Vitória at Palmeiras

Updated

Vitoria

8.0%15.5%76.4%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.40
2Final Score 0

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Flamengo
L 0-2 at Gremio
L 1-3 at Fortaleza
L 1-0 vs Botafogo RJ
W 1-2 vs Criciuma
Palmeiras
Money Line
L 0-1 at Fluminense
W 0-2 vs Cruzeiro
L 0-1 at Botafogo RJ
W 1-3 vs Atletico Goianiense
W 0-2 vs Bahia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+875-+600+725+680+725+725+765.3
Palmeiras-325--220-228-229-228-228-196.5
Draw+440-+360+330+339+330+360+351.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-----+765.3
Palmeiras------196.5
Draw-----+351.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½-115o2½-110o2½-113o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½-105-u2½-105u2½-110u2½-107u2½-110u2½-105u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.9%
 
No57.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.80%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 417.00%
Exactly 65.23%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.57%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.33%
Exactly 72.27%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 052.77%
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 210.78%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 09.10%
Exactly 121.81%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 412.52%
Exactly 56.00%
Exactly 62.40%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.51%
Exactly 224.23%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 311.35%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 074.38%
Exactly 122.02%
Exactly 23.26%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 032.96%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.30%
Exactly 37.51%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals1.90%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals53.48%
Wins by 3+ goals31.14%
Wins by 4+ goals15.19%
Wins by 5+ goals6.29%
Wins by 6+ goals2.22%
Wins by 7+ goals0.65%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal6.10%
Wins by 2 goals1.58%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal22.89%
Wins by 2 goals22.33%
Wins by 3 goals15.95%
Wins by 4 goals8.91%
Wins by 5 goals4.07%
Wins by 6 goals1.57%
Wins by 7 goals0.52%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.20%4.80%
1.580.63%19.37%
2.558.50%41.50%
3.536.10%63.90%
4.519.09%80.91%
5.58.77%91.23%
6.53.54%96.46%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.23%52.77%
1.513.50%86.50%
2.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.90%9.10%
1.569.10%30.90%
2.542.96%57.04%
3.522.07%77.93%
4.59.55%90.45%
5.53.55%96.45%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.49%24.51%
1.541.02%58.98%
2.516.79%83.21%
3.55.44%94.56%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
4.80%
11.51%
13.79%
11.02%
6.61%
3.17%
1
3.07%
7.36%
8.82%
7.05%
4.22%
2.02%
2
0.98%
2.35%
2.82%
2.25%
1.35%
0.65%
3
0.21%
0.50%
0.60%
0.48%
0.29%
0.14%
Vitoria
1-03.07%
2-00.98%
2-12.35%
3-00.21%
3-10.50%
3-20.60%
Draw
0-04.80%
1-17.36%
2-22.82%
3-30.48%
Palmeiras
0-111.51%
0-213.79%
1-28.82%
0-311.02%
1-37.05%
2-32.25%
0-46.61%
1-44.22%
2-41.35%
3-40.29%
0-53.17%
1-52.02%
2-50.65%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
24.51%
27.21%
15.10%
5.59%
1.55%
0.34%
1
7.26%
8.05%
4.47%
1.65%
0.46%
0.10%
2
1.07%
1.19%
0.66%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-07.26%
2-01.07%
2-11.19%
3-00.11%
3-10.12%
Draw
0-024.51%
1-18.05%
2-20.66%
Palmeiras
0-127.21%
0-215.10%
1-24.47%
0-35.59%
1-31.65%
2-30.24%
0-41.55%
1-40.46%
0-50.34%
1-50.10%