Flamengo at Vasco da Gama

Updated

Flamengo

54.0%24.6%21.4%
Flamengo WinDrawVasco da Gama Win
1.64Projected Goals 0.93
4Final Score 1

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Flamengo
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Cruzeiro
W 0-1 vs Corinthians
W 3-2 at Bahia
W 0-2 vs Goias
L 1-2 at Athletico Paranaense
Vasco da Gama
Money Line
L 0-2 at Fortaleza
L 2-4 at Sao Paulo
L 1-0 vs Santos
T 1-1 at Coritiba
T 1-1 at Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo+128-110-110-116-114-116-110-104.9
Vasco da Gama+226+315+320+320+328+320+328+340.6
Draw+240+262+260+265+263+265+265+282.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Flamengo------104.9
Vasco da Gama-----+340.6
Draw-----+282.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Flamengo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Flamengo: 10.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Flamengo: 0.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Flamengo ML
No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-110o2½-105o2½-105o2½-106o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-111u2½-108u2½-109u2½-115u2½-110u2½-115u2½-108u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.67%
Exactly 225.29%
Exactly 413.89%
Exactly 63.05%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.70%
Exactly 321.64%
Exactly 57.13%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Flamengo
Exactly 019.45%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.23%
Exactly 45.82%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 039.44%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.07%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.46%
Exactly 221.52%
Exactly 42.53%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 38.53%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Flamengo
Exactly 046.86%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.46%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 065.00%
Exactly 128.00%
Exactly 26.03%
Exactly 30.87%

Alternate Props

Spread

Flamengo
Wins by 2+ goals29.06%
Wins by 3+ goals12.45%
Wins by 4+ goals4.35%
Wins by 5+ goals1.26%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals7.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Flamengo
Wins by 1 goal24.89%
Wins by 2 goals16.60%
Wins by 3 goals8.10%
Wins by 4 goals3.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal14.14%
Wins by 2 goals5.36%
Wins by 3 goals1.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.33%7.67%
1.572.63%27.37%
2.547.34%52.66%
3.525.69%74.31%
4.511.80%88.20%
5.54.67%95.33%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Flamengo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.55%19.45%
1.548.70%51.30%
2.522.63%77.37%
3.58.40%91.60%
4.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.56%39.44%
1.523.86%76.14%
2.56.79%93.21%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.54%30.46%
1.533.33%66.67%
2.511.81%88.19%
3.53.28%96.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
Score01234
0
7.67%
7.14%
3.32%
1.03%
0.24%
1
12.56%
11.69%
5.44%
1.69%
0.39%
2
10.28%
9.57%
4.45%
1.38%
0.32%
3
5.61%
5.22%
2.43%
0.75%
0.18%
4
2.30%
2.14%
0.99%
0.31%
0.07%
5
0.75%
0.70%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
Flamengo
1-012.56%
2-010.28%
2-19.57%
3-05.61%
3-15.22%
3-22.43%
4-02.30%
4-12.14%
4-20.99%
4-30.31%
5-00.75%
5-10.70%
5-20.33%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.67%
1-111.69%
2-24.45%
3-30.75%
Vasco da Gama
0-17.14%
0-23.32%
1-25.44%
0-31.03%
1-31.69%
2-31.38%
0-40.24%
1-40.39%
2-40.32%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
Score0123
0
30.46%
13.12%
2.83%
0.41%
1
23.09%
9.95%
2.14%
0.31%
2
8.75%
3.77%
0.81%
0.12%
3
2.21%
0.95%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.42%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Flamengo
1-023.09%
2-08.75%
2-13.77%
3-02.21%
3-10.95%
3-20.21%
4-00.42%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-030.46%
1-19.95%
2-20.81%
Vasco da Gama
0-113.12%
0-22.83%
1-22.14%
0-30.41%
1-30.31%
2-30.12%