46%
4-01.67%
4-11.76%
4-20.93%
4-30.33%
5-00.51%
5-10.53%
5-20.28%
Draw
0-07.68%
1-112.24%
2-24.88%
3-30.86%
Gremio
0-18.10%
0-24.27%
1-26.46%
0-31.50%
1-32.27%
2-31.72%
0-40.40%
1-40.60%
2-40.45%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Gremio
Score0123
0
30.47%
14.88%
3.63%
0.59%
1
21.34%
10.42%
2.54%
0.41%
2
7.47%
3.65%
0.89%
0.14%
3
1.74%
0.85%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.31%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Flamengo
1-021.34%
2-07.47%
2-13.65%
3-01.74%
3-10.85%
3-20.21%
4-00.31%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-030.47%
1-110.42%
2-20.89%
Gremio
0-114.88%
0-23.63%
1-22.54%
0-30.59%
1-30.41%
2-30.14%